logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Scarborough—Guildwood


2018 2022 2025 Projection OLP 55% ± 11% 33.4% 46.3% 50.8% PC 36% ± 10% 33.1% 31.5% 38.0% NDP 4% ± 3% 27.6% 16.7% 6.7% GPO 2% ± 2% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 1.3% 1.1% IND 1% ± 2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Scarborough—Guildwood projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Scarborough—Guildwood 45% 66% 55% ± 11% OLP 26% 46% 36% ± 10% PC 1% 8% 4% ± 3% NDP OLP 2025 50.85% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Scarborough—Guildwood >99%▲ OLP <1%▼ PC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Scarborough—Guildwood

Odds of winning | Scarborough—Guildwood