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Ontario

Mississauga—Malton


MPP: Anand, Deepak (PCPO)
Latest projection: February 20, 2025
Likely PCPO

Candidates | Mississauga—Malton


PC Party of Ontario Deepak Anand
Liberal Party Jawad Haroon
Ontario NDP Gerard Mcdonald
Green Party Arish Esmail
New Blue Party Van Nguyen

Candidates listed here are on the Elections Ontario website.

Mississauga—Malton 46% ± 9%▲ PCPO 36% ± 9% OLP 13% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% GPO PCPO 2022 45.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 20, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Malton 94%▲ PCPO 6%▼ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 20, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Malton

OLP 36% ± 9% PCPO 46% ± 9% NDP 13% ± 5% GPO 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Malton 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP GPO February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 17% GPO 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 46% OLP 33% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 47% OLP 32% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 46% OLP 33% NDP 16% GPO 4% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 45% OLP 35% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 45% OLP 34% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 45% OLP 35% NDP 15% GPO 4% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% GPO 4% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 44% OLP 37% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 45% OLP 37% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% GPO 4% 2025-02-20

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Malton

OLP 6% PCPO 94% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-02-15 2025-03-01 Election 2025 Campaign begins OLP PCPO NDP February 20, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-20

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Malton



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 21.8% 39.1% 45.2% 46% ± 9% OLP 48.3% 20.8% 30.5% 36% ± 9% NDP 24.4% 32.9% 17.7% 13% ± 5% GPO 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 4% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 1% ± 1%