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Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Malton


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 53% ± 10% 39.1% 45.2% 50.9% OLP 37% ± 10% 20.8% 30.5% 38.7% NDP 7% ± 4% 32.9% 17.7% 6.8% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.2% 3.7% 1.9% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.9% 1.7%

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338Canada Mississauga—Malton projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Mississauga—Malton 42% 63% 53% ± 10% PC 27% 48% 37% ± 10% OLP 2% 11% 7% ± 4% NDP PC 2025 50.92% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Malton 98% PC 2% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Malton

OLP 37% ± 10% PC 53% ± 10% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Malton 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 44% OLP 34% NDP 17% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 46% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 47% OLP 32% NDP 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 46% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 14% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 45% OLP 35% NDP 15% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 45% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 45% OLP 35% NDP 15% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 44% OLP 37% NDP 13% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 45% OLP 37% NDP 13% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 51% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 51% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 51% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 52% OLP 38% NDP 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 55% OLP 36% NDP 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 55% OLP 37% NDP 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 55% OLP 36% NDP 6% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 53% OLP 37% NDP 6% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 53% OLP 37% NDP 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 53% OLP 37% NDP 7% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Malton

OLP 2% PC 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Election 2025 OLP PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-01-27 PC 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% OLP <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2026-02-18