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Ontario

Mississauga—Malton


MPP : Deepak Anand (PCPO)
Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Likely PCPO

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Malton


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 21.8% 39.1% 45.2% 51% ± 10% OLP 48.3% 20.8% 30.5% 39% ± 10% NDP 24.4% 32.9% 17.7% 7% ± 4% GPO 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 2% ± 2% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 2% ± 2%

Mississauga—Malton 51% ± 10% PCPO 39% ± 10% OLP 7% ± 4% NDP PCPO 2022 45.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Malton 96% PCPO 4% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Malton

OLP 39% ± 10% PCPO 51% ± 10% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Malton 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 17% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 44% OLP 34% NDP 16% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 46% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 47% OLP 32% NDP 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 46% OLP 33% NDP 16% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 47% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 14% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 47% OLP 33% NDP 15% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 45% OLP 35% NDP 15% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 45% OLP 34% NDP 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 45% OLP 35% NDP 15% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 14% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 44% OLP 37% NDP 13% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 45% OLP 37% NDP 13% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 45% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 46% OLP 36% NDP 13% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 51% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 51% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 51% OLP 39% NDP 7% 2025-06-27

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Malton

OLP 4% PCPO 96% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 2025-11-01 2025-12-01 Election 2025 OLP PCPO NDP June 27, 2025 2025-01-27 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PCPO 98% OLP 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PCPO 97% OLP 3% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PCPO 90% OLP 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PCPO 89% OLP 11% NDP <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PCPO 93% OLP 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PCPO 94% OLP 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PCPO 95% OLP 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PCPO 99% OLP 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PCPO 96% OLP 4% NDP <1% 2025-06-27