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Ontario


Elgin—Middlesex—London


MPP: Flack, Rob (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Safe PCPO
Elgin—Middlesex—London 50% ± 9% PCPO 18% ± 6% OLP 17% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 4% NBPO 5% ± 3% GPO 3% ± 2% ONP PCPO 2022 51.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Elgin—Middlesex—London >99% PCPO <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Elgin—Middlesex—London

OLP 18% ± 6% PCPO 50% ± 9% NDP 17% ± 6% GPO 5% ± 3% NBPO 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Elgin—Middlesex—London 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO NBPO

Odds of winning | Elgin—Middlesex—London

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Elgin—Middlesex—London



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 47.1% 55.4% 51.1% 50% ± 9% NDP 26.2% 32.0% 18.2% 17% ± 6% OLP 20.0% 7.3% 17.4% 18% ± 6% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 5% ± 4% GPO 4.9% 3.9% 4.7% 5% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 3% ± 2%