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Recent electoral history | Elgin—Middlesex—London


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 50% ± 9% 55.4% 51.1% 55.8% OLP 31% ± 8% 7.3% 17.4% 24.4% NDP 9% ± 4% 32.0% 18.2% 9.2% GPO 6% ± 3% 3.9% 4.7% 5.7% NBPO 3% ± 2% 0.0% 5.1% 2.8% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 2.5% 1.2%

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338Canada Elgin—Middlesex—London projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Elgin—Middlesex—London 41% 58% 50% ± 9% PC 23% 39% 31% ± 8% OLP 5% 13% 9% ± 4% NDP 2% 9% 6% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 55.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Elgin—Middlesex—London >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Elgin—Middlesex—London

Odds of winning | Elgin—Middlesex—London