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GTA-905
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Elgin—Middlesex—London
MPP: Flack, Rob (PC)
Latest projection: March 17, 2023
Safe PCPO
Elgin—Middlesex—London
50% ± 9%
PCPO
18% ± 6%
OLP
17% ± 6%
NDP
5% ± 4%
NBPO
5% ± 3%
GPO
3% ± 2%
ONP
PCPO 2022
51.1%
338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50%
100%
Elgin—Middlesex—London
>99%
PCPO
<1%
OLP
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | March 17, 2023
Popular vote projection | Elgin—Middlesex—London
OLP 18% ± 6%
PCPO 50% ± 9%
NDP 17% ± 6%
GPO 5% ± 3%
NBPO 5% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Elgin—Middlesex—London
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
NBPO
Odds of winning | Elgin—Middlesex—London
OLP <1%
PCPO >99%
NDP <1%
GPO <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
Election 2022
OLP
PCPO
NDP
GPO
Recent electoral history | Elgin—Middlesex—London
2014
2018
2022
Proj.
PCPO
47.1%
55.4%
51.1%
50% ± 9%
NDP
26.2%
32.0%
18.2%
17% ± 6%
OLP
20.0%
7.3%
17.4%
18% ± 6%
NBPO
0.0%
0.0%
5.1%
5% ± 4%
GPO
4.9%
3.9%
4.7%
5% ± 3%
ONP
0.0%
0.0%
2.5%
3% ± 2%