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Ontario


Sarnia—Lambton


MPP: Bailey, Bob (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Safe PCPO
Sarnia—Lambton 52% ± 9% PCPO 22% ± 7% NDP 11% ± 5% OLP 7% ± 4% NBPO 4% ± 3% GPO PCPO 2022 52.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Sarnia—Lambton >99% PCPO <1% NDP <1% OLP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Sarnia—Lambton

OLP 11% ± 5% PCPO 52% ± 9% NDP 22% ± 7% NBPO 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Sarnia—Lambton 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP NBPO

Odds of winning | Sarnia—Lambton

OLP <1% PCPO >99% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Sarnia—Lambton



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 41.0% 52.8% 52.7% 52% ± 9% NDP 35.8% 37.4% 23.6% 22% ± 7% OLP 17.9% 4.4% 10.5% 11% ± 5% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 7% ± 4% GPO 4.6% 3.7% 3.2% 4% ± 3% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 0.9% 1% ± 1%