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Recent electoral history | Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 44% ± 9% 52.0% 50.2% 49.3% OLP 39% ± 9% 10.6% 15.9% 32.7% NDP 10% ± 4% 30.5% 20.6% 10.4% GPO 3% ± 2% 4.8% 6.8% 3.3% ONP 2% ± 2% 0.0% 3.6% 2.0% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 1.7% 1.5% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%

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338Canada Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston projection

Latest update: April 29, 2026

Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston 35% 53% 44% ± 9% PC 30% 48% 39% ± 9% OLP 6% 15% 10% ± 4% NDP PC 2025 49.34% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston 79%▼ PC 21%▲ OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 29, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston

Odds of winning | Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston