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Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes

Latest update: April 20, 2026
PC
MPP: Steve Clark
Ontario PC
Safe PCPO
Projection — Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes → Regional projection — Eastern Ontario → All Ontario provincial districts → Ontario projection map → Ontario polls → Back to 338Canada Ontario home → Ontario simulator → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 55% ± 9% 61.3% 57.8% 54.9% OLP 28% ± 8% 13.4% 18.3% 27.1% NDP 9% ± 4% 19.8% 13.3% 9.8% GPO 4% ± 3% 4.8% 6.1% 4.6% NBPO 2% ± 2% 0.0% 2.2% 1.6% ONP 1% ± 1% 0.0% 1.3% 1.2%

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338Canada Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes 46% 64% 55% ± 9% ▼ PC 20% 36% 28% ± 8% ▲ OLP 4% 13% 9% ± 4% ▲ NDP 2% 7% 4% ± 3% GPO PC 2025 54.94% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes >99% PC <1% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes

Odds of winning | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes