logo
Ontario

Recent electoral history | Oshawa


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 50% ± 10% 44.8% 42.1% 45.9% PC 38% ± 9% 41.8% 40.2% 41.5% OLP 9% ± 4% 7.9% 9.1% 8.8% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.6% 4.0% 2.1% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 2.5% 1.4% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Ontario flag

338Canada Oshawa projection

Latest update: April 20, 2026

Oshawa 40% 59% 50% ± 10% NDP 29% 47% 38% ± 9% PC 5% 13% 9% ± 4% OLP NDP 2025 45.87% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Oshawa 96%▲ NDP 4%▼ PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | April 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Oshawa

Odds of winning | Oshawa