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Recent electoral history | Oshawa


2018 2022 2025 Projection NDP 48% ± 10% 44.8% 42.1% 45.9% PC 41% ± 10% 41.8% 40.2% 41.5% OLP 8% ± 4% 7.9% 9.1% 8.8% GPO 2% ± 2% 3.6% 4.0% 2.1% NBPO 1% ± 2% 0.0% 2.5% 1.4% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3%

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338Canada Oshawa projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Oshawa 38% 58% 48% ± 10% NDP 31% 50% 41% ± 10% PC 4% 12% 8% ± 4% OLP NDP 2025 45.87% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Oshawa 85%▲ NDP 15%▼ PC <1% OLP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Ontario Projection | Oshawa

Odds of winning | Oshawa