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Ontario


Etobicoke Centre


MPP: Surma, Kinga (PC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2023

Likely PCPO
Etobicoke Centre 47% ± 9% PCPO 35% ± 9% OLP 8% ± 4% NDP 5% ± 3% GPO 3% ± 2% NBPO PCPO 2022 48.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2023
50% 100% Etobicoke Centre 98% PCPO 2% OLP <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 17, 2023


Popular vote projection | Etobicoke Centre

OLP 35% ± 9% PCPO 47% ± 9% NDP 8% ± 4% GPO 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Etobicoke Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Odds of winning | Etobicoke Centre

OLP 2% PCPO 98% NDP <1% GPO <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 Election 2022 OLP PCPO NDP GPO

Recent electoral history | Etobicoke Centre



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PCPO 32.4% 42.7% 48.6% 47% ± 9% OLP 48.7% 34.4% 34.0% 35% ± 9% NDP 11.5% 18.0% 8.6% 8% ± 4% GPO 2.6% 2.3% 4.5% 5% ± 3% NBPO 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 3% ± 2% ONP 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1% ± 1%