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Federal Polls | Ontario

Latest projection update: January 18, 2026

43% ± 5%
41% ± 5%
11% ± 3%
3% ± 2%

LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Voting intentions % 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 January 18, 2026 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-26 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-28 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-30 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-11 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-18 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-25 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-01 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-08 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-15 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-22 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-29 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-06 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-13 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-20 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-27 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-03 LPC 50% CPC 41% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-10 LPC 50% CPC 41% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-17 LPC 49% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-24 LPC 49% CPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-31 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-07 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-14 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-21 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-09-28 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-10-05 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-10-12 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-10-19 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-10-26 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-02 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-09 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-16 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-23 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-11-30 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-12-07 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-12-14 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-12-21 LPC 44% CPC 41% NDP 11% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2025-12-28 LPC 44% CPC 41% NDP 11% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2026-01-04 LPC 43% CPC 41% NDP 11% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2026-01-11 LPC 43% CPC 41% NDP 11% GPC 3% PPC 1% 2026-01-18

Ontario only
 Rating Leader
Abacus
Data
2026-01-14, n=2,008
 A−
44
40
8
4
LPC +4
Abacus
Data
2026-01-12, n=1,850
 A−
44
43
8
2
LPC +1
Pallas Data
2026-01-11, n=1,120
 A−
44
40
11
3
LPC +4
Liaison
Strategies
2026-01-11, n=1,000
 B+
47
36
13
1
LPC +11
Liaison
Strategies
2026-01-07, n=1,000
 B+
44
37
14
2
LPC +7
Liaison
Strategies
2025-12-30, n=1,000
 B+
42
38
11
4
LPC +4
Liaison
Strategies
2025-12-24, n=1,000
 B+
45
37
11
3
LPC +8
Liaison
Strategies
2025-12-20, n=1,000
 B+
43
38
13
2
LPC +5
Pallas Data
2025-12-14, n=1,074
 A−
47
41
9
2
LPC +6
Ipsos
2025-12-12, n=1,502
 A
42
42
10
3
Tie
Innovative
Research
2025-12-09, n=2,159
 B−
44
42
10
4
LPC +2
Abacus
Data
2025-12-07, n=1,500
 A−
45
44
7
2
LPC +1
Abacus
Data
2025-11-30, n=1,802
 A−
45
44
7
3
LPC +1
Léger
2025-11-29, n=1,579
 A+
48
35
9
5
LPC +13
Liaison
Strategies
2025-11-29, n=1,000
 B+
45
35
13
3
LPC +10
Innovative
Research
2025-11-29, n=1,846
 B−
46
40
9
4
LPC +6
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-11-28, n=4,025
 A−
48
39
9
2
LPC +9
Abacus
Data
2025-11-24, n=2,421
 A−
46
43
8
2
LPC +3
EKOS
2025-11-09, n=1,191
 B+
45
40
10
2
LPC +5
Liaison
Strategies
2025-11-08, n=1,000
 B+
49
35
10
3
LPC +14
Abacus
Data
2025-11-06, n=1,916
 A−
44
43
8
3
LPC +1
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-11-06, n=2,038
 A−
46
39
9
4
LPC +7
Liaison
Strategies
2025-11-02, n=1,000
 B+
43
38
12
3
LPC +5
EKOS
2025-11-02, n=1,126
 B+
46
38
10
3
LPC +8
Léger
2025-11-01, n=1,585
 A+
48
42
6
3
LPC +6
Abacus
Data
2025-10-27, n=2,922
 A−
44
44
8
3
Tie
EKOS
2025-10-23, n=1,199
 B+
49
33
12
3
LPC +16
Innovative
Research
2025-10-17, n=4,106
 B−
43
43
9
4
Tie
Pallas Data
2025-10-14, n=1,206
 A−
45
38
11
4
LPC +7
Abacus
Data
2025-10-12, n=4,501
 A−
44
43
8
3
LPC +1
Léger
2025-10-04, n=1,562
 A+
48
39
9
3
LPC +9
Abacus
Data
2025-09-29, n=1,504
 A−
45
42
7
3
LPC +3
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-09-21, n=1,570
 A−
44
42
10
3
LPC +2
Liaison
Strategies
2025-09-20, n=1,000
 B+
47
38
10
2
LPC +9
Abacus
Data
2025-09-15, n=2,230
 A−
45
43
6
3
LPC +2
Mainstreet
Research
2025-09-13, n=958
 A−
48
41
6
2
LPC +7
R
esearch
Co.
2025-09-11, n=1,003
 A−
48
39
7
4
LPC +9
EKOS
2025-09-09, n=1,614
 B+
48
34
12
4
LPC +14
Ipsos
2025-09-07, n=1,001
 A
46
42
5
3
LPC +4
Léger
2025-09-06, n=1,592
 A+
49
42
6
3
LPC +7
Angus Reid
Institute
2025-09-02, n=3,656
 A−
43
43
10
3
Tie
Abacus
Data
2025-08-31, n=1,500
 A−
47
43
5
2
LPC +4
Mainstreet
Research
2025-08-30, n=1,008
 A−
46
38
9
2
LPC +8
Liaison
Strategies
2025-08-26, n=1,000
 B+
47
36
11
3
LPC +11
Abacus
Data
2025-08-17, n=1,915
 A−
46
44
8
2
LPC +2
Liaison
Strategies
2025-08-07, n=1,000
 B+
47
36
12
3
LPC +11
Abacus
Data
2025-08-04, n=1,686
 A−
48
41
7
3
LPC +7
Léger
2025-08-03, n=1,617
 A+
52
39
5
3
LPC +13
Pallas Data
2025-07-31, n=1,301
 A−
47
41
6
2
LPC +6
Abacus
Data
2025-07-13, n=1,915
 A−
46
43
7
3
LPC +3
EKOS
2025-07-11, n=1,817
 B+
50
30
12
4
LPC +20
Léger
2025-07-05, n=1,546
 A+
53
37
5
3
LPC +16
R
esearch
Co.
2025-07-01, n=1,001
 A−
53
41
4
1
LPC +12
Abacus
Data
2025-06-29, n=1,500
 A−
44
43
8
3
LPC +1
Abacus
Data
2025-06-18, n=1,500
 A−
48
41
6
2
LPC +7
Innovative
Research
2025-06-18, n=4,029
 B−
46
41
8
3
LPC +5
Abacus
Data
2025-06-04, n=2,585
 A−
47
41
7
2
LPC +6
Spark
Advocacy
2025-05-28, n=3,450
 NR
45
43
7
LPC +2
Léger
2025-05-24, n=1,025
 A+
54
37
5
3
LPC +17
Abacus
Data
2025-05-18, n=2,273
 A−
47
41
7
2
LPC +6
Innovative
Research
2025-05-17, n=2,517
 B−
47
40
8
3
LPC +7
Léger
2025-04-30, n=1,502
 A+
49
44
5
1
LPC +5