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Canada



Federal polls | Ontario



46% ± 6%▲
28% ± 5%
18% ± 4%
4% ± 2%
3% ± 3%

LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Voting intentions % 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 July 21, 2024 LPC 39% CPC 32% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 3% 2021-12-12 LPC 39% CPC 32% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 3% 2021-12-19 LPC 39% CPC 32% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 3% 2022-01-02 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 21% PPC 6% GPC 3% 2022-01-09 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 21% PPC 6% GPC 3% 2022-01-16 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 21% PPC 6% GPC 3% 2022-01-23 LPC 36% CPC 33% NDP 20% PPC 7% GPC 3% 2022-01-30 LPC 36% CPC 33% NDP 21% PPC 7% GPC 3% 2022-02-06 LPC 37% CPC 31% NDP 21% PPC 7% GPC 4% 2022-02-13 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 20% PPC 7% GPC 4% 2022-02-20 LPC 35% CPC 34% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-02-27 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-03-06 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-03-13 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 21% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-03-20 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 21% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-03-27 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 21% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-04-03 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-04-10 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-04-17 LPC 37% CPC 34% NDP 20% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-04-24 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 19% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-05-01 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 19% PPC 6% GPC 4% 2022-05-08 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 19% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-05-15 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 20% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-05-22 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 20% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-05-29 LPC 36% CPC 34% NDP 20% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-06-05 LPC 37% CPC 34% NDP 19% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-06-12 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 20% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-06-19 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 20% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-06-26 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 21% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-07-03 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 21% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-07-10 LPC 35% CPC 34% NDP 22% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-07-17 CPC 35% LPC 35% NDP 21% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-07-24 CPC 35% LPC 34% NDP 21% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-07-31 CPC 36% LPC 34% NDP 21% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-08-07 LPC 35% CPC 34% NDP 22% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-08-14 CPC 35% LPC 35% NDP 22% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-08-21 LPC 35% CPC 35% NDP 22% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-08-28 LPC 35% CPC 34% NDP 22% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-09-04 LPC 35% CPC 34% NDP 21% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-09-11 LPC 35% CPC 35% NDP 21% PPC 5% GPC 4% 2022-09-18 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 20% PPC 4% GPC 4% 2022-09-25 CPC 37% LPC 34% NDP 20% PPC 4% GPC 4% 2022-10-02 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 21% PPC 4% GPC 4% 2022-10-09 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-10-16 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-10-23 LPC 37% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-10-30 CPC 38% LPC 36% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-11-06 LPC 37% CPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-11-13 LPC 37% CPC 36% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-11-20 LPC 38% CPC 35% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-11-27 LPC 37% CPC 35% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-12-04 LPC 37% CPC 35% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 4% 2022-12-11 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2022-12-18 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 22% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2022-12-25 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-01-01 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-01-08 CPC 37% LPC 34% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-01-15 CPC 39% LPC 34% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-01-22 CPC 37% LPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-01-29 CPC 38% LPC 37% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-02-05 CPC 37% LPC 37% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-02-12 LPC 38% CPC 36% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-02-19 LPC 37% CPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-02-26 LPC 37% CPC 35% NDP 20% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-03-05 CPC 36% LPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-03-12 CPC 36% LPC 35% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-03-19 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-03-26 LPC 36% CPC 35% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-04-02 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-04-09 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 21% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-04-16 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-04-23 CPC 36% LPC 36% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-04-30 CPC 37% LPC 35% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-05-07 CPC 37% LPC 35% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2023-05-14 CPC 38% LPC 34% NDP 20% GPC 5% PPC 4% 2023-05-21 CPC 37% LPC 34% NDP 20% GPC 5% PPC 4% 2023-05-28 CPC 37% LPC 35% NDP 20% GPC 5% PPC 4% 2023-06-04 CPC 37% LPC 34% NDP 21% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-06-11 CPC 37% LPC 35% NDP 20% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-06-18 LPC 36% CPC 36% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-06-25 CPC 36% LPC 36% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-07-02 CPC 37% LPC 36% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-07-09 CPC 37% LPC 36% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-07-16 CPC 37% LPC 37% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-07-23 CPC 39% LPC 34% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-07-30 CPC 39% LPC 34% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-08-06 CPC 39% LPC 34% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-08-13 CPC 39% LPC 34% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-08-20 CPC 40% LPC 33% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-08-27 CPC 40% LPC 32% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-09-03 CPC 40% LPC 33% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-09-10 CPC 40% LPC 33% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-09-17 CPC 40% LPC 34% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-09-24 CPC 41% LPC 33% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-10-01 CPC 41% LPC 33% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-10-08 CPC 42% LPC 32% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-10-15 CPC 43% LPC 31% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-10-22 CPC 43% LPC 32% NDP 17% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-10-29 CPC 43% LPC 32% NDP 17% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-11-05 CPC 42% LPC 32% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-11-12 CPC 43% LPC 30% NDP 18% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2023-11-19 CPC 43% LPC 30% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-11-26 CPC 43% LPC 28% NDP 21% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-12-03 CPC 43% LPC 28% NDP 21% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-12-10 CPC 42% LPC 30% NDP 20% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2023-12-17 CPC 42% LPC 30% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2023-12-24 CPC 42% LPC 30% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2023-12-31 CPC 43% LPC 30% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-01-07 CPC 43% LPC 29% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-01-14 CPC 43% LPC 30% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-01-21 CPC 43% LPC 29% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-01-28 CPC 43% LPC 29% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-02-04 CPC 43% LPC 29% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-02-11 CPC 43% LPC 28% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-02-18 CPC 44% LPC 28% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-02-25 CPC 43% LPC 29% NDP 20% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-03-03 CPC 44% LPC 28% NDP 19% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-03-10 CPC 44% LPC 28% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-03-17 CPC 45% LPC 28% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-03-24 CPC 45% LPC 29% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-03-31 CPC 45% LPC 30% NDP 17% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-04-07 CPC 45% LPC 30% NDP 17% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-04-14 CPC 46% LPC 29% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-04-21 CPC 45% LPC 29% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-04-28 CPC 46% LPC 28% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-05-05 CPC 46% LPC 28% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-05-12 CPC 46% LPC 28% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-05-19 CPC 45% LPC 29% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-05-26 CPC 45% LPC 29% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-06-02 CPC 45% LPC 29% NDP 18% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-06-09 CPC 44% LPC 29% NDP 19% GPC 5% PPC 2% 2024-06-16 CPC 44% LPC 28% NDP 20% GPC 5% PPC 3% 2024-06-23 CPC 45% LPC 28% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-06-30 CPC 45% LPC 28% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-07-07 CPC 45% LPC 28% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-07-14 CPC 46% LPC 28% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2024-07-21 Projection updated July 21, 2024



Important note: Some polls are not be listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as the Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.

Firm Date (middle) LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Leader
ON Abacus Data 2024-07-19 27 43 20 5 5 CPC +16
ON Abacus Data 2024-07-07 26 47 17 5 4 CPC +21
ON Abacus Data 2024-06-23 27 44 19 5 4 CPC +17
ON Léger 2024-06-22 30 45 17 5 2 CPC +15
ON Spark Advocacy 2024-06-18 24 46 15 5 4 CPC +22
ON Angus Reid 2024-06-16 26 46 20 5 1 CPC +20
ON Ipsos 2024-06-13 28 45 17 3 6 CPC +17
ON Abacus Data 2024-06-10 27 44 20 5 3 CPC +17
ON Léger 2024-05-25 24 42 22 7 3 CPC +18
ON Abacus Data 2024-05-19 29 44 18 5 4 CPC +15
ON Abacus Data 2024-05-13 29 45 17 4 5 CPC +16
ON Ipsos 2024-05-12 31 47 15 2 4 CPC +16
ON Mainstreet Research 2024-04-29 29 47 14 4 4 CPC +18
ON Léger 2024-04-27 25 47 19 7 2 CPC +22
ON Abacus Data 2024-04-27 27 46 18 3 6 CPC +19
ON Angus Reid 2024-04-21 28 46 18 5 1 CPC +18
ON EKOS 2024-04-20 30 38 23 4 4 CPC +8
ON Ipsos 2024-04-18 30 41 21 3 5 CPC +11
ON Abacus Data 2024-04-14 28 43 19 6 3 CPC +15
ON Research Co. 2024-04-09 30 40 22 5 1 CPC +10
ON Pallas Data 2024-04-08 31 42 17 6 3 CPC +11
ON Abacus Data 2024-04-07 26 45 20 5 4 CPC +19
ON Léger 2024-03-24 27 48 15 7 2 CPC +21
ON Abacus Data 2024-03-19 28 44 19 4 4 CPC +16
ON Ipsos 2024-03-17 24 43 22 6 5 CPC +19
ON Abacus Data 2024-03-03 29 42 19 5 5 CPC +13
ON Angus Reid 2024-03-02 29 41 21 5 2 CPC +12
ON Léger 2024-02-24 28 44 19 5 2 CPC +16
ON Abacus Data 2024-02-19 28 44 18 5 4 CPC +16
ON Abacus Data 2024-02-05 28 42 20 4 5 CPC +14
ON Léger 2024-01-27 28 40 21 8 3 CPC +12
ON Ipsos 2024-01-21 26 39 27 3 4 CPC +12
ON Abacus Data 2024-01-21 29 43 19 4 5 CPC +14
ON Angus Reid 2024-01-17 28 45 19 5 1 CPC +17
ON Abacus Data 2024-01-07 29 41 20 5 6 CPC +12
ON Spark Advocacy 2023-12-27 31 41 19 5 5 CPC +10
ON Léger 2023-12-16 29 42 18 8 2 CPC +13
ON Pallas Data 2023-12-14 27 41 19 8 5 CPC +14
ON Abacus Data 2023-12-10 30 39 20 5 5 CPC +9
ON Mainstreet Research 2023-12-09 26 42 18 7 4 CPC +16
ON Angus Reid 2023-11-28 28 43 21 5 1 CPC +15
ON Research Co. 2023-11-26 27 42 22 6 3 CPC +15
ON Abacus Data 2023-11-26 29 42 19 4 5 CPC +13
ON Léger 2023-11-25 28 41 22 5 2 CPC +13
ON Innovative Research 2023-11-20 28 41 20 6 CPC +13
ON Abacus Data 2023-11-18 27 41 21 5 6 CPC +14
ON Ipsos 2023-11-16 27 39 24 5 5 CPC +12
ON Angus Reid 2023-11-12 31 44 19 4 1 CPC +13
ON Abacus Data 2023-11-11 29 44 18 4 4 CPC +15
ON Mainstreet Research 2023-11-06 29 42 19 5 3 CPC +13
ON Abacus Data 2023-10-30 33 37 20 4 5 CPC +4
ON Léger 2023-10-28 26 44 18 8 3 CPC +18
ON Pallas Data 2023-10-22 32 41 19 4 2 CPC +9
ON Innovative Research 2023-10-20 27 40 22 6 CPC +13
ON Angus Reid 2023-10-11 32 42 21 3 2 CPC +10
ON Abacus Data 2023-10-08 30 42 19 5 3 CPC +12
ON Abacus Data 2023-10-02 30 41 18 4 6 CPC +11
ON Léger 2023-09-23 28 45 18 4 2 CPC +17
ON EKOS 2023-09-22 28 43 20 7 2 CPC +15
ON Ipsos 2023-09-17 39 39 16 4 2 Tie
ON Abacus Data 2023-09-10 33 39 21 3 4 CPC +6
ON Research Co. 2023-09-03 35 40 19 4 1 CPC +5
ON Angus Reid 2023-09-03 30 42 21 4 2 CPC +12
ON Abacus Data 2023-09-02 31 38 20 5 5 CPC +7
ON Léger 2023-08-26 28 42 20 5 4 CPC +14
ON Abacus Data 2023-08-21 31 39 20 5 5 CPC +8
ON Pallas Data 2023-08-17 36 38 18 5 2 CPC +2
ON Angus Reid 2023-08-10 36 39 19 5 1 CPC +3
ON Abacus Data 2023-08-05 33 37 22 5 4 CPC +4
ON Abacus Data 2023-07-23 33 39 19 4 4 CPC +6
ON Léger 2023-07-09 30 39 19 5 4 CPC +9
ON Abacus Data 2023-06-25 36 33 20 4 5 LPC +3
ON Ipsos 2023-06-20 38 38 18 3 1 Tie
ON Pollara 2023-06-16 35 33 23 5 3 LPC +2
ON Abacus Data 2023-06-09 35 36 19 5 5 CPC +1
ON Angus Reid 2023-06-01 35 38 19 4 2 CPC +3
ON Léger 2023-05-28 34 36 20 7 1 CPC +2
ON Abacus Data 2023-05-11 36 34 18 4 6 LPC +2
ON Léger 2023-05-07 33 34 24 5 3 CPC +1
ON Abacus Data 2023-05-01 36 35 17 4 7 LPC +1
ON Léger 2023-04-22 33 37 23 4 3 CPC +4
ON Léger 2023-04-08 32 35 24 5 5 CPC +3
ON Abacus Data 2023-03-19 36 35 17 4 7 LPC +1
ON Léger 2023-03-11 37 33 21 6 2 LPC +4
ON Angus Reid 2023-03-10 34 37 21 4 2 CPC +3
ON Mainstreet Research 2023-03-09 35 39 16 4 3 CPC +4
ON Abacus Data 2023-03-09 34 36 20 4 6 CPC +2
ON EKOS 2023-03-08 33 31 26 6 3 LPC +2
ON Abacus Data 2023-03-03 35 37 18 4 5 CPC +2
ON Research Co. 2023-02-26 39 34 19 5 1 LPC +5
ON Ipsos 2023-02-16 37 34 21 5 4 LPC +3
ON Abacus Data 2023-02-15 35 38 18 4 4 CPC +3
ON Léger 2023-02-11 35 37 20 5 3 CPC +2
ON Nanos Research (1/4) 2023-02-10 38 33 21 5 3 LPC +5
ON Pollara 2023-01-31 35 35 21 4 4 Tie
ON Abacus Data 2023-01-29 35 37 18 3 6 CPC +2
ON Mainstreet Research 2023-01-26 38 36 16 6 2 LPC +2
ON Léger 2023-01-21 40 33 20 4 2 LPC +7
ON Abacus Data 2023-01-14 36 37 18 3 6 CPC +1
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-12-15 36 35 18 6 4 LPC +1
ON Léger 2022-12-10 29 36 26 5 3 CPC +7
ON Abacus Data 2022-12-08 35 39 18 4 5 CPC +4
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-12-07 35 38 18 5 3 CPC +3
ON EKOS 2022-11-17 37 33 18 7 4 LPC +4
ON Léger 2022-11-12 34 36 20 5 3 CPC +2
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-11-06 36 34 20 3 6 LPC +2
ON Research Co. 2022-10-25 32 41 20 3 1 CPC +9
ON Abacus Data 2022-10-24 34 37 18 5 5 CPC +3
ON Léger 2022-10-09 36 32 23 4 4 LPC +4
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-09-22 39 39 13 3 3 Tie
ON Angus Reid 2022-09-21 36 39 20 3 1 CPC +3
ON Ipsos 2022-09-20 30 37 23 4 4 CPC +7
ON Léger 2022-09-17 32 34 24 4 4 CPC +2
ON EKOS 2022-09-15 41 33 16 7 3 LPC +8
ON Abacus Data 2022-09-13 34 38 19 4 5 CPC +4
ON Abacus Data 2022-08-28 35 36 21 2 5 CPC +1
ON Léger 2022-08-06 34 28 26 5 5 LPC +6
ON Abacus Data 2022-07-25 35 35 21 4 5 Tie
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-07-17 31 39 19 3 5 CPC +8
ON Abacus Data 2022-07-15 35 36 20 3 5 CPC +1
ON Léger 2022-07-09 32 29 26 5 6 LPC +3
ON Abacus Data 2022-06-20 34 37 17 4 6 CPC +3
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-06-15 39 24 26 5 4 LPC +13
ON Ipsos 2022-06-11 34 36 23 2 3 CPC +2
ON Léger 2022-06-11 36 32 23 3 4 LPC +4
ON Abacus Data 2022-05-22 36 31 20 5 7 LPC +5
ON EKOS 2022-05-15 34 36 20 4 5 CPC +2
ON EKOS 2022-05-06 37 31 21 5 4 LPC +6
ON Abacus Data 2022-05-05 35 31 21 3 9 LPC +4
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-04-29 35 39 19 3 CPC +4
ON Léger 2022-04-09 33 30 21 7 7 LPC +3
ON Abacus Data 2022-04-07 38 34 17 3 7 LPC +4
ON Abacus Data 2022-03-24 36 33 17 5 7 LPC +3
ON Léger 2022-03-05 32 33 24 6 5 CPC +1
ON Léger 2022-02-26 40 30 21 3 6 LPC +10
ON Ipsos 2022-02-20 36 33 23 1 4 LPC +3
ON Abacus Data 2022-02-20 35 32 22 3 7 LPC +3
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-02-17 36 38 16 2 7 CPC +2
ON Abacus Data 2022-02-06 34 32 20 3 8 LPC +2
ON Léger 2022-02-05 34 27 27 6 6 LPC +7
ON Mainstreet Research 2022-01-23 34 28 18 3 14 LPC +6
ON Léger 2022-01-22 42 28 20 3 5 LPC +14
ON EKOS 2022-01-13 34 31 21 4 9 LPC +3
ON Abacus Data 2022-01-10 37 34 19 3 7 LPC +3
ON Angus Reid 2022-01-10 36 31 22 3 6 LPC +5
ON EKOS 2021-12-18 35 28 25 2 8 LPC +7
ON Léger 2021-12-04 41 29 21 2 6 LPC +12
ON Mainstreet Research 2021-11-29 33 34 16 4 11 CPC +1
ON Abacus Data 2021-11-28 37 31 22 2 7 LPC +6
ON Angus Reid 2021-11-28 39 31 20 3 6 LPC +8
ON EKOS 2021-11-19 35 27 22 4 11 LPC +8
ON Léger 2021-11-06 39 26 26 2 6 LPC +13
ON Mainstreet Research 2021-10-24 38 33 16 2 LPC +5
ON Abacus Data 2021-10-18 40 30 21 2 5 LPC +10

[** Double asterix indicates this is a leaked internal poll or a poll coming from a partisan source.]