Federal polls | Ontario
Projection updated December 15, 2024
Important note: Some polls are not be listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as the Nanos weekly updates),
but they are included in the projections.
Firm | Date (middle) | LPC | CPC | NDP | GPC | PPC | Leader | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ON | Ipsos | 2024-12-20 | 20 | 47 | 24 | 3 | 5 | CPC +23 |
ON | EKOS | 2024-12-18 | 23 | 45 | 22 | 5 | 2 | CPC +22 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-12-17 | 27 | 44 | 17 | 6 | 5 | CPC +17 |
ON | Ipsos | 2024-12-08 | 22 | 45 | 25 | 2 | 5 | CPC +20 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-12-02 | 24 | 48 | 19 | 5 | 4 | CPC +24 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-12-01 | 21 | 49 | 23 | 4 | 2 | CPC +26 |
ON | Léger | 2024-11-30 | 25 | 48 | 18 | 6 | 3 | CPC +23 |
ON | EKOS | 2024-11-18 | 29 | 42 | 18 | 6 | 3 | CPC +13 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-11-17 | 24 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 5 | CPC +23 |
ON | EKOS | 2024-11-06 | 32 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 3 | CPC +8 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-11-03 | 25 | 45 | 20 | 5 | 5 | CPC +20 |
ON | Léger | 2024-11-02 | 28 | 48 | 15 | 6 | 3 | CPC +20 |
ON | EKOS | 2024-10-26 | 27 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 3 | CPC +13 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-10-25 | 25 | 47 | 21 | 5 | 1 | CPC +22 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-10-20 | 26 | 44 | 20 | 5 | 4 | CPC +18 |
ON | Campaign Research | 2024-10-09 | 27 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 3 | CPC +19 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-10-07 | 25 | 47 | 20 | 4 | 4 | CPC +22 |
ON | Pallas Data | 2024-10-05 | 27 | 44 | 20 | 6 | 2 | CPC +17 |
ON | Léger | 2024-09-28 | 30 | 46 | 15 | 5 | 3 | CPC +16 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-09-22 | 22 | 46 | 20 | 5 | 6 | CPC +24 |
ON | Léger | 2024-09-21 | 28 | 43 | 18 | 7 | 3 | CPC +15 |
ON | EKOS | 2024-09-21 | 29 | 47 | 13 | 5 | 4 | CPC +18 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-09-15 | 27 | 45 | 20 | 4 | 2 | CPC +18 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-09-09 | 25 | 46 | 17 | 7 | 5 | CPC +21 |
ON | Ipsos | 2024-09-08 | 30 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 1 | CPC +16 |
ON | Léger | 2024-09-07 | 25 | 51 | 17 | 6 | 1 | CPC +26 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-09-01 | 23 | 48 | 20 | 6 | 1 | CPC +25 |
ON | Léger | 2024-08-24 | 30 | 43 | 14 | 9 | 3 | CPC +13 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-08-16 | 27 | 44 | 19 | 5 | 4 | CPC +17 |
ON | Research Co. | 2024-08-13 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 9 | 2 | CPC +10 |
ON | EKOS | 2024-08-10 | 26 | 44 | 18 | 7 | 2 | CPC +18 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-08-04 | 26 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 5 | CPC +18 |
ON | Léger | 2024-07-27 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 4 | CPC +13 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-07-19 | 27 | 43 | 20 | 5 | 5 | CPC +16 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-07-07 | 26 | 47 | 17 | 5 | 4 | CPC +21 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-06-23 | 27 | 44 | 19 | 5 | 4 | CPC +17 |
ON | Léger | 2024-06-22 | 30 | 45 | 17 | 5 | 2 | CPC +15 |
ON | Spark Advocacy | 2024-06-18 | 24 | 46 | 15 | 5 | 4 | CPC +22 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-06-16 | 26 | 46 | 20 | 5 | 1 | CPC +20 |
ON | Ipsos | 2024-06-13 | 28 | 45 | 17 | 3 | 6 | CPC +17 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-06-10 | 27 | 44 | 20 | 5 | 3 | CPC +17 |
ON | Léger | 2024-05-25 | 24 | 42 | 22 | 7 | 3 | CPC +18 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-05-19 | 29 | 44 | 18 | 5 | 4 | CPC +15 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-05-13 | 29 | 45 | 17 | 4 | 5 | CPC +16 |
ON | Ipsos | 2024-05-12 | 31 | 47 | 15 | 2 | 4 | CPC +16 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2024-04-29 | 29 | 47 | 14 | 4 | 4 | CPC +18 |
ON | Léger | 2024-04-27 | 25 | 47 | 19 | 7 | 2 | CPC +22 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-04-27 | 27 | 46 | 18 | 3 | 6 | CPC +19 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-04-21 | 28 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 1 | CPC +18 |
ON | EKOS | 2024-04-20 | 30 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 4 | CPC +8 |
ON | Ipsos | 2024-04-18 | 30 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 5 | CPC +11 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-04-14 | 28 | 43 | 19 | 6 | 3 | CPC +15 |
ON | Research Co. | 2024-04-09 | 30 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 1 | CPC +10 |
ON | Pallas Data | 2024-04-08 | 31 | 42 | 17 | 6 | 3 | CPC +11 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-04-07 | 26 | 45 | 20 | 5 | 4 | CPC +19 |
ON | Léger | 2024-03-24 | 27 | 48 | 15 | 7 | 2 | CPC +21 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-03-19 | 28 | 44 | 19 | 4 | 4 | CPC +16 |
ON | Ipsos | 2024-03-17 | 24 | 43 | 22 | 6 | 5 | CPC +19 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-03-03 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 5 | CPC +13 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-03-02 | 29 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 2 | CPC +12 |
ON | Léger | 2024-02-24 | 28 | 44 | 19 | 5 | 2 | CPC +16 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-02-19 | 28 | 44 | 18 | 5 | 4 | CPC +16 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-02-05 | 28 | 42 | 20 | 4 | 5 | CPC +14 |
ON | Léger | 2024-01-27 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 8 | 3 | CPC +12 |
ON | Ipsos | 2024-01-21 | 26 | 39 | 27 | 3 | 4 | CPC +12 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-01-21 | 29 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 5 | CPC +14 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2024-01-17 | 28 | 45 | 19 | 5 | 1 | CPC +17 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2024-01-07 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 5 | 6 | CPC +12 |
ON | Spark Advocacy | 2023-12-27 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 5 | 5 | CPC +10 |
ON | Léger | 2023-12-16 | 29 | 42 | 18 | 8 | 2 | CPC +13 |
ON | Pallas Data | 2023-12-14 | 27 | 41 | 19 | 8 | 5 | CPC +14 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-12-10 | 30 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 5 | CPC +9 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2023-12-09 | 26 | 42 | 18 | 7 | 4 | CPC +16 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2023-11-28 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 1 | CPC +15 |
ON | Research Co. | 2023-11-26 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 6 | 3 | CPC +15 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-11-26 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 5 | CPC +13 |
ON | Léger | 2023-11-25 | 28 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 2 | CPC +13 |
ON | Innovative Research | 2023-11-20 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 6 | CPC +13 | |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-11-18 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 6 | CPC +14 |
ON | Ipsos | 2023-11-16 | 27 | 39 | 24 | 5 | 5 | CPC +12 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2023-11-12 | 31 | 44 | 19 | 4 | 1 | CPC +13 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-11-11 | 29 | 44 | 18 | 4 | 4 | CPC +15 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2023-11-06 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 3 | CPC +13 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-10-30 | 33 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 5 | CPC +4 |
ON | Léger | 2023-10-28 | 26 | 44 | 18 | 8 | 3 | CPC +18 |
ON | Pallas Data | 2023-10-22 | 32 | 41 | 19 | 4 | 2 | CPC +9 |
ON | Innovative Research | 2023-10-20 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 6 | CPC +13 | |
ON | Angus Reid | 2023-10-11 | 32 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 2 | CPC +10 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-10-08 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 3 | CPC +12 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-10-02 | 30 | 41 | 18 | 4 | 6 | CPC +11 |
ON | Léger | 2023-09-23 | 28 | 45 | 18 | 4 | 2 | CPC +17 |
ON | EKOS | 2023-09-22 | 28 | 43 | 20 | 7 | 2 | CPC +15 |
ON | Ipsos | 2023-09-17 | 39 | 39 | 16 | 4 | 2 | Tie |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-09-10 | 33 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 4 | CPC +6 |
ON | Research Co. | 2023-09-03 | 35 | 40 | 19 | 4 | 1 | CPC +5 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2023-09-03 | 30 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 2 | CPC +12 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-09-02 | 31 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 5 | CPC +7 |
ON | Léger | 2023-08-26 | 28 | 42 | 20 | 5 | 4 | CPC +14 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-08-21 | 31 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 5 | CPC +8 |
ON | Pallas Data | 2023-08-17 | 36 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 2 | CPC +2 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2023-08-10 | 36 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 1 | CPC +3 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-08-05 | 33 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 4 | CPC +4 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-07-23 | 33 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 4 | CPC +6 |
ON | Léger | 2023-07-09 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 4 | CPC +9 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-06-25 | 36 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 5 | LPC +3 |
ON | Ipsos | 2023-06-20 | 38 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 1 | Tie |
ON | Pollara | 2023-06-16 | 35 | 33 | 23 | 5 | 3 | LPC +2 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-06-09 | 35 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 5 | CPC +1 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2023-06-01 | 35 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 2 | CPC +3 |
ON | Léger | 2023-05-28 | 34 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 1 | CPC +2 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-05-11 | 36 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 6 | LPC +2 |
ON | Léger | 2023-05-07 | 33 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 3 | CPC +1 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-05-01 | 36 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 7 | LPC +1 |
ON | Léger | 2023-04-22 | 33 | 37 | 23 | 4 | 3 | CPC +4 |
ON | Léger | 2023-04-08 | 32 | 35 | 24 | 5 | 5 | CPC +3 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-03-19 | 36 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 7 | LPC +1 |
ON | Léger | 2023-03-11 | 37 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 2 | LPC +4 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2023-03-10 | 34 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 2 | CPC +3 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2023-03-09 | 35 | 39 | 16 | 4 | 3 | CPC +4 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-03-09 | 34 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 6 | CPC +2 |
ON | EKOS | 2023-03-08 | 33 | 31 | 26 | 6 | 3 | LPC +2 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-03-03 | 35 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 5 | CPC +2 |
ON | Research Co. | 2023-02-26 | 39 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | LPC +5 |
ON | Ipsos | 2023-02-16 | 37 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 4 | LPC +3 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-02-15 | 35 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 4 | CPC +3 |
ON | Léger | 2023-02-11 | 35 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 3 | CPC +2 |
ON | Nanos Research (1/4) | 2023-02-10 | 38 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 3 | LPC +5 |
ON | Pollara | 2023-01-31 | 35 | 35 | 21 | 4 | 4 | Tie |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-01-29 | 35 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 6 | CPC +2 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2023-01-26 | 38 | 36 | 16 | 6 | 2 | LPC +2 |
ON | Léger | 2023-01-21 | 40 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 2 | LPC +7 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2023-01-14 | 36 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 6 | CPC +1 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-12-15 | 36 | 35 | 18 | 6 | 4 | LPC +1 |
ON | Léger | 2022-12-10 | 29 | 36 | 26 | 5 | 3 | CPC +7 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-12-08 | 35 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 5 | CPC +4 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-12-07 | 35 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 3 | CPC +3 |
ON | EKOS | 2022-11-17 | 37 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 4 | LPC +4 |
ON | Léger | 2022-11-12 | 34 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 3 | CPC +2 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-11-06 | 36 | 34 | 20 | 3 | 6 | LPC +2 |
ON | Research Co. | 2022-10-25 | 32 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 1 | CPC +9 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-10-24 | 34 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 5 | CPC +3 |
ON | Léger | 2022-10-09 | 36 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 4 | LPC +4 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-09-22 | 39 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 3 | Tie |
ON | Angus Reid | 2022-09-21 | 36 | 39 | 20 | 3 | 1 | CPC +3 |
ON | Ipsos | 2022-09-20 | 30 | 37 | 23 | 4 | 4 | CPC +7 |
ON | Léger | 2022-09-17 | 32 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 4 | CPC +2 |
ON | EKOS | 2022-09-15 | 41 | 33 | 16 | 7 | 3 | LPC +8 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-09-13 | 34 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 5 | CPC +4 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-08-28 | 35 | 36 | 21 | 2 | 5 | CPC +1 |
ON | Léger | 2022-08-06 | 34 | 28 | 26 | 5 | 5 | LPC +6 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-07-25 | 35 | 35 | 21 | 4 | 5 | Tie |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-07-17 | 31 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 5 | CPC +8 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-07-15 | 35 | 36 | 20 | 3 | 5 | CPC +1 |
ON | Léger | 2022-07-09 | 32 | 29 | 26 | 5 | 6 | LPC +3 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-06-20 | 34 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 6 | CPC +3 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-06-15 | 39 | 24 | 26 | 5 | 4 | LPC +13 |
ON | Ipsos | 2022-06-11 | 34 | 36 | 23 | 2 | 3 | CPC +2 |
ON | Léger | 2022-06-11 | 36 | 32 | 23 | 3 | 4 | LPC +4 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-05-22 | 36 | 31 | 20 | 5 | 7 | LPC +5 |
ON | EKOS | 2022-05-15 | 34 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 5 | CPC +2 |
ON | EKOS | 2022-05-06 | 37 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 4 | LPC +6 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-05-05 | 35 | 31 | 21 | 3 | 9 | LPC +4 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-04-29 | 35 | 39 | 19 | 3 | CPC +4 | |
ON | Léger | 2022-04-09 | 33 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 7 | LPC +3 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-04-07 | 38 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 7 | LPC +4 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-03-24 | 36 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 7 | LPC +3 |
ON | Léger | 2022-03-05 | 32 | 33 | 24 | 6 | 5 | CPC +1 |
ON | Léger | 2022-02-26 | 40 | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | LPC +10 |
ON | Ipsos | 2022-02-20 | 36 | 33 | 23 | 1 | 4 | LPC +3 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-02-20 | 35 | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | LPC +3 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-02-17 | 36 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 7 | CPC +2 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-02-06 | 34 | 32 | 20 | 3 | 8 | LPC +2 |
ON | Léger | 2022-02-05 | 34 | 27 | 27 | 6 | 6 | LPC +7 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2022-01-23 | 34 | 28 | 18 | 3 | 14 | LPC +6 |
ON | Léger | 2022-01-22 | 42 | 28 | 20 | 3 | 5 | LPC +14 |
ON | EKOS | 2022-01-13 | 34 | 31 | 21 | 4 | 9 | LPC +3 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2022-01-10 | 37 | 34 | 19 | 3 | 7 | LPC +3 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2022-01-10 | 36 | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | LPC +5 |
ON | EKOS | 2021-12-18 | 35 | 28 | 25 | 2 | 8 | LPC +7 |
ON | Léger | 2021-12-04 | 41 | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | LPC +12 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2021-11-29 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 11 | CPC +1 |
ON | Abacus Data | 2021-11-28 | 37 | 31 | 22 | 2 | 7 | LPC +6 |
ON | Angus Reid | 2021-11-28 | 39 | 31 | 20 | 3 | 6 | LPC +8 |
ON | EKOS | 2021-11-19 | 35 | 27 | 22 | 4 | 11 | LPC +8 |
ON | Léger | 2021-11-06 | 39 | 26 | 26 | 2 | 6 | LPC +13 |
ON | Mainstreet Research | 2021-10-24 | 38 | 33 | 16 | 2 | LPC +5 | |
ON | Abacus Data | 2021-10-18 | 40 | 30 | 21 | 2 | 5 | LPC +10 |