logo
logo
Canada



Federal polls | Ontario


49% ± 6%▼
42% ± 6%▲
6% ± 3%
1% ± 1%
1% ± 1%

LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Voting intentions % 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 August 24, 2025 CPC 49% LPC 24% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-01-12 CPC 48% LPC 25% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-01-19 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-01-26 CPC 45% LPC 29% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-02 CPC 44% LPC 32% NDP 17% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 14% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-16 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-23 CPC 41% LPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-02 CPC 42% LPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-09 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-16 LPC 42% CPC 40% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-18 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-20 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-21 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-22 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-23 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-24 LPC 45% CPC 39% NDP 10% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-25 LPC 45% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-26 LPC 46% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-27 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-28 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-29 LPC 47% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-30 LPC 47% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-31 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-04-01 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-02 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-03 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-04 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-05 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-06 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-07 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-08 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-09 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-10 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-12 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-13 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-14 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-15 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-17 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-18 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-19 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-20 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-21 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-22 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-23 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-24 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-25 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-26 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-28 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-30 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-11 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-18 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-25 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-01 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-08 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-15 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-22 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-29 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-06 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-13 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-20 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-27 LPC 50% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-03 LPC 50% CPC 41% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-10 LPC 50% CPC 41% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-17 LPC 49% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-08-24 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader
Projection updated August 24, 2025



Important note: Some polls are not listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as the Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.

Ontario only
 Rating Leader
Abacus
Data
2025-08-17, n=1,915
 A−
46
44
8
2
LPC +2
Liaison
Strategies
2025-08-07, n=1,000
 B+
47
36
12
3
LPC +11
Abacus
Data
2025-08-04, n=1,686
 A−
48
41
7
3
LPC +7
Léger
2025-08-03, n=1,617
 A+
52
39
5
3
LPC +13
Pallas Data
2025-07-31, n=1,301
 A−
47
41
6
2
LPC +6
Abacus
Data
2025-07-13, n=1,915
 A−
46
43
7
3
LPC +3
EKOS
2025-07-11, n=1,817
 B+
50
30
12
4
LPC +20
Léger
2025-07-05, n=1,546
 A+
53
37
5
3
LPC +16
R
esearch
Co.
2025-07-01, n=1,001
 A−
53
41
4
1
LPC +12
Abacus
Data
2025-06-29, n=1,500
 A−
44
43
8
3
LPC +1
Abacus
Data
2025-06-18, n=1,500
 A−
48
41
6
2
LPC +7
Innovative
Research
2025-06-18, n=4,029
 B−
46
41
8
3
LPC +5
Abacus
Data
2025-06-04, n=2,585
 A−
47
41
7
2
LPC +6
Spark
Advocacy
2025-05-28, n=3,450
 NR
45
43
7
LPC +2
Léger
2025-05-24, n=1,025
 A+
54
37
5
3
LPC +17
Abacus
Data
2025-05-18, n=2,273
 A−
47
41
7
2
LPC +6
Innovative
Research
2025-05-17, n=2,517
 B−
47
40
8
3
LPC +7
Léger
2025-04-30, n=1,502
 A+
49
44
5
1
LPC +5

[Looking for older federal polls? Find them QC-125

USA (Presidential) France (Presidential)
Montreal (Mayoral) Toronto (Mayoral)
Français