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Canada



Federal polls | Ontario


49% ± 6%▼
43% ± 6%
6% ± 2%▲
1% ± 1%
1% ± 1%

LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Voting intentions % 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 July 6, 2025 CPC 49% LPC 24% NDP 20% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-01-12 CPC 48% LPC 25% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-01-19 CPC 48% LPC 26% NDP 19% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-01-26 CPC 45% LPC 29% NDP 18% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-02 CPC 44% LPC 32% NDP 17% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-09 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 14% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-16 CPC 42% LPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-02-23 CPC 41% LPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-02 CPC 42% LPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-09 CPC 41% LPC 39% NDP 12% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-16 LPC 42% CPC 40% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-18 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-20 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-21 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-22 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-23 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% PPC 3% 2025-03-24 LPC 45% CPC 39% NDP 10% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-25 LPC 45% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-26 LPC 46% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-27 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-28 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 9% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-29 LPC 47% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 4% PPC 2% 2025-03-30 LPC 47% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-03-31 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 3% PPC 2% 2025-04-01 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-02 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-03 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-04 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-05 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-06 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-07 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-08 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 2% 2025-04-09 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-10 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-12 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-13 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-14 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-15 LPC 49% CPC 38% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-17 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-18 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-19 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-20 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-21 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-22 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-23 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-24 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-25 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-26 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 8% GPC 2% PPC 1% 2025-04-28 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-04-30 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-11 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-18 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-05-25 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-01 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-08 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-15 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-22 LPC 50% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-06-29 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 1% PPC 1% 2025-07-06 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader
Projection updated July 6, 2025



Important note: Some polls are not listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as the Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.

Firm Date (middle) LPC CPC NDP GPC Leader
ON Research Co. 2025-07-01 53 41 4 1 LPC +12
ON Abacus Data 2025-06-29 44 43 8 3 LPC +1
ON Abacus Data 2025-06-18 48 41 6 2 LPC +7
ON Abacus Data 2025-06-04 47 41 7 2 LPC +6
ON Spark
Advocacy
 2025-05-28 45 43 7 LPC +2
ON Léger 2025-05-24 54 37 5 3 LPC +17
ON Abacus Data 2025-05-18 47 41 7 2 LPC +6
ON Innovative
Research
 2025-05-17 47 40 8 3 LPC +7
ON Léger 2025-04-30 49 44 5 1 LPC +5

[Looking for older federal polls? Find them here.]