Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: September 5, 2026

The Road to 64 Seats

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Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
Abitibi-Est Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]	I	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Abitibi-Ouest Suzanne Blais	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Acadie André A. Morin	L	Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Karine Boivin Roy	CA	Likely LIB
Argenteuil Agnès Grondin	CA	Likely PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Alex Boissonneault	PQ	Leaning PQ
Beauce-Nord Luc Provençal	CA	PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud Samuel Poulin	CA	PCQ likely
Beauharnois Claude Reid	CA	Leaning CAQ
Bellechasse Stéphanie Lachance	CA	PCQ safe
Berthier Caroline Proulx	CA	Likely PQ
Bertrand France-Élaine Duranceau	CA	Likely PQ
Blainville Mario Laframboise	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Bonaventure Catherine Blouin	CA	Safe PQ
Borduas Simon Jolin-Barrette	CA	Likely CAQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Madwa-Nika Cadet	L	Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon	PQ	Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Isabelle Charest	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Chambly Jean-François Roberge	CA	Leaning CAQ
Champlain Sonia LeBel	CA	Leaning PQ
Chapleau Mathieu Lévesque	CA	Likely CAQ
Charlesbourg Jonatan Julien	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Kariane Bourassa	CA	Likely PQ
Châteauguay Marie-Belle Gendron	CA	Likely LIB
Chauveau Sylvain Lévesque	CA	PCQ likely
Chicoutimi Marie-Karlynn Laflamme	PQ	Safe PQ
Chomedey Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]	I	Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Martine Biron	CA	Toss up CAQ/CPQ
Côte-du-Sud Mathieu Rivest	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
D’Arcy-McGee Elisabeth Prass	L	Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Benoit Charette	CA	Leaning PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Sébastien Schneeberger	CA	Leaning PQ
Dubuc François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]	I	Likely PQ
Duplessis Kateri Champagne Jourdain	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Fabre Alice Abou-Khalil	CA	Likely LIB
Gaspé Stéphane Sainte-Croix	CA	Safe PQ
Gatineau Robert Bussière	CA	Leaning LIB
Gouin Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois	QS	QS safe
Granby François Bonnardel	CA	Likely CAQ
Groulx Eric Girard	CA	Leaning CAQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Alexandre Leduc	QS	Toss up PQ/QS
Hull Suzanne Tremblay	CA	Safe LIB
Huntingdon Carole Mallette	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Iberville Audrey Bogemans	CA	Leaning CAQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Joël Arseneau	PQ	Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Greg Kelley	L	Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Sol Zanetti	QS	Toss up PQ/QS
Jean-Talon Pascal Paradis	PQ	Likely PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Filomena Rotiroti	L	Safe LIB
Daniel-Johnson André Lamontagne	CA	Leaning CAQ
Joliette François St-Louis	CA	Safe PQ
Jonquière Yannick Gagnon	CA	Likely PQ
L’Assomption François Legault	CA	Leaning CAQ
La Peltrie Éric Caire	CA	PCQ likely
La Pinière Linda Caron	L	Safe LIB
La Prairie Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]	I	Leaning CAQ
Labelle Chantal Jeannotte	CA	Likely PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean Eric Girard	CA	Safe PQ
LaFontaine Marc Tanguay	L	Safe LIB
Pierre-Laporte Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion Andrès Fontecilla	QS	QS leaning
Laval-des-Rapides Céline Haytayan	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Marie-Louise Tardif	CA	Leaning PQ
Les Plaines Lucie Lecours	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Lévis Bernard Drainville	CA	Toss up CAQ/CPQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac Isabelle Lecours	CA	PCQ leaning
Louis-Hébert Geneviève Guilbault	CA	Leaning CAQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Fred Beauchemin	L	Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Shirley Dorismond	CA	Safe PQ
Marquette Enrico Ciccone	L	Safe LIB
Maskinongé Simon Allaire	CA	Leaning PQ
Masson Mathieu Lemay	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Pascal Bérubé	PQ	Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Haroun Bouazzi	QS	Likely PQ
Mégantic François Jacques	CA	Leaning CAQ
Mercier Ruba Ghazal	QS	QS safe
Mille-Îles Virginie Dufour	L	Likely LIB
Mirabel Sylvie D’Amours	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mont-Royal–Outremont Michelle Setlakwe	L	Safe LIB
Montarville Nathalie Roy	CA	Leaning CAQ
Montmorency Jean-François Simard	CA	PCQ likely
Nelligan Monsef Derraji	L	Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Donald Martel	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Désirée McGraw	L	Safe LIB
Orford Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]	I	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Papineau Mathieu Lacombe	CA	Likely CAQ
Pointe-aux-Trembles Chantal Rouleau	CA	Safe PQ
Pontiac André Fortin	L	Safe LIB
Portneuf Vincent Caron	CA	PCQ likely
Prévost Sonia Bélanger	CA	Likely PQ
René-Lévesque Yves Montigny	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Repentigny Pascale Déry	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Richelieu Jean-Bernard Émond	CA	Likely PQ
Richmond André Bachand	CA	Leaning CAQ
Rimouski Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]	C	Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Amélie Dionne	CA	Leaning PQ
Robert-Baldwin Brigitte Garceau	L	Safe LIB
Roberval Nancy Guillemette	CA	Likely PQ
Rosemont Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]	I	Toss up PQ/QS
Rousseau Louis-Charles Thouin	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Daniel Bernard	CA	Likely CAQ
Saint-François Geneviève Hébert	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Guillaume Cliche-Rivard	QS	Toss up LIB/QS
Saint-Hyacinthe Chantal Soucy	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-Jean Louis Lemieux	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-Jérôme Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]	I	Likely PQ
Saint-Laurent Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]	I	Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques Manon Massé	QS	QS likely
Sainte-Rose Christopher Skeete	CA	Leaning CAQ
Sanguinet Christine Fréchette	CA	Leaning PQ
Sherbrooke Christine Labrie	QS	Likely PQ
Soulanges Marilyne Picard	CA	Toss up LIB/CAQ
Taillon Lionel Carmant	CA	Likely PQ
Taschereau Étienne Grandmont	QS	Toss up PQ/QS
Terrebonne Catherine Gentilcore	PQ	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Trois-Rivières Jean Boulet	CA	Leaning CAQ
Ungava Denis Lamothe	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Vachon Ian Lafrenière	CA	Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Mario Asselin	CA	Toss up CAQ/CPQ
Vaudreuil Marie-Claude Nichols	L	Safe LIB
Verchères Suzanne Roy	CA	Leaning PQ
Verdun Alejandra Zaga-Mendez	QS	Likely LIB
Viau Frantz Benjamin	L	Likely LIB
Vimont-Auteuil Valérie Schmaltz	CA	Leaning LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Jennifer Maccarone	L	Safe LIB
Bellefeuille Vacant		Leaning PQ
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Vacant		Toss up PQ/CAQ