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Quebec


Latest update: May 16, 2025

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. La Prairie Likely CAQ LAPR 2. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ LASS 3. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ PAPI 4. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CAQ MEGA 5. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ CHPN 6. Montarville Toss up PQ/CAQ MTRV 7. Granby Toss up PQ/CAQ GRBY 8. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ IBER 9. Chapleau Toss up LIB/CAQ CHAP 10. Johnson Leaning PQ JOHN 11. Soulanges Leaning LIB SOUL 12. Groulx Leaning PQ GROU 13. Blainville Leaning PQ BLAI 14. Richmond Leaning PQ RCHM 15. Arthabaska Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ ARTH 16. Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ HUNT 17. Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ BROM 18. Gatineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ GATI 19. Mirabel Likely PQ MIRA 20. Beauharnois Likely PQ BEAU 21. Orford Toss up LIB/PQ ORFO 22. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ TRIV 23. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning LOTF 24. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ NICB 25. Saint-François Likely PQ STFR 26. Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ CODS 27. Borduas Likely PQ BORD 28. Lévis Likely PQ LEVI 29. Sanguinet Likely PQ SANG 30. Châteauguay Likely LIB CHAT 31. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely BEAS 32. Maskinongé Likely PQ MASK 33. Vachon Likely PQ VACH 34. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ DRBF 35. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ ABIE 36. Rousseau Likely PQ ROUS 37. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ STHY 38. Beauce-Nord PCQ likely BEAN 39. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ RDLT 40. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ RONT 41. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Likely PQ LASM 42. Chambly Likely PQ CHBY 43. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ CHCH 44. Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ UNGA 45. Portneuf PCQ leaning PORT 46. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ VALR 47. Chauveau PCQ likely CHAU 48. Sainte-Rose Likely LIB STRO 49. Les Plaines Likely PQ LPLA 50. Repentigny Likely PQ REPE 51. Bellechasse PCQ likely BELL 52. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ DMON 53. Masson Likely PQ MASS 54. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ LASJ 55. Louis-Hébert Safe PQ LHEB 56. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 57. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 58. Saint-Jean Safe PQ STJN 59. Laval-des-Rapides Likely LIB LVDR 60. Richelieu Safe PQ RCHL 61. Charlesbourg Likely PQ CHLB 62. La Peltrie PCQ likely LAPE 63. Terrebonne Safe PQ TERR 64. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 65. Verchères Safe PQ VERC 66. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 67. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 68. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 69. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 70. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 71. Taillon Safe PQ TAIL 72. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 73. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 74. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 75. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 76. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 77. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 78. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 79. Laporte Likely LIB LAPO 80. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 81. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 82. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 83. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 84. Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ MOMO 85. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 86. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 87. Hull Likely LIB HULL 88. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 89. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 90. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB ANLR 91. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 92. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ MRIC 93. Sherbrooke QS leaning SHER 94. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 95. Jean-Talon Safe PQ JTAL 96. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 97. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS ROSE 98. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 99. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 100. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 101. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ JLES 102. Taschereau Likely PQ TASH 103. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 104. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 105. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 106. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 107. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB SHSA 108. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 109. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 110. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning HOMA 111. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 112. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 113. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 114. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 115. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 116. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 117. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely SMSJ 118. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 119. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA 120. Gouin QS safe GOUI 121. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 122. Laurier-Dorion QS likely LAUD 123. Mercier QS likely MERC 124. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC LAPR LASS PAPI MEGA CHPN MTRV GRBY IBER CHAP JOHN SOUL GROU BLAI RCHM ARTH HUNT BROM GATI MIRA BEAU ORFO TRIV LOTF NICB STFR CODS BORD LEVI SANG CHAT BEAS MASK VACH DRBF ABIE ROUS STHY BEAN RDLT RONT LASM CHBY CHCH UNGA PORT VALR CHAU STRO LPLA REPE BELL DMON MASS LASJ LHEB DUBU ABIO STJN LVDR RCHL CHLB LAPE TERR CHIC VERC RLEV ROBE JONQ BRTH LABL TAIL STJR PATR PREV ARGE DUPL BERT RIMO LAPO JOLI MVIC BONA GASP MOMO VIMO CHCB HULL VAUD FABR ANLR IDLM MRIC SHER LAPI JTAL VERD ROSE MARG MILI MARQ JLES TASH CAML CHOM MTRO PONT SHSA NELL BOUS HOMA LAFO JMVI ACAD STLR VIAU MAMA SMSJ WSTL ROBA GOUI JACA LAUD MERC NODG DAMC 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: May 16, 2025 CAQ 4▼ [0-15]




63 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2022)
31 27 5 11 74
[60-80]		 3
24 6 1 2 33
[29-39]		 21
0 5 2 1 8
[4-11]		 0
1 3 2 0 6
[4-8]		 11
0 1 0 3 4
[0-15]		 90

List of all 125 electoral districts | Quebec


Electoral district Current party Latest projection
Abitibi-Est Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ
Acadie Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB
Argenteuil Safe PQ
Arthabaska Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Beauce-Nord PCQ likely
Beauce-Sud PCQ likely
Beauharnois Likely PQ
Bellechasse PCQ likely
Berthier Safe PQ
Bertrand Safe PQ
Blainville Leaning PQ
Bonaventure Safe PQ
Borduas Likely PQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Chambly Likely PQ
Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ
Chapleau Toss up LIB/CAQ
Charlesbourg Likely PQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ
Châteauguay Likely LIB
Chauveau PCQ likely
Chicoutimi Safe PQ
Chomedey Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ
Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ
D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ
Dubuc Safe PQ
Duplessis Safe PQ
Fabre Safe LIB
Gaspé Safe PQ
Gatineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Gouin QS safe
Granby Toss up PQ/CAQ
Groulx Leaning PQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning
Hull Likely LIB
Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Likely PQ
Jean-Talon Safe PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB
Johnson Leaning PQ
Joliette Safe PQ
Jonquière Safe PQ
L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ
La Peltrie PCQ likely
La Pinière Safe LIB
La Prairie Likely CAQ
Labelle Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ
LaFontaine Safe LIB
Laporte Likely LIB
Laurier-Dorion QS likely
Laval-des-Rapides Likely LIB
Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Likely PQ
Les Plaines Likely PQ
Lévis Likely PQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning
Louis-Hébert Safe PQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Safe PQ
Marquette Safe LIB
Maskinongé Likely PQ
Masson Likely PQ
Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ
Mégantic Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mercier QS likely
Mille-Îles Safe LIB
Mirabel Likely PQ
Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB
Montarville Toss up PQ/CAQ
Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ
Nelligan Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB
Orford Toss up LIB/PQ
Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ
Pontiac Safe LIB
Portneuf PCQ leaning
Prévost Safe PQ
René-Lévesque Safe PQ
Repentigny Likely PQ
Richelieu Safe PQ
Richmond Leaning PQ
Rimouski Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ
Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB
Roberval Safe PQ
Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS
Rousseau Likely PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ
Saint-François Likely PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB
Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ
Saint-Jean Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ
Saint-Laurent Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely
Sainte-Rose Likely LIB
Sanguinet Likely PQ
Sherbrooke QS leaning
Soulanges Leaning LIB
Taillon Safe PQ
Taschereau Likely PQ
Terrebonne Safe PQ
Trois-Rivières Likely PQ
Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ
Vachon Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ
Vaudreuil Safe LIB
Verchères Safe PQ
Verdun Safe LIB
Viau Safe LIB
Vimont Safe LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB