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Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: October 3, 2026

Projected ahead:
Electoral districts (127)
Current party
 Projection
Abitibi-Est
Pierre Dufour
 I Toss up LIB/PQ
Abitibi-Ouest
Suzanne Blais
 CA Safe PQ
Acadie
André A. Morin
 L Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel
Karine Boivin Roy
 CA Safe LIB
Argenteuil
Agnès Grondin
 CA Likely PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable
Alex Boissonneault
 PQ Toss up PQ/CPQ
Beauce-Nord
Luc Provençal
 CA PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud
Samuel Poulin
 CA PCQ safe
Beauharnois
Claude Reid
 CA Likely PQ
Bellechasse
Stéphanie Lachance
 CA PCQ safe
Berthier
Caroline Proulx
 CA Safe PQ
Bertrand
France-Élaine Duranceau
 CA Safe PQ
Blainville
Mario Laframboise
 CA Likely PQ
Bonaventure
Catherine Blouin
 CA Safe PQ
Borduas
Simon Jolin-Barrette
 CA Likely PQ
Bourassa-Sauvé
Madwa-Nika Cadet
 L Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
 PQ Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi
Isabelle Charest
 CA Leaning LIB
Chambly
Jean-François Roberge
 CA Likely PQ
Champlain
Sonia LeBel
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Chapleau
Mathieu Lévesque
 CA Likely LIB
Charlesbourg
Jonatan Julien
 CA PCQ likely
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
Kariane Bourassa
 CA Leaning PQ
Châteauguay
Marie-Belle Gendron
 CA Safe LIB
Chauveau
Sylvain Lévesque
 CA PCQ safe
Chicoutimi
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
 PQ Likely PQ
Chomedey
Sona Lakhoyan Olivier
 I Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
Martine Biron
 CA PCQ safe
Côte-du-Sud
Mathieu Rivest
 CA PCQ leaning
D’Arcy-McGee
Elisabeth Prass
 L Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes
Benoit Charette
 CA Likely PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs
Sébastien Schneeberger
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Dubuc
François Tremblay
 I Safe PQ
Duplessis
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
 CA Likely PQ
Fabre
Alice Abou-Khalil
 CA Safe LIB
Gaspé
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
 CA Safe PQ
Gatineau
Robert Bussière
 CA Likely LIB
Gouin
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
 QS QS safe
Granby
François Bonnardel
 CA Likely PQ
Groulx
Eric Girard
 CA Likely PQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
Hull
Suzanne Tremblay
 CA Safe LIB
Huntingdon
Carole Mallette
 CA Likely LIB
Iberville
Audrey Bogemans
 CA Likely PQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine
Joël Arseneau
 PQ Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier
Greg Kelley
 L Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS QS leaning
Jean-Talon
Pascal Paradis
 PQ Leaning PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger
Filomena Rotiroti
 L Safe LIB
Daniel-Johnson
André Lamontagne
 CA Leaning PQ
Joliette
François St-Louis
 CA Safe PQ
Jonquière
Yannick Gagnon
 CA Safe PQ
L’Assomption
François Legault
 CA Likely PQ
La Peltrie
Éric Caire
 CA PCQ safe
La Pinière
Linda Caron
 L Safe LIB
La Prairie
Christian Dubé
 I Likely PQ
Labelle
Chantal Jeannotte
 CA Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean
Eric Girard
 CA Safe PQ
LaFontaine
Marc Tanguay
 L Safe LIB
Pierre-Laporte
Isabelle Poulet
 I Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion
Andrès Fontecilla
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
Laval-des-Rapides
Céline Haytayan
 CA Likely LIB
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice
Marie-Louise Tardif
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Les Plaines
Lucie Lecours
 CA Safe PQ
Lévis
Bernard Drainville
 CA PCQ likely
Lotbinière-Frontenac
Isabelle Lecours
 CA PCQ safe
Louis-Hébert
Geneviève Guilbault
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys
Fred Beauchemin
 L Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin
Shirley Dorismond
 CA Safe PQ
Marquette
Enrico Ciccone
 L Safe LIB
Maskinongé
Simon Allaire
 CA Likely PQ
Masson
Mathieu Lemay
 CA Safe PQ
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis
Pascal Bérubé
 PQ Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
Mégantic
François Jacques
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS safe
Mille-Îles
Virginie Dufour
 L Safe LIB
Mirabel
Sylvie D’Amours
 CA Likely PQ
Mont-Royal–Outremont
Michelle Setlakwe
 L Safe LIB
Montarville
Nathalie Roy
 CA Likely PQ
Montmorency
Jean-François Simard
 CA PCQ likely
Nelligan
Monsef Derraji
 L Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour
Donald Martel
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce
Désirée McGraw
 L Safe LIB
Orford
Gilles Bélanger
 I Likely LIB
Papineau
Mathieu Lacombe
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Pointe-aux-Trembles
Chantal Rouleau
 CA Safe PQ
Pontiac
André Fortin
 L Safe LIB
Portneuf
Vincent Caron
 CA PCQ safe
Prévost
Sonia Bélanger
 CA Safe PQ
René-Lévesque
Yves Montigny
 CA Likely PQ
Repentigny
Pascale Déry
 CA Likely PQ
Richelieu
Jean-Bernard Émond
 CA Safe PQ
Richmond
André Bachand
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
Rimouski
Maïté Blanchette Vézina
 C Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques
Amélie Dionne
 CA Safe PQ
Robert-Baldwin
Brigitte Garceau
 L Safe LIB
Roberval
Nancy Guillemette
 CA Safe PQ
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal
 I Toss up PQ/QS
Rousseau
Louis-Charles Thouin
 CA Likely PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Safe PQ
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Likely PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
Saint-Hyacinthe
Chantal Soucy
 CA Safe PQ
Saint-Jean
Louis Lemieux
 CA Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme
Youri Chassin
 I Safe PQ
Saint-Laurent
Marwah Rizqy
 I Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
Sainte-Rose
Christopher Skeete
 CA Likely LIB
Sanguinet
Christine Fréchette
 CA Safe PQ
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
Soulanges
Marilyne Picard
 CA Safe LIB
Taillon
Lionel Carmant
 CA Safe PQ
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS QS leaning
Terrebonne
Catherine Gentilcore
 PQ Safe PQ
Trois-Rivières
Jean Boulet
 CA Likely PQ
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Vachon
Ian Lafrenière
 CA Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières
Mario Asselin
 CA PCQ likely
Vaudreuil
Marie-Claude Nichols
 L Safe LIB
Verchères
Suzanne Roy
 CA Safe PQ
Verdun
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
 QS Likely LIB
Viau
Frantz Benjamin
 L Safe LIB
Vimont-Auteuil
Valérie Schmaltz
 CA Safe LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis
Jennifer Maccarone
 L Safe LIB
Bellefeuille
Vacant
 Safe PQ
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie
Vacant
 Toss up PQ/CPQ

The Road to 64 Seats

Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 1 MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 2 IDLM 3. Joliette Safe PQ 3 JOLI 4. Gaspé Safe PQ 4 GASP 5. Bonaventure Safe PQ 5 BONA 6. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 6 CAML 7. Rimouski Safe PQ 7 RIMO 8. Richelieu Safe PQ 8 RCHL 9. Labelle Safe PQ 9 LABL 10. Verchères Safe PQ 10 VERC 11. Dubuc Safe PQ 11 DUBU 12. Jonquière Safe PQ 12 JONQ 13. Bertrand Safe PQ 13 BERT 14. Roberval Safe PQ 14 ROBV 15. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 15 PATR 16. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 16 STJN 17. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 17 MVIC 18. Berthier Safe PQ 18 BRTH 19. Prévost Safe PQ 19 PREV 20. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 20 STJR 21. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ 21 STHY 22. Sanguinet Safe PQ 22 SANG 23. Taillon Safe PQ 23 TAIL 24. Les Plaines Safe PQ 24 LPLA 25. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Safe PQ 25 RDLT 26. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 26 LASJ 27. Bellefeuille Safe PQ 27 BELF 28. Terrebonne Safe PQ 28 TERR 29. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 29 ABIO 30. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ 30 ROUY 31. Masson Safe PQ 31 MASS 32. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ 32 DMON 33. Vachon Likely PQ 33 VACH 34. Repentigny Likely PQ 34 REPE 35. Rousseau Likely PQ 35 ROUS 36. Beauharnois Likely PQ 36 BEAU 37. L’Assomption Likely PQ 37 LASS 38. Duplessis Likely PQ 38 DUPL 39. Argenteuil Likely PQ 39 ARGE 40. Mirabel Likely PQ 40 MIRA 41. René-Lévesque Likely PQ 41 RENE 42. Chicoutimi Likely PQ 42 CHIC 43. Chambly Likely PQ 43 CHBY 44. Maskinongé Likely PQ 44 MASK 45. La Prairie Likely PQ 45 LAPR 46. Montarville Likely PQ 46 MTRV 47. Saint-François Likely PQ 47 STFR 48. Iberville Likely PQ 48 IBER 49. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ 49 TRIV 50. Borduas Likely PQ 50 BORD 51. Granby Likely PQ 51 GRBY 52. Blainville Likely PQ 52 BLAI 53. Groulx Likely PQ 53 GROU 54. Jean-Talon Leaning PQ 54 JTAL 55. Daniel-Johnson Leaning PQ 55 DAJO 56. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Leaning PQ 56 CXCB 57. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Toss up PQ/CPQ 57 LVSM 58. Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ 58 UNGA 59. Abitibi-Est Toss up LIB/PQ 59 ABIE 60. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CPQ 60 LHEB 61. Sherbrooke Toss up PQ/QS 61 SHER 62. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Toss up PQ/CPQ 62 MLGL 63. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/PQ/QS 63 MAUR 64. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 64 ROSE 65. Champlain Toss up PQ/CPQ 65 CHPN 66. Drummond–Bois-Francs Toss up PQ/CPQ 66 DRUM 67. Arthabaska-L’Érable Toss up PQ/CPQ 67 ARTH 68. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS 68 HOMA 69. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CPQ 69 MEGA 70. Nicolet-Bécancour Toss up PQ/CPQ 70 NICO 71. Richmond Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ 71 RCHM 72. Taschereau QS leaning 72 TASH 73. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ 73 PAPI 74. Jean-Lesage QS leaning 74 JLES 75. Côte-du-Sud PCQ leaning 75 CÔDS 76. Brome-Missisquoi Leaning LIB 76 BROM 77. Chapleau Likely LIB 77 CHAP 78. Charlesbourg PCQ likely 78 CHAR 79. Huntingdon Likely LIB 79 HUNT 80. Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ likely 80 VALR 81. Orford Likely LIB 81 ORFO 82. Laval-des-Rapides Likely LIB 82 LVDR 83. Lévis PCQ likely 83 LEVI 84. Gatineau Likely LIB 84 GATI 85. Montmorency PCQ likely 85 MOMO 86. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 86 SMSJ 87. Sainte-Rose Likely LIB 87 STRO 88. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 88 VIMO 89. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 89 ANLR 90. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ safe 90 LOTF 91. Soulanges Safe LIB 91 SOUL 92. Châteauguay Safe LIB 92 CHAT 93. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 93 MILI 94. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 94 LAPO 95. Fabre Safe LIB 95 FABR 96. Gouin QS safe 96 GOUI 97. Portneuf PCQ safe 97 PORT 98. Chauveau PCQ safe 98 CHAU 99. Mercier QS safe 99 MERC 100. La Pinière Safe LIB 100 LAPI 101. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ safe 101 CHCH 102. La Peltrie PCQ safe 102 LAPE 103. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 103 VAUD 104. Hull Safe LIB 104 HULL 105. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 105 BEAN 106. Bellechasse PCQ safe 106 BELL 107. Viau Safe LIB 107 VIAU 108. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 108 MROU 109. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 109 BEAS 110. Verdun Likely LIB 110 VERD 111. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 111 BOUS 112. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS 112 LAUD 113. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 113 JMVI 114. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 114 SHSA 115. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 115 STLR 116. Marquette Safe LIB 116 MARQ 117. LaFontaine Safe LIB 117 LAFO 118. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 118 MARG 119. Chomedey Safe LIB 119 CHOM 120. Pontiac Safe LIB 120 PONT 121. Acadie Safe LIB 121 ACAD 122. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 122 WSTL 123. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 123 NODG 124. Nelligan Safe LIB 124 NELL 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 125 DAMC 126. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 126 JACA 127. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 127 BALD 338Canada Quebec projection Updated October 3, 2026
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