Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: October 20, 2026

Electoral districts (127)	Current party	Projection
Abitibi-Est Stéphane Tremblay	PQ	Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest Sébastien D’Astous	PQ	Safe PQ
Acadie André A. Morin	L	Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Nicolas Plourde	L	Safe LIB
Argenteuil Pierre Nantel	PQ	Likely PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Tarek Henoud	C	PCQ likely
Beauce-Nord Patricia Drouin	C	PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud Jonathan Poulin	C	PCQ safe
Beauharnois Alexandre Daneau	PQ	Safe PQ
Bellechasse Éric Duhaime	C	PCQ safe
Berthier Elsie Lefebvre	PQ	Safe PQ
Bertrand Alexandre Girard-Duchaine	PQ	Safe PQ
Blainville Nadine Le Gal	PQ	Likely PQ
Bonaventure Pier-Luc Bujold	PQ	Safe PQ
Borduas Cedric Gagnon-Ducharme	PQ	Safe PQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Madwa Nika Cadet	L	Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Paul St-Pierre Plamondon	PQ	Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Frédéric Beauchemin	L	Leaning LIB
Chambly Julie Guyot	PQ	Safe PQ
Champlain Adriana Szalontai	C	Toss up PQ/CPQ
Chapleau Michel Langevin	L	Safe LIB
Charlesbourg Éloïse Coulombe	C	PCQ safe
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Caroline Simard	C	PCQ safe
Châteauguay Félix Rhéaume	L	Likely LIB
Chauveau Karim Elayoubi	C	PCQ safe
Chicoutimi Marie-Karlynn Laflamme	PQ	Safe PQ
Chomedey Madeleine Féquière	L	Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Dominique Dumas	C	PCQ safe
Côte-du-Sud Frédéric Poulin	C	PCQ safe
D’Arcy-McGee Elisabeth Prass	L	Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Linda Vaillant	PQ	Safe PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Charles Page	PQ	Toss up PQ/CPQ
Dubuc Émile Simard	PQ	Likely PQ
Duplessis Meggie Richard	PQ	Safe PQ
Fabre Marie Claude Fournier	L	Safe LIB
Gaspé Méganne Perry Mélançon	PQ	Safe PQ
Gatineau David Logue	L	Safe LIB
Gouin Alexandre Boulerice	QS	QS safe
Granby Jean-François Arsenault	PQ	Safe PQ
Groulx Marie-Claude Sarrazin	PQ	Likely PQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Alexandre Leduc	QS	QS safe
Hull Sacha Cannon	L	Safe LIB
Huntingdon Frédéric Laplante	PQ	Leaning PQ
Iberville Camille Pellerin-Forget	PQ	Safe PQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Joël Arseneau	PQ	Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Gregory Kelley	L	Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Sol Zanetti	QS	QS likely
Jean-Talon Julie White	L	Leaning LIB
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Filomena Rotiroti	L	Safe LIB
Daniel-Johnson Nathalie Boisclair	PQ	Likely PQ
Joliette Véronique Venne	PQ	Safe PQ
Jonquière Jimmy Bouchard	PQ	Safe PQ
L’Assomption Maxime Laporte	PQ	Safe PQ
La Peltrie Maïté Blanchette Vézina	C	PCQ safe
La Pinière Linda Caron	L	Safe LIB
La Prairie Sonia Ziadé	L	Toss up LIB/PQ
Labelle Catherine Drouin	PQ	Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean William Fradette	PQ	Safe PQ
LaFontaine Marc Tanguay	L	Safe LIB
Pierre-Laporte David Bowles	L	Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion Andrés Fontecilla	QS	QS safe
Laval-des-Rapides Caroline De Guire	L	Safe LIB
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Élodie Murphy-Gauthier	PQ	Leaning PQ
Les Plaines Dieudonné Ella Oyono	PQ	Safe PQ
Lévis Karine Laflamme	C	PCQ safe
Lotbinière-Frontenac Renaud Labrecque	C	PCQ safe
Louis-Hébert Marcos Archambault	C	PCQ leaning
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Michel Leblanc	L	Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Nicolas Marceau	PQ	Safe PQ
Marquette Enrico Ciccone	L	Safe LIB
Maskinongé Isabelle Blais	PQ	Leaning PQ
Masson Stéphane Hanfield	PQ	Safe PQ
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Pascal Bérubé	PQ	Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Nada Boumeftah	L	Leaning LIB
Mégantic Jimmy Gagnon	C	PCQ likely
Mercier Ruba Ghazal	QS	QS safe
Mille-Îles Virginie Dufour	L	Safe LIB
Mirabel Geneviève Couture	PQ	Safe PQ
Mont-Royal–Outremont Michelle Setlakwe	L	Safe LIB
Montarville Mathieu Lavoie	L	Toss up LIB/PQ
Montmorency Marie-Josée Hélie	C	PCQ safe
Nelligan Monsef Derraji	L	Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Guillaume Langlois	C	PCQ likely
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Désirée McGraw	L	Safe LIB
Orford Charles Milliard	L	Likely LIB
Papineau Isabelle Millette	PQ	Toss up LIB/PQ
Pointe-aux-Trembles Stéphane Paquet	PQ	Safe PQ
Pontiac André Fortin	L	Safe LIB
Portneuf Marcel Bouchard	C	PCQ safe
Prévost Anne Nguyen	PQ	Safe PQ
René-Lévesque Odette Lavigne	PQ	Safe PQ
Repentigny Nicolas Girard	PQ	Safe PQ
Richelieu Jocelyn Desjardins	PQ	Safe PQ
Richmond Bernard Sévigny	PQ	Likely PQ
Rimouski Yohann St-Pierre	PQ	Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Ariane Boyer	PQ	Safe PQ
Robert-Baldwin Brigitte Garceau	L	Safe LIB
Roberval Isabelle Thibeault	PQ	Likely PQ
Rosemont Gisèle Pouhe Njall	QS	QS likely
Rousseau Mathieu Lebrun	PQ	Safe PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Diane Dallaire	PQ	Safe PQ
Saint-François Sylvie Tanguay	PQ	Leaning PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Benoit Clermont	L	Leaning LIB
Saint-Hyacinthe Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay	PQ	Safe PQ
Saint-Jean Gaétan Bédard	PQ	Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme Sandrine Michon	PQ	Safe PQ
Saint-Laurent Valérie Assouline	L	Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques Roxane Milot	QS	QS likely
Sainte-Rose Cécile Tremblay	L	Safe LIB
Sanguinet Alain Therrien	PQ	Safe PQ
Sherbrooke Stéphanie Vachon	QS	Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
Soulanges Olivier Bertin-Mahieux	L	Likely LIB
Taillon Sandra Hernandez	PQ	Likely PQ
Taschereau Étienne Grandmont	QS	QS safe
Terrebonne Catherine Gentilcore	PQ	Safe PQ
Trois-Rivières Jean Pellerin	PQ	Likely PQ
Ungava Sonia Caron	PQ	Likely PQ
Vachon Affine Lwalalika	L	Toss up LIB/PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Patrick Paquet	C	PCQ safe
Vaudreuil James Hughes	L	Safe LIB
Verchères Guy Lapointe Jr	PQ	Safe PQ
Verdun Antoine Dionne Charest	L	Leaning LIB
Viau Frantz Benjamin	L	Likely LIB
Vimont-Auteuil Louis Ialenti	L	Safe LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Jennifer Maccarone	L	Safe LIB
Bellefeuille Audrey Bujold	PQ	Safe PQ
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Natalie Bisaillon	PQ	Likely PQ

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