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Quebec


Latest update: September 10, 2025

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 3. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 4. Terrebonne Safe PQ TERR 5. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 6. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 7. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 8. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 9. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 10. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 11. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 12. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 13. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 14. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 15. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 16. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 17. Richelieu Safe PQ RCHL 18. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 19. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 20. Verchères Safe PQ VERC 21. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 22. Masson Safe PQ MASS 23. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 24. Rousseau Safe PQ ROUS 25. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 26. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 27. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 28. Les Plaines Safe PQ LPLA 29. Repentigny Safe PQ REPE 30. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 31. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ LASJ 32. Borduas Safe PQ BORD 33. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ DMON 34. Saint-Jean Safe PQ STJN 35. Beauharnois Safe PQ BEAU 36. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe PQ RDLT 37. Mirabel Safe PQ MIRA 38. Chambly Safe PQ CHBY 39. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ STHY 40. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ LASM 41. Louis-Hébert Safe PQ LHEB 42. Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe PQ DRBF 43. Maskinongé Safe PQ MASK 44. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ RONT 45. Trois-Rivières Safe PQ TRIV 46. Taillon Safe PQ TAIL 47. Sanguinet Safe PQ SANG 48. Jean-Talon Safe PQ JTAL 49. Nicolet-Bécancour Safe PQ NICB 50. Johnson Likely PQ JOHN 51. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ VALR 52. Groulx Likely PQ GROU 53. Charlesbourg Likely PQ CHLB 54. Blainville Likely PQ BLAI 55. L’Assomption Likely PQ LASS 56. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ JLES 57. Lévis Likely PQ LEVI 58. Iberville Likely PQ IBER 59. Taschereau Likely PQ TASH 60. Granby Likely PQ GRBY 61. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ ARTH 62. Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ CODS 63. Champlain Likely PQ CHPN 64. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ ABIE 65. Vachon Likely PQ VACH 66. Mégantic Likely PQ MEGA 67. Richmond Likely PQ RCHM 68. Montarville Likely PQ MTRV 69. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ MRIC 70. La Prairie Leaning PQ LAPR 71. Rosemont Leaning PQ ROSE 72. Saint-François Leaning PQ STFR 73. Montmorency Leaning PQ MOMO 74. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ SHER 75. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ CHCH 76. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS HOMA 77. Portneuf Toss up PQ/CPQ PORT 78. Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ UNGA 79. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning LOTF 80. La Peltrie PCQ leaning LAPE 81. Chauveau PCQ leaning CHAU 82. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS leaning SMSJ 83. Orford Likely LIB ORFO 84. Huntingdon Likely LIB HUNT 85. Papineau Likely LIB PAPI 86. Gatineau Likely LIB GATI 87. Mercier QS likely MERC 88. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB BROM 89. Bellechasse PCQ likely BELL 90. Gouin QS likely GOUI 91. Chapleau Likely LIB CHAP 92. Soulanges Likely LIB SOUL 93. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB ANLR 94. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS LAUD 95. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB LVDR 96. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe BEAN 97. Châteauguay Safe LIB CHAT 98. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB STRO 99. Laporte Safe LIB LAPO 100. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 101. Hull Safe LIB HULL 102. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 103. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 104. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe BEAS 105. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 106. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB SHSA 107. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 108. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 109. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 110. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 111. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 112. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 113. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 114. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 115. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 116. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 117. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 118. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 119. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 121. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 122. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 123. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 124. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC 125. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA MAMA IDLM JOLI TERR GASP BRTH CAML LABL RLEV BERT STJR BONA RIMO JONQ PREV CHIC RCHL DUBU ROBE VERC DUPL MASS PATR ROUS MVIC ABIO CHCB LPLA REPE ARGE LASJ BORD DMON STJN BEAU RDLT MIRA CHBY STHY LASM LHEB DRBF MASK RONT TRIV TAIL SANG JTAL NICB JOHN VALR GROU CHLB BLAI LASS JLES LEVI IBER TASH GRBY ARTH CODS CHPN ABIE VACH MEGA RCHM MTRV MRIC LAPR ROSE STFR MOMO SHER CHCH HOMA PORT UNGA LOTF LAPE CHAU SMSJ ORFO HUNT PAPI GATI MERC BROM BELL GOUI CHAP SOUL ANLR LAUD LVDR BEAN CHAT STRO LAPO MILI HULL VAUD VIMO BEAS LAPI SHSA FABR VIAU VERD BOUS MTRO PONT MARQ ACAD LAFO JMVI MARG CHOM STLR WSTL NODG NELL JACA DAMC ROBA 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: September 10, 2025 PQ 77▲ [70-81]




63 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection
Last election
(2022)
49 19 5 4 77
[70-81]
3
29 8 0 1 38
[35-43]
21
2 1 3 0 6
[3-10]
0
0 2 1 1 4
[2-6]
11
0 0 0 0 0
[0-0]
90

List of all 125 electoral districts | Quebec


Electoral district Current party Latest projection
Abitibi-Est Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ
Acadie Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB
Argenteuil Safe PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ
Beauce-Nord PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud PCQ safe
Beauharnois Safe PQ
Bellechasse PCQ likely
Berthier Safe PQ
Bertrand Safe PQ
Blainville Likely PQ
Bonaventure Safe PQ
Borduas Safe PQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB
Chambly Safe PQ
Champlain Likely PQ
Chapleau Likely LIB
Charlesbourg Likely PQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ
Châteauguay Safe LIB
Chauveau PCQ leaning
Chicoutimi Safe PQ
Chomedey Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ
Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ
D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe PQ
Dubuc Safe PQ
Duplessis Safe PQ
Fabre Safe LIB
Gaspé Safe PQ
Gatineau Likely LIB
Gouin QS likely
Granby Likely PQ
Groulx Likely PQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS
Hull Safe LIB
Huntingdon Likely LIB
Iberville Likely PQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Likely PQ
Jean-Talon Safe PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB
Johnson Likely PQ
Joliette Safe PQ
Jonquière Safe PQ
L’Assomption Likely PQ
La Peltrie PCQ leaning
La Pinière Safe LIB
La Prairie Leaning PQ
Labelle Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ
LaFontaine Safe LIB
Laporte Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS
Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB
Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ
Les Plaines Safe PQ
Lévis Likely PQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning
Louis-Hébert Safe PQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Safe PQ
Marquette Safe LIB
Maskinongé Safe PQ
Masson Safe PQ
Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ
Mégantic Likely PQ
Mercier QS likely
Mille-Îles Safe LIB
Mirabel Safe PQ
Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB
Montarville Likely PQ
Montmorency Leaning PQ
Nelligan Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Safe PQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB
Orford Likely LIB
Papineau Likely LIB
Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ
Pontiac Safe LIB
Portneuf Toss up PQ/CPQ
Prévost Safe PQ
René-Lévesque Safe PQ
Repentigny Safe PQ
Richelieu Safe PQ
Richmond Likely PQ
Rimouski Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe PQ
Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB
Roberval Safe PQ
Rosemont Leaning PQ
Rousseau Safe PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ
Saint-François Leaning PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB
Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ
Saint-Jean Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ
Saint-Laurent Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS leaning
Sainte-Rose Safe LIB
Sanguinet Safe PQ
Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ
Soulanges Likely LIB
Taillon Safe PQ
Taschereau Likely PQ
Terrebonne Safe PQ
Trois-Rivières Safe PQ
Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ
Vachon Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ
Vaudreuil Safe LIB
Verchères Safe PQ
Verdun Safe LIB
Viau Safe LIB
Vimont Safe LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB