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Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: May 13, 2026

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 2. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 3. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 4. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 5. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 6. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 7. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 8. Terrebonne Safe PQ TERR 9. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 10. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 11. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 12. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 13. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 14. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 15. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 16. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 17. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 18. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 19. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 20. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 21. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 22. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 23. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 24. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 25. Richelieu Safe PQ RCHL 26. Masson Safe PQ MASS 27. Verchères Likely PQ VERC 28. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ RDLT 29. Les Plaines Likely PQ LPLA 30. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ RONT 31. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ STHY 32. Lac-Saint-Jean Likely PQ LASJ 33. Saint-Jean Likely PQ STJN 34. Repentigny Likely PQ REPE 35. Rousseau Likely PQ ROUS 36. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ DMON 37. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Likely PQ LASM 38. Maskinongé Likely PQ MASK 39. Mirabel Likely PQ MIRA 40. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ DRBF 41. Johnson Likely PQ JOHN 42. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ ARTH 43. Louis-Hébert Likely PQ LHEB 44. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ NICB 45. Taillon Likely PQ TAIL 46. Chambly Likely PQ CHBY 47. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ TRIV 48. Beauharnois Likely PQ BEAU 49. Charlesbourg Leaning PQ CHLB 50. Iberville Leaning PQ IBER 51. Abitibi-Est Leaning PQ ABIE 52. Groulx Leaning PQ GROU 53. Vanier-Les Rivières Leaning PQ VALR 54. Blainville Leaning PQ BLAI 55. L’Assomption Leaning PQ LASS 56. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ MTRV 57. Saint-François Toss up LIB/PQ STFR 58. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ JTAL 59. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS TASH 60. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ VACH 61. Lévis Toss up PQ/CPQ LEVI 62. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS JLES 63. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ LAPR 64. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CPQ CODS 65. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ CHPN 66. Sanguinet Toss up PQ/CAQ SANG 67. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ SHER 68. Borduas Toss up PQ/CAQ BORD 69. Rosemont Toss up LIB/PQ/QS ROSE 70. Montmorency Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ MOMO 71. Granby Leaning CAQ GRBY 72. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning HOMA 73. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ leaning CHCH 74. Ungava Leaning LIB UNGA 75. Maurice-Richard Likely LIB MRIC 76. Richmond Leaning LIB RCHM 77. Mégantic Toss up LIB/CPQ MEGA 78. Papineau Toss up LIB/CAQ PAPI 79. Portneuf PCQ likely PORT 80. Chauveau PCQ likely CHAU 81. Huntingdon Likely LIB HUNT 82. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely SMSJ 83. La Peltrie PCQ leaning LAPE 84. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB BROM 85. Orford Likely LIB ORFO 86. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ likely LOTF 87. Gatineau Likely LIB GATI 88. Chapleau Likely LIB CHAP 89. Bellechasse PCQ likely BELL 90. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB LVDR 91. Gouin QS safe GOUI 92. Laporte Safe LIB LAPO 93. Soulanges Safe LIB SOUL 94. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 95. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB STRO 96. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB ANLR 97. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe BEAN 98. Châteauguay Safe LIB CHAT 99. Mercier QS leaning MERC 100. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 101. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 102. Hull Safe LIB HULL 103. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 104. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe BEAS 105. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 106. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 107. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 108. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 109. Laurier-Dorion Likely LIB LAUD 110. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 111. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Likely LIB SHSA 112. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 113. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 114. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 115. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 116. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 117. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 118. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 119. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 121. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 122. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 123. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 124. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC MAMA JOLI IDLM BRTH LABL BERT RIMO TERR BONA JONQ PREV MVIC ARGE RLEV GASP STJR DUPL ROBE ABIO CHIC CHCB DUBU PATR CAML RCHL MASS VERC RDLT LPLA RONT STHY LASJ STJN REPE ROUS DMON LASM MASK MIRA DRBF JOHN ARTH LHEB NICB TAIL CHBY TRIV BEAU CHLB IBER ABIE GROU VALR BLAI LASS MTRV STFR JTAL TASH VACH LEVI JLES LAPR CODS CHPN SANG SHER BORD ROSE MOMO GRBY HOMA CHCH UNGA MRIC RCHM MEGA PAPI PORT CHAU HUNT SMSJ LAPE BROM ORFO LOTF GATI CHAP BELL LVDR GOUI LAPO SOUL MILI STRO ANLR BEAN CHAT MERC VIMO LAPI HULL VAUD BEAS FABR VIAU VERD MTRO LAUD PONT SHSA BOUS JMVI LAFO CHOM STLR MARQ MARG ACAD WSTL NODG NELL JACA ROBA DAMC 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: May 13, 2026 PQ 62▼ [51-71]

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
Suzanne Blais
CA Safe PQ
André A. Morin
L Safe LIB
Karine Boivin Roy
CA Safe LIB
Agnès Grondin
CA Safe PQ
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ safe
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ safe
Claude Reid
CA Likely PQ
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ likely
Caroline Proulx
CA Safe PQ
France-Élaine Duranceau
CA Safe PQ
Mario Laframboise
CA Leaning PQ
Catherine Blouin
CA Safe PQ
Simon Jolin-Barrette
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Madwa-Nika Cadet
L Safe LIB
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
Isabelle Charest
CA Likely LIB
Jean-François Roberge
CA Likely PQ
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mathieu Lévesque
CA Likely LIB
Jonatan Julien
CA Leaning PQ
CA Safe PQ
Marie-Belle Gendron
CA Safe LIB
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
Mathieu Rivest
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Elisabeth Prass
L Safe LIB
Benoit Charette
CA Likely PQ
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Likely PQ
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
CA Safe PQ
Alice Abou-Khalil
CA Safe LIB
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
CA Safe PQ
Robert Bussière
CA Likely LIB
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
QS QS safe
François Bonnardel
CA Leaning CAQ
Éric Girard
CA Leaning PQ
Alexandre Leduc
QS QS leaning
Suzanne Tremblay
CA Safe LIB
Carole Mallette
CA Likely LIB
Audrey Bogemans
CA Leaning PQ
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
Greg Kelley
L Safe LIB
Sol Zanetti
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Pascal Paradis
PQ Toss up LIB/PQ
Filomena Rotiroti
L Safe LIB
André Lamontagne
CA Likely PQ
François St-Louis
CA Safe PQ
Yannick Gagnon
CA Safe PQ
François Legault
CA Leaning PQ
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
Linda Caron
L Safe LIB
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
I Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Chantal Jeannotte
CA Safe PQ
Éric Girard
CA Likely PQ
Marc Tanguay
L Safe LIB
Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe LIB
Andrès Fontecilla
QS Likely LIB
Céline Haytayan
CA Safe LIB
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Likely PQ
Lucie Lecours
CA Likely PQ
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ likely
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Likely PQ
Fred Beauchemin
L Safe LIB
Shirley Dorismond
CA Safe PQ
Enrico Ciccone
L Safe LIB
Simon Allaire
CA Likely PQ
Mathieu Lemay
CA Safe PQ
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
Haroun Bouazzi
QS Likely LIB
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/CPQ
Ruba Ghazal
QS QS leaning
Virginie Dufour
L Safe LIB
Sylvie D’Amours
CA Likely PQ
Michelle Setlakwe
L Safe LIB
Nathalie Roy
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
Monsef Derraji
L Safe LIB
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
Désirée McGraw
L Safe LIB
Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
I Likely LIB
Mathieu Lacombe
CA Toss up LIB/CAQ
Chantal Rouleau
CA Safe PQ
André Fortin
L Safe LIB
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
Sonia Bélanger
CA Safe PQ
Yves Montigny
CA Safe PQ
Pascale Déry
CA Likely PQ
Jean-Bernard Émond
CA Safe PQ
André Bachand
CA Leaning LIB
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
C Safe PQ
CA Likely PQ
Brigitte Garceau
L Safe LIB
Nancy Guillemette
CA Safe PQ
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
I Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
Louis-Charles Thouin
CA Likely PQ
CA Likely PQ
Geneviève Hébert
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
QS Likely LIB
Chantal Soucy
CA Likely PQ
Louis Lemieux
CA Likely PQ
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
QS QS likely
Christopher Skeete
CA Safe LIB
Christine Fréchette
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Christine Labrie
QS Toss up LIB/PQ
Marilyne Picard
CA Safe LIB
Lionel Carmant
CA Likely PQ
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ Safe PQ
Jean Boulet
CA Likely PQ
Denis Lamothe
CA Leaning LIB
Ian Lafrenière
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Mario Asselin
CA Leaning PQ
Marie-Claude Nichols
L Safe LIB
Suzanne Roy
CA Likely PQ
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
QS Safe LIB
Frantz Benjamin
L Safe LIB
Valérie Schmaltz
CA Safe LIB
Jennifer Maccarone
L Safe LIB