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Quebec


Latest update: October 5, 2025

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 3. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 4. Terrebonne Safe PQ TERR 5. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 6. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 7. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 8. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 9. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 10. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 11. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 12. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 13. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 14. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 15. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 16. Richelieu Safe PQ RCHL 17. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 18. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 19. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 20. Verchères Safe PQ VERC 21. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 22. Masson Safe PQ MASS 23. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 24. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 25. Rousseau Safe PQ ROUS 26. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 27. Les Plaines Safe PQ LPLA 28. Repentigny Safe PQ REPE 29. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 30. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 31. Borduas Safe PQ BORD 32. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ LASJ 33. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ DMON 34. Beauharnois Safe PQ BEAU 35. Saint-Jean Safe PQ STJN 36. Mirabel Safe PQ MIRA 37. Chambly Safe PQ CHBY 38. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ STHY 39. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ LASM 40. Louis-Hébert Safe PQ LHEB 41. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ RONT 42. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe PQ RDLT 43. Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe PQ DRBF 44. Sanguinet Safe PQ SANG 45. Taillon Safe PQ TAIL 46. Maskinongé Safe PQ MASK 47. Trois-Rivières Safe PQ TRIV 48. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ NICB 49. Jean-Talon Likely PQ JTAL 50. Groulx Likely PQ GROU 51. Blainville Likely PQ BLAI 52. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ JLES 53. Johnson Likely PQ JOHN 54. L’Assomption Likely PQ LASS 55. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ VALR 56. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ ARTH 57. Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ CODS 58. Charlesbourg Likely PQ CHLB 59. Lévis Likely PQ LEVI 60. Taschereau Likely PQ TASH 61. Iberville Likely PQ IBER 62. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ ABIE 63. Granby Likely PQ GRBY 64. Vachon Likely PQ VACH 65. Champlain Likely PQ CHPN 66. Rosemont Likely PQ ROSE 67. Montarville Likely PQ MTRV 68. Richmond Likely PQ RCHM 69. Mégantic Likely PQ MEGA 70. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ MRIC 71. La Prairie Leaning PQ LAPR 72. Saint-François Leaning PQ STFR 73. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Leaning PQ HOMA 74. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ SHER 75. Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ MOMO 76. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ CHCH 77. Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ UNGA 78. Portneuf PCQ leaning PORT 79. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS leaning SMSJ 80. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning LOTF 81. La Peltrie PCQ likely LAPE 82. Mercier QS likely MERC 83. Chauveau PCQ likely CHAU 84. Orford Likely LIB ORFO 85. Papineau Likely LIB PAPI 86. Huntingdon Likely LIB HUNT 87. Gatineau Likely LIB GATI 88. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB BROM 89. Gouin QS likely GOUI 90. Bellechasse PCQ likely BELL 91. Laurier-Dorion Leaning LIB LAUD 92. Chapleau Likely LIB CHAP 93. Soulanges Likely LIB SOUL 94. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB ANLR 95. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB LVDR 96. Châteauguay Safe LIB CHAT 97. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe BEAN 98. Laporte Safe LIB LAPO 99. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB STRO 100. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 101. Hull Safe LIB HULL 102. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 103. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 104. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB SHSA 105. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 106. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe BEAS 107. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 108. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 109. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 110. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 111. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 112. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 113. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 114. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 115. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 116. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 117. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 118. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 119. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 121. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 122. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 123. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 124. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC 125. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA MAMA IDLM JOLI TERR GASP BRTH CAML LABL RLEV BERT RIMO STJR BONA JONQ PREV RCHL CHIC DUBU ROBE VERC DUPL MASS ABIO PATR ROUS MVIC LPLA REPE ARGE CHCB BORD LASJ DMON BEAU STJN MIRA CHBY STHY LASM LHEB RONT RDLT DRBF SANG TAIL MASK TRIV NICB JTAL GROU BLAI JLES JOHN LASS VALR ARTH CODS CHLB LEVI TASH IBER ABIE GRBY VACH CHPN ROSE MTRV RCHM MEGA MRIC LAPR STFR HOMA SHER MOMO CHCH UNGA PORT SMSJ LOTF LAPE MERC CHAU ORFO PAPI HUNT GATI BROM GOUI BELL LAUD CHAP SOUL ANLR LVDR CHAT BEAN LAPO STRO MILI HULL VAUD VIMO SHSA LAPI BEAS FABR VIAU VERD BOUS MTRO MARQ PONT LAFO ACAD JMVI MARG CHOM STLR WSTL NODG NELL JACA DAMC ROBA 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: October 5, 2025 PQ 74▼ [69-80]




63 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection
Last election
(2022)
47 22 4 1 74
[69-80]
3
30 7 1 1 39
[35-44]
21
2 3 2 2 9
[5-11]
0
0 2 1 0 3
[1-6]
11
0 0 0 0 0
[0-1]
90

List of all 125 electoral districts | Quebec


Electoral district Current party Latest projection
Abitibi-Est Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ
Acadie Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB
Argenteuil Safe PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ
Beauce-Nord PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud PCQ safe
Beauharnois Safe PQ
Bellechasse PCQ likely
Berthier Safe PQ
Bertrand Safe PQ
Blainville Likely PQ
Bonaventure Safe PQ
Borduas Safe PQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB
Chambly Safe PQ
Champlain Likely PQ
Chapleau Likely LIB
Charlesbourg Likely PQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ
Châteauguay Safe LIB
Chauveau PCQ likely
Chicoutimi Safe PQ
Chomedey Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ
Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ
D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe PQ
Dubuc Safe PQ
Duplessis Safe PQ
Fabre Safe LIB
Gaspé Safe PQ
Gatineau Likely LIB
Gouin QS likely
Granby Likely PQ
Groulx Likely PQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Leaning PQ
Hull Safe LIB
Huntingdon Likely LIB
Iberville Likely PQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Likely PQ
Jean-Talon Likely PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB
Johnson Likely PQ
Joliette Safe PQ
Jonquière Safe PQ
L’Assomption Likely PQ
La Peltrie PCQ likely
La Pinière Safe LIB
La Prairie Leaning PQ
Labelle Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ
LaFontaine Safe LIB
Laporte Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion Leaning LIB
Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB
Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ
Les Plaines Safe PQ
Lévis Likely PQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning
Louis-Hébert Safe PQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Safe PQ
Marquette Safe LIB
Maskinongé Safe PQ
Masson Safe PQ
Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ
Mégantic Likely PQ
Mercier QS likely
Mille-Îles Safe LIB
Mirabel Safe PQ
Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB
Montarville Likely PQ
Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ
Nelligan Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB
Orford Likely LIB
Papineau Likely LIB
Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ
Pontiac Safe LIB
Portneuf PCQ leaning
Prévost Safe PQ
René-Lévesque Safe PQ
Repentigny Safe PQ
Richelieu Safe PQ
Richmond Likely PQ
Rimouski Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe PQ
Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB
Roberval Safe PQ
Rosemont Likely PQ
Rousseau Safe PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ
Saint-François Leaning PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB
Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ
Saint-Jean Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ
Saint-Laurent Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS leaning
Sainte-Rose Safe LIB
Sanguinet Safe PQ
Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ
Soulanges Likely LIB
Taillon Safe PQ
Taschereau Likely PQ
Terrebonne Safe PQ
Trois-Rivières Safe PQ
Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ
Vachon Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ
Vaudreuil Safe LIB
Verchères Safe PQ
Verdun Safe LIB
Viau Safe LIB
Vimont Safe LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB