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Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: September 27, 2026

Projected ahead:
Electoral districts (127)
Current party
 Projection
Abitibi-Est
Pierre Dufour
 I Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest
Suzanne Blais
 CA Likely PQ
Acadie
André A. Morin
 L Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel
Karine Boivin Roy
 CA Likely LIB
Argenteuil
Agnès Grondin
 CA Likely PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable
Alex Boissonneault
 PQ Leaning PQ
Beauce-Nord
Luc Provençal
 CA PCQ safe
Beauce-Sud
Samuel Poulin
 CA PCQ safe
Beauharnois
Claude Reid
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Bellechasse
Stéphanie Lachance
 CA PCQ safe
Berthier
Caroline Proulx
 CA Safe PQ
Bertrand
France-Élaine Duranceau
 CA Safe PQ
Blainville
Mario Laframboise
 CA Leaning PQ
Bonaventure
Catherine Blouin
 CA Safe PQ
Borduas
Simon Jolin-Barrette
 CA Leaning CAQ
Bourassa-Sauvé
Madwa-Nika Cadet
 L Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
 PQ Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi
Isabelle Charest
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Chambly
Jean-François Roberge
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Champlain
Sonia LeBel
 CA Leaning PQ
Chapleau
Mathieu Lévesque
 CA Toss up LIB/CAQ
Charlesbourg
Jonatan Julien
 CA PCQ leaning
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré
Kariane Bourassa
 CA Likely PQ
Châteauguay
Marie-Belle Gendron
 CA Likely LIB
Chauveau
Sylvain Lévesque
 CA PCQ safe
Chicoutimi
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
 PQ Safe PQ
Chomedey
Sona Lakhoyan Olivier
 I Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
Martine Biron
 CA PCQ likely
Côte-du-Sud
Mathieu Rivest
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
D’Arcy-McGee
Elisabeth Prass
 L Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes
Benoit Charette
 CA Likely PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs
Sébastien Schneeberger
 CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Dubuc
François Tremblay
 I Safe PQ
Duplessis
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
 CA Likely PQ
Fabre
Alice Abou-Khalil
 CA Likely LIB
Gaspé
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
 CA Safe PQ
Gatineau
Robert Bussière
 CA Likely LIB
Gouin
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
 QS QS safe
Granby
François Bonnardel
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Groulx
Eric Girard
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS QS leaning
Hull
Suzanne Tremblay
 CA Safe LIB
Huntingdon
Carole Mallette
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Iberville
Audrey Bogemans
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine
Joël Arseneau
 PQ Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier
Greg Kelley
 L Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS QS leaning
Jean-Talon
Pascal Paradis
 PQ Likely PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger
Filomena Rotiroti
 L Safe LIB
Daniel-Johnson
André Lamontagne
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Joliette
François St-Louis
 CA Safe PQ
Jonquière
Yannick Gagnon
 CA Safe PQ
L’Assomption
François Legault
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
La Peltrie
Éric Caire
 CA PCQ safe
La Pinière
Linda Caron
 L Safe LIB
La Prairie
Christian Dubé
 I Toss up PQ/CAQ
Labelle
Chantal Jeannotte
 CA Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean
Eric Girard
 CA Safe PQ
LaFontaine
Marc Tanguay
 L Safe LIB
Pierre-Laporte
Isabelle Poulet
 I Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion
Andrès Fontecilla
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
Laval-des-Rapides
Céline Haytayan
 CA Likely LIB
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice
Marie-Louise Tardif
 CA Leaning PQ
Les Plaines
Lucie Lecours
 CA Leaning PQ
Lévis
Bernard Drainville
 CA PCQ leaning
Lotbinière-Frontenac
Isabelle Lecours
 CA PCQ likely
Louis-Hébert
Geneviève Guilbault
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys
Fred Beauchemin
 L Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin
Shirley Dorismond
 CA Safe PQ
Marquette
Enrico Ciccone
 L Safe LIB
Maskinongé
Simon Allaire
 CA Leaning PQ
Masson
Mathieu Lemay
 CA Leaning PQ
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis
Pascal Bérubé
 PQ Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Leaning PQ
Mégantic
François Jacques
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS safe
Mille-Îles
Virginie Dufour
 L Safe LIB
Mirabel
Sylvie D’Amours
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mont-Royal–Outremont
Michelle Setlakwe
 L Safe LIB
Montarville
Nathalie Roy
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Montmorency
Jean-François Simard
 CA PCQ likely
Nelligan
Monsef Derraji
 L Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour
Donald Martel
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce
Désirée McGraw
 L Safe LIB
Orford
Gilles Bélanger
 I Leaning LIB
Papineau
Mathieu Lacombe
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Pointe-aux-Trembles
Chantal Rouleau
 CA Safe PQ
Pontiac
André Fortin
 L Safe LIB
Portneuf
Vincent Caron
 CA PCQ safe
Prévost
Sonia Bélanger
 CA Safe PQ
René-Lévesque
Yves Montigny
 CA Leaning PQ
Repentigny
Pascale Déry
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Richelieu
Jean-Bernard Émond
 CA Likely PQ
Richmond
André Bachand
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Rimouski
Maïté Blanchette Vézina
 C Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques
Amélie Dionne
 CA Likely PQ
Robert-Baldwin
Brigitte Garceau
 L Safe LIB
Roberval
Nancy Guillemette
 CA Safe PQ
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal
 I Toss up PQ/QS
Rousseau
Louis-Charles Thouin
 CA Leaning PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Likely PQ
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Likely PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
Saint-Hyacinthe
Chantal Soucy
 CA Likely PQ
Saint-Jean
Louis Lemieux
 CA Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme
Youri Chassin
 I Likely PQ
Saint-Laurent
Marwah Rizqy
 I Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
Sainte-Rose
Christopher Skeete
 CA Leaning LIB
Sanguinet
Christine Fréchette
 CA Likely PQ
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
Soulanges
Marilyne Picard
 CA Likely LIB
Taillon
Lionel Carmant
 CA Safe PQ
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS QS leaning
Terrebonne
Catherine Gentilcore
 PQ Leaning PQ
Trois-Rivières
Jean Boulet
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Leaning PQ
Vachon
Ian Lafrenière
 CA Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières
Mario Asselin
 CA PCQ leaning
Vaudreuil
Marie-Claude Nichols
 L Safe LIB
Verchères
Suzanne Roy
 CA Likely PQ
Verdun
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
 QS Leaning LIB
Viau
Frantz Benjamin
 L Safe LIB
Vimont-Auteuil
Valérie Schmaltz
 CA Likely LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis
Jennifer Maccarone
 L Safe LIB
Bellefeuille
Vacant
 Likely PQ
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie
Vacant
 Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ

The Road to 64 Seats

Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 1 MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 2 IDLM 3. Joliette Safe PQ 3 JOLI 4. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 4 CAML 5. Gaspé Safe PQ 5 GASP 6. Bonaventure Safe PQ 6 BONA 7. Rimouski Safe PQ 7 RIMO 8. Labelle Safe PQ 8 LABL 9. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 9 PATR 10. Prévost Safe PQ 10 PREV 11. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 11 LASJ 12. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 12 CHIC 13. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 13 STJN 14. Roberval Safe PQ 14 ROBV 15. Jonquière Safe PQ 15 JONQ 16. Bertrand Safe PQ 16 BERT 17. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 17 MVIC 18. Dubuc Safe PQ 18 DUBU 19. Taillon Safe PQ 19 TAIL 20. Berthier Safe PQ 20 BRTH 21. Argenteuil Likely PQ 21 ARGE 22. Saint-Jérôme Likely PQ 22 STJR 23. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ 23 STHY 24. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely PQ 24 RDLT 25. Saint-François Likely PQ 25 STFR 26. Vachon Likely PQ 26 VACH 27. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Likely PQ 27 CXCB 28. Richelieu Likely PQ 28 RCHL 29. Bellefeuille Likely PQ 29 BELF 30. Sanguinet Likely PQ 30 SANG 31. Jean-Talon Likely PQ 31 JTAL 32. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ 32 ROUY 33. Abitibi-Ouest Likely PQ 33 ABIO 34. Verchères Likely PQ 34 VERC 35. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ 35 DMON 36. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 36 ABIE 37. Duplessis Likely PQ 37 DUPL 38. Maskinongé Leaning PQ 38 MASK 39. René-Lévesque Leaning PQ 39 RENE 40. Terrebonne Leaning PQ 40 TERR 41. Les Plaines Leaning PQ 41 LPLA 42. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ 42 MAUR 43. Masson Leaning PQ 43 MASS 44. Blainville Leaning PQ 44 BLAI 45. Ungava Leaning PQ 45 UNGA 46. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 46 LVSM 47. Champlain Leaning PQ 47 CHPN 48. Rousseau Leaning PQ 48 ROUS 49. Arthabaska-L’Érable Leaning PQ 49 ARTH 50. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ 50 BEAU 51. Trois-Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ 51 TRIV 52. Drummond–Bois-Francs Toss up PQ/CPQ 52 DRUM 53. Repentigny Toss up PQ/CAQ 53 REPE 54. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ 54 LASS 55. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ 55 IBER 56. Mirabel Toss up PQ/CAQ 56 MIRA 57. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 57 MLGL 58. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ 58 CHBY 59. Groulx Toss up PQ/CAQ 59 GROU 60. Sherbrooke Toss up PQ/QS 60 SHER 61. La Prairie Toss up PQ/CAQ 61 LAPR 62. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CAQ 62 LHEB 63. Nicolet-Bécancour Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 63 NICO 64. Montarville Toss up PQ/CAQ 64 MTRV 65. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CPQ 65 CÔDS 66. Daniel-Johnson Toss up PQ/CAQ 66 DAJO 67. Granby Toss up PQ/CAQ 67 GRBY 68. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 68 ROSE 69. Jean-Lesage QS leaning 69 JLES 70. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning 70 HOMA 71. Richmond Toss up PQ/CAQ 71 RCHM 72. Taschereau QS leaning 72 TASH 73. Borduas Leaning CAQ 73 BORD 74. Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 74 HUNT 75. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 75 MEGA 76. Charlesbourg PCQ leaning 76 CHAR 77. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 77 PAPI 78. Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 78 BROM 79. Orford Leaning LIB 79 ORFO 80. Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ leaning 80 VALR 81. Chapleau Toss up LIB/CAQ 81 CHAP 82. Laval-des-Rapides Likely LIB 82 LVDR 83. Montmorency PCQ likely 83 MOMO 84. Lévis PCQ leaning 84 LEVI 85. Gatineau Likely LIB 85 GATI 86. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ likely 86 LOTF 87. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 87 SMSJ 88. Sainte-Rose Leaning LIB 88 STRO 89. Châteauguay Likely LIB 89 CHAT 90. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB 90 ANLR 91. Portneuf PCQ safe 91 PORT 92. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 92 MILI 93. Soulanges Likely LIB 93 SOUL 94. Chauveau PCQ safe 94 CHAU 95. Vimont-Auteuil Likely LIB 95 VIMO 96. La Peltrie PCQ safe 96 LAPE 97. Gouin QS safe 97 GOUI 98. Mercier QS safe 98 MERC 99. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 99 LAPO 100. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ likely 100 CHCH 101. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 101 BEAN 102. La Pinière Safe LIB 102 LAPI 103. Bellechasse PCQ safe 103 BELL 104. Fabre Likely LIB 104 FABR 105. Hull Safe LIB 105 HULL 106. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 106 VAUD 107. Viau Safe LIB 107 VIAU 108. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 108 MROU 109. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 109 BEAS 110. Verdun Leaning LIB 110 VERD 111. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 111 BOUS 112. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS 112 LAUD 113. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 113 SHSA 114. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 114 JMVI 115. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 115 STLR 116. Marquette Safe LIB 116 MARQ 117. LaFontaine Safe LIB 117 LAFO 118. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 118 MARG 119. Acadie Safe LIB 119 ACAD 120. Pontiac Safe LIB 120 PONT 121. Chomedey Safe LIB 121 CHOM 122. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 122 WSTL 123. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 123 NODG 124. Nelligan Safe LIB 124 NELL 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 125 DAMC 126. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 126 JACA 127. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 127 BALD 338Canada Quebec projection Updated September 27, 2026
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