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Quebec


Latest update: August 22, 2025

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 3. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 4. Terrebonne Safe PQ TERR 5. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 6. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 7. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 8. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 9. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 10. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 11. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 12. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 13. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 14. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 15. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 16. Richelieu Safe PQ RCHL 17. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 18. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 19. Verchères Safe PQ VERC 20. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 21. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 22. Masson Safe PQ MASS 23. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 24. Rousseau Safe PQ ROUS 25. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 26. Les Plaines Safe PQ LPLA 27. Repentigny Safe PQ REPE 28. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 29. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 30. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 31. Saint-Jean Safe PQ STJN 32. Chambly Safe PQ CHBY 33. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ DMON 34. Louis-Hébert Safe PQ LHEB 35. Borduas Safe PQ BORD 36. Taillon Safe PQ TAIL 37. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ LASJ 38. Beauharnois Safe PQ BEAU 39. Mirabel Safe PQ MIRA 40. Sanguinet Safe PQ SANG 41. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ LASM 42. Jean-Talon Safe PQ JTAL 43. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ RONT 44. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ RDLT 45. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ STHY 46. Blainville Likely PQ BLAI 47. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ JLES 48. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ ARTH 49. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ DRBF 50. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ VALR 51. Maskinongé Likely PQ MASK 52. Groulx Likely PQ GROU 53. Charlesbourg Likely PQ CHLB 54. Lévis Likely PQ LEVI 55. Taschereau Likely PQ TASH 56. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ TRIV 57. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ NICB 58. Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ CODS 59. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ ABIE 60. Vachon Likely PQ VACH 61. L’Assomption Likely PQ LASS 62. Johnson Likely PQ JOHN 63. Montarville Likely PQ MTRV 64. Granby Leaning PQ GRBY 65. Richmond Leaning PQ RCHM 66. Iberville Leaning PQ IBER 67. Mégantic Leaning PQ MEGA 68. Champlain Leaning PQ CHPN 69. Saint-François Leaning PQ STFR 70. La Prairie Leaning PQ LAPR 71. Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ MOMO 72. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/PQ MRIC 73. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS ROSE 74. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ CHCH 75. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ/QS SHER 76. Portneuf Toss up PQ/CPQ PORT 77. Ungava Leaning LIB UNGA 78. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning HOMA 79. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning LOTF 80. La Peltrie PCQ likely LAPE 81. Chauveau PCQ likely CHAU 82. Orford Likely LIB ORFO 83. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely SMSJ 84. Huntingdon Likely LIB HUNT 85. Gatineau Likely LIB GATI 86. Bellechasse PCQ likely BELL 87. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB BROM 88. Mercier QS likely MERC 89. Papineau Likely LIB PAPI 90. Soulanges Likely LIB SOUL 91. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB LVDR 92. Chapleau Safe LIB CHAP 93. Gouin QS safe GOUI 94. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB ANLR 95. Beauce-Nord PCQ likely BEAN 96. Châteauguay Safe LIB CHAT 97. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB STRO 98. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS LAUD 99. Laporte Safe LIB LAPO 100. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 101. Hull Safe LIB HULL 102. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 103. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 104. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 105. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 106. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely BEAS 107. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB SHSA 108. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 109. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 110. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 111. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 112. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 113. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 114. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 115. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 116. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 117. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 118. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 119. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 121. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 122. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 123. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 124. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC 125. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA MAMA IDLM JOLI TERR GASP BRTH CAML LABL BERT RLEV BONA STJR RIMO JONQ PREV RCHL CHIC DUBU VERC ROBE DUPL MASS MVIC ROUS CHCB LPLA REPE ABIO PATR ARGE STJN CHBY DMON LHEB BORD TAIL LASJ BEAU MIRA SANG LASM JTAL RONT RDLT STHY BLAI JLES ARTH DRBF VALR MASK GROU CHLB LEVI TASH TRIV NICB CODS ABIE VACH LASS JOHN MTRV GRBY RCHM IBER MEGA CHPN STFR LAPR MOMO MRIC ROSE CHCH SHER PORT UNGA HOMA LOTF LAPE CHAU ORFO SMSJ HUNT GATI BELL BROM MERC PAPI SOUL LVDR CHAP GOUI ANLR BEAN CHAT STRO LAUD LAPO MILI HULL VIMO LAPI FABR VAUD BEAS SHSA VIAU BOUS VERD MTRO PONT MARQ CHOM ACAD LAFO MARG JMVI STLR WSTL NODG NELL JACA DAMC ROBA 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: August 22, 2025 PQ 75▲ [66-78]




63 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection
Last election
(2022)
42 21 7 5 75
[66-78]
3
31 6 1 0 38
[35-44]
21
0 5 1 1 7
[4-11]
0
1 2 1 1 5
[3-7]
11
0 0 0 0 0
[0-3]
90

List of all 125 electoral districts | Quebec


Electoral district Current party Latest projection
Abitibi-Est Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ
Acadie Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB
Argenteuil Safe PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ
Beauce-Nord PCQ likely
Beauce-Sud PCQ likely
Beauharnois Safe PQ
Bellechasse PCQ likely
Berthier Safe PQ
Bertrand Safe PQ
Blainville Likely PQ
Bonaventure Safe PQ
Borduas Safe PQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB
Chambly Safe PQ
Champlain Leaning PQ
Chapleau Safe LIB
Charlesbourg Likely PQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ
Châteauguay Safe LIB
Chauveau PCQ likely
Chicoutimi Safe PQ
Chomedey Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ
Côte-du-Sud Likely PQ
D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ
Dubuc Safe PQ
Duplessis Safe PQ
Fabre Safe LIB
Gaspé Safe PQ
Gatineau Likely LIB
Gouin QS safe
Granby Leaning PQ
Groulx Likely PQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning
Hull Safe LIB
Huntingdon Likely LIB
Iberville Leaning PQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Likely PQ
Jean-Talon Safe PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB
Johnson Likely PQ
Joliette Safe PQ
Jonquière Safe PQ
L’Assomption Likely PQ
La Peltrie PCQ likely
La Pinière Safe LIB
La Prairie Leaning PQ
Labelle Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ
LaFontaine Safe LIB
Laporte Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS
Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB
Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ
Les Plaines Safe PQ
Lévis Likely PQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning
Louis-Hébert Safe PQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Safe PQ
Marquette Safe LIB
Maskinongé Likely PQ
Masson Safe PQ
Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/PQ
Mégantic Leaning PQ
Mercier QS likely
Mille-Îles Safe LIB
Mirabel Safe PQ
Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB
Montarville Likely PQ
Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ
Nelligan Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB
Orford Likely LIB
Papineau Likely LIB
Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ
Pontiac Safe LIB
Portneuf Toss up PQ/CPQ
Prévost Safe PQ
René-Lévesque Safe PQ
Repentigny Safe PQ
Richelieu Safe PQ
Richmond Leaning PQ
Rimouski Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ
Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB
Roberval Safe PQ
Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS
Rousseau Safe PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ
Saint-François Leaning PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB
Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ
Saint-Jean Safe PQ
Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ
Saint-Laurent Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely
Sainte-Rose Safe LIB
Sanguinet Safe PQ
Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
Soulanges Likely LIB
Taillon Safe PQ
Taschereau Likely PQ
Terrebonne Safe PQ
Trois-Rivières Likely PQ
Ungava Leaning LIB
Vachon Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ
Vaudreuil Safe LIB
Verchères Safe PQ
Verdun Safe LIB
Viau Safe LIB
Vimont Safe LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB