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Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: March 5, 2026

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 2. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 3. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 4. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 5. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 6. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 7. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 8. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 9. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 10. Terrebonne Safe PQ TERR 11. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 12. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 13. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 14. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 15. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 16. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 17. Richelieu Safe PQ RCHL 18. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 19. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 20. Masson Safe PQ MASS 21. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 22. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe PQ RDLT 23. Les Plaines Safe PQ LPLA 24. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ LASJ 25. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ STHY 26. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 27. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 28. Verchères Safe PQ VERC 29. Maskinongé Safe PQ MASK 30. Repentigny Safe PQ REPE 31. Rousseau Safe PQ ROUS 32. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ LASM 33. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 34. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 35. Mirabel Safe PQ MIRA 36. Johnson Safe PQ JOHN 37. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ RONT 38. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 39. Trois-Rivières Safe PQ TRIV 40. Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe PQ DRBF 41. Louis-Hébert Likely PQ LHEB 42. Beauharnois Likely PQ BEAU 43. Chambly Likely PQ CHBY 44. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ DMON 45. Iberville Likely PQ IBER 46. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ NICB 47. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ ARTH 48. Borduas Likely PQ BORD 49. Granby Leaning PQ GRBY 50. L’Assomption Leaning PQ LASS 51. Taillon Leaning PQ TAIL 52. Saint-Jean Leaning PQ STJN 53. Charlesbourg Leaning PQ CHLB 54. Abitibi-Est Leaning PQ ABIE 55. Vanier-Les Rivières Leaning PQ VALR 56. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ CHPN 57. Groulx Toss up LIB/PQ GROU 58. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ VACH 59. Lévis Toss up PQ/CPQ LEVI 60. Blainville Toss up LIB/PQ BLAI 61. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ MTRV 62. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS JLES 63. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CPQ CODS 64. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS TASH 65. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ LAPR 66. Sanguinet Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ SANG 67. Saint-François Toss up LIB/PQ STFR 68. Rosemont Toss up LIB/PQ/QS ROSE 69. Sherbrooke Leaning LIB SHER 70. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning HOMA 71. Jean-Talon Leaning LIB JTAL 72. Montmorency Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ MOMO 73. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ leaning CHCH 74. Maurice-Richard Leaning LIB MRIC 75. Ungava Leaning LIB UNGA 76. Mégantic Toss up LIB/CPQ MEGA 77. Portneuf PCQ likely PORT 78. Richmond Likely LIB RCHM 79. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely SMSJ 80. Huntingdon Likely LIB HUNT 81. Gatineau Likely LIB GATI 82. Papineau Likely LIB PAPI 83. Chauveau PCQ likely CHAU 84. La Peltrie PCQ leaning LAPE 85. Orford Likely LIB ORFO 86. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ likely LOTF 87. Laval-des-Rapides Likely LIB LVDR 88. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB BROM 89. Chapleau Likely LIB CHAP 90. Bellechasse PCQ likely BELL 91. Gouin QS safe GOUI 92. Soulanges Safe LIB SOUL 93. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB STRO 94. Mercier QS likely MERC 95. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB ANLR 96. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 97. Laporte Safe LIB LAPO 98. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 99. Châteauguay Safe LIB CHAT 100. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 101. Hull Safe LIB HULL 102. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe BEAN 103. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 104. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 105. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe BEAS 106. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 107. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 108. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 109. Laurier-Dorion Likely LIB LAUD 110. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 111. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Likely LIB SHSA 112. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 113. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 114. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 115. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 116. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 117. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 118. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 119. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 121. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 122. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 123. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 124. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC MAMA JOLI IDLM BRTH RLEV LABL BERT CAML RIMO TERR BONA JONQ ROBE DUBU STJR PREV RCHL DUPL ABIO MASS ARGE RDLT LPLA LASJ STHY GASP PATR VERC MASK REPE ROUS LASM CHIC CHCB MIRA JOHN RONT MVIC TRIV DRBF LHEB BEAU CHBY DMON IBER NICB ARTH BORD GRBY LASS TAIL STJN CHLB ABIE VALR CHPN GROU VACH LEVI BLAI MTRV JLES CODS TASH LAPR SANG STFR ROSE SHER HOMA JTAL MOMO CHCH MRIC UNGA MEGA PORT RCHM SMSJ HUNT GATI PAPI CHAU LAPE ORFO LOTF LVDR BROM CHAP BELL GOUI SOUL STRO MERC ANLR MILI LAPO VIMO CHAT LAPI HULL BEAN VAUD FABR BEAS VIAU VERD MTRO LAUD BOUS SHSA PONT JMVI LAFO MARQ CHOM STLR MARG ACAD WSTL NODG NELL JACA ROBA DAMC 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: March 5, 2026 PQ 63▼ [53-72]

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
Suzanne Blais
CA Safe PQ
André A. Morin
L Safe LIB
Karine Boivin Roy
CA Safe LIB
Agnès Grondin
CA Safe PQ
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ safe
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ safe
Claude Reid
CA Likely PQ
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ likely
Caroline Proulx
CA Safe PQ
France-Élaine Duranceau
CA Safe PQ
Mario Laframboise
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Catherine Blouin
CA Safe PQ
Simon Jolin-Barrette
CA Likely PQ
Madwa-Nika Cadet
L Safe LIB
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
Isabelle Charest
CA Likely LIB
Jean-François Roberge
CA Likely PQ
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mathieu Lévesque
CA Likely LIB
Jonatan Julien
CA Leaning PQ
CA Safe PQ
Marie-Belle Gendron
CA Safe LIB
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
Mathieu Rivest
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Elisabeth Prass
L Safe LIB
Benoit Charette
CA Likely PQ
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Safe PQ
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
CA Safe PQ
Alice Abou-Khalil
CA Safe LIB
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
CA Safe PQ
Robert Bussière
CA Likely LIB
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
QS QS safe
François Bonnardel
CA Leaning PQ
Éric Girard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Alexandre Leduc
QS QS leaning
Suzanne Tremblay
CA Safe LIB
Carole Mallette
CA Likely LIB
Audrey Bogemans
CA Likely PQ
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
Greg Kelley
L Safe LIB
Sol Zanetti
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Pascal Paradis
PQ Leaning LIB
Filomena Rotiroti
L Safe LIB
André Lamontagne
CA Safe PQ
François St-Louis
CA Safe PQ
Yannick Gagnon
CA Safe PQ
François Legault
CA Leaning PQ
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
Linda Caron
L Safe LIB
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
I Toss up LIB/PQ
Chantal Jeannotte
CA Safe PQ
Éric Girard
CA Safe PQ
Marc Tanguay
L Safe LIB
Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe LIB
Andrès Fontecilla
QS Likely LIB
Céline Haytayan
CA Likely LIB
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Safe PQ
Lucie Lecours
CA Safe PQ
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ likely
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Likely PQ
Fred Beauchemin
L Safe LIB
Shirley Dorismond
CA Safe PQ
Enrico Ciccone
L Safe LIB
Simon Allaire
CA Safe PQ
Mathieu Lemay
CA Safe PQ
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
Haroun Bouazzi
QS Leaning LIB
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/CPQ
Ruba Ghazal
QS QS likely
Virginie Dufour
L Safe LIB
Sylvie D’Amours
CA Safe PQ
Michelle Setlakwe
L Safe LIB
Nathalie Roy
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
Monsef Derraji
L Safe LIB
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
Désirée McGraw
L Safe LIB
Gilles Bélanger
CA Likely LIB
Mathieu Lacombe
CA Likely LIB
Chantal Rouleau
CA Safe PQ
André Fortin
L Safe LIB
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
Sonia Bélanger
CA Safe PQ
Yves Montigny
CA Safe PQ
Pascale Déry
CA Safe PQ
Jean-Bernard Émond
CA Safe PQ
André Bachand
CA Likely LIB
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
CA Safe PQ
Brigitte Garceau
L Safe LIB
Nancy Guillemette
CA Safe PQ
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
I Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
Louis-Charles Thouin
CA Safe PQ
CA Safe PQ
Geneviève Hébert
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
QS Likely LIB
Chantal Soucy
CA Safe PQ
Louis Lemieux
CA Leaning PQ
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
QS QS likely
Christopher Skeete
CA Safe LIB
Christine Fréchette
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Christine Labrie
QS Leaning LIB
Marilyne Picard
CA Safe LIB
Lionel Carmant [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ Safe PQ
Jean Boulet
CA Safe PQ
Denis Lamothe
CA Leaning LIB
Ian Lafrenière
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Mario Asselin
CA Leaning PQ
Marie-Claude Nichols
L Safe LIB
Suzanne Roy
CA Safe PQ
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
QS Safe LIB
Frantz Benjamin
L Safe LIB
Valérie Schmaltz
CA Safe LIB
Jennifer Maccarone
L Safe LIB