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Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: April 17, 2026

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 2. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 3. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 4. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 5. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 6. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 7. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 8. Terrebonne Safe PQ TERR 9. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 10. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 11. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 12. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 13. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 14. Richelieu Safe PQ RCHL 15. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 16. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 17. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 18. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 19. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 20. Masson Safe PQ MASS 21. Verchères Safe PQ VERC 22. Rousseau Safe PQ ROUS 23. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Safe PQ RDLT 24. Maskinongé Safe PQ MASK 25. Johnson Safe PQ JOHN 26. Les Plaines Safe PQ LPLA 27. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ STHY 28. Repentigny Safe PQ REPE 29. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 30. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 31. Mirabel Safe PQ MIRA 32. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ RONT 33. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ LASJ 34. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 35. Drummond–Bois-Francs Safe PQ DRBF 36. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 37. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 38. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Safe PQ LASM 39. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 40. Beauharnois Likely PQ BEAU 41. Iberville Likely PQ IBER 42. Saint-Jean Likely PQ STJN 43. Chambly Likely PQ CHBY 44. L’Assomption Likely PQ LASS 45. Louis-Hébert Likely PQ LHEB 46. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ TRIV 47. Granby Likely PQ GRBY 48. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ ARTH 49. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ NICB 50. Borduas Likely PQ BORD 51. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ DMON 52. Champlain Likely PQ CHPN 53. Charlesbourg Leaning PQ CHLB 54. Vanier-Les Rivières Leaning PQ VALR 55. Taillon Leaning PQ TAIL 56. Abitibi-Est Leaning PQ ABIE 57. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ VACH 58. Groulx Toss up LIB/PQ GROU 59. Sanguinet Toss up LIB/PQ SANG 60. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CPQ CODS 61. Blainville Toss up LIB/PQ BLAI 62. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS JLES 63. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ MTRV 64. Lévis Toss up PQ/CPQ LEVI 65. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS TASH 66. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ JTAL 67. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ LAPR 68. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning HOMA 69. Saint-François Leaning LIB STFR 70. Rosemont Toss up LIB/PQ/QS ROSE 71. Montmorency Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ MOMO 72. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ leaning CHCH 73. Sherbrooke Leaning LIB SHER 74. Ungava Likely LIB UNGA 75. Mégantic Toss up LIB/CPQ MEGA 76. Portneuf PCQ likely PORT 77. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely SMSJ 78. Maurice-Richard Likely LIB MRIC 79. Richmond Likely LIB RCHM 80. Chauveau PCQ likely CHAU 81. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ likely LOTF 82. Huntingdon Likely LIB HUNT 83. La Peltrie PCQ leaning LAPE 84. Gatineau Likely LIB GATI 85. Papineau Likely LIB PAPI 86. Orford Likely LIB ORFO 87. Bellechasse PCQ safe BELL 88. Chapleau Safe LIB CHAP 89. Brome-Missisquoi Safe LIB BROM 90. Gouin QS safe GOUI 91. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB LVDR 92. Mercier QS leaning MERC 93. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB STRO 94. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 95. Soulanges Safe LIB SOUL 96. Laporte Safe LIB LAPO 97. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB ANLR 98. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe BEAN 99. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 100. Châteauguay Safe LIB CHAT 101. Hull Safe LIB HULL 102. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 103. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 104. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe BEAS 105. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 106. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 107. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 108. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 109. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 110. Laurier-Dorion Likely LIB LAUD 111. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Likely LIB SHSA 112. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 113. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 114. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 115. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 116. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 117. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 118. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 119. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 121. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 122. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 123. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 124. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC MAMA JOLI BRTH RLEV LABL BERT RIMO TERR GASP BONA JONQ DUBU ROBE RCHL STJR PREV ABIO DUPL CHIC MASS VERC ROUS RDLT MASK JOHN LPLA STHY REPE IDLM MVIC MIRA RONT LASJ CAML DRBF CHCB ARGE LASM PATR BEAU IBER STJN CHBY LASS LHEB TRIV GRBY ARTH NICB BORD DMON CHPN CHLB VALR TAIL ABIE VACH GROU SANG CODS BLAI JLES MTRV LEVI TASH JTAL LAPR HOMA STFR ROSE MOMO CHCH SHER UNGA MEGA PORT SMSJ MRIC RCHM CHAU LOTF HUNT LAPE GATI PAPI ORFO BELL CHAP BROM GOUI LVDR MERC STRO MILI SOUL LAPO ANLR BEAN VIMO CHAT HULL LAPI VAUD BEAS FABR VIAU VERD MTRO PONT LAUD SHSA BOUS JMVI CHOM LAFO MARQ STLR MARG ACAD WSTL NODG NELL JACA ROBA DAMC 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: April 17, 2026 PQ 59▼ [53-69]

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
Suzanne Blais
CA Safe PQ
André A. Morin
L Safe LIB
Karine Boivin Roy
CA Safe LIB
Agnès Grondin
CA Safe PQ
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ safe
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ safe
Claude Reid
CA Likely PQ
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ safe
Caroline Proulx
CA Safe PQ
France-Élaine Duranceau
CA Safe PQ
Mario Laframboise
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Catherine Blouin
CA Safe PQ
Simon Jolin-Barrette
CA Likely PQ
Madwa-Nika Cadet
L Safe LIB
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
Isabelle Charest
CA Safe LIB
Jean-François Roberge
CA Likely PQ
Sonia LeBel
CA Likely PQ
Mathieu Lévesque
CA Safe LIB
Jonatan Julien
CA Leaning PQ
CA Safe PQ
Marie-Belle Gendron
CA Safe LIB
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
Mathieu Rivest
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Elisabeth Prass
L Safe LIB
Benoit Charette
CA Likely PQ
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Safe PQ
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
CA Safe PQ
Alice Abou-Khalil
CA Safe LIB
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
CA Safe PQ
Robert Bussière
CA Likely LIB
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
QS QS safe
François Bonnardel
CA Likely PQ
Éric Girard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Alexandre Leduc
QS QS leaning
Suzanne Tremblay
CA Safe LIB
Carole Mallette
CA Likely LIB
Audrey Bogemans
CA Likely PQ
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
Greg Kelley
L Safe LIB
Sol Zanetti
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Pascal Paradis
PQ Toss up LIB/PQ
Filomena Rotiroti
L Safe LIB
André Lamontagne
CA Safe PQ
François St-Louis
CA Safe PQ
Yannick Gagnon
CA Safe PQ
François Legault
CA Likely PQ
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
Linda Caron
L Safe LIB
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
I Toss up LIB/PQ
Chantal Jeannotte
CA Safe PQ
Éric Girard
CA Safe PQ
Marc Tanguay
L Safe LIB
Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe LIB
Andrès Fontecilla
QS Likely LIB
Céline Haytayan
CA Safe LIB
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Safe PQ
Lucie Lecours
CA Safe PQ
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ likely
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Likely PQ
Fred Beauchemin
L Safe LIB
Shirley Dorismond
CA Safe PQ
Enrico Ciccone
L Safe LIB
Simon Allaire
CA Safe PQ
Mathieu Lemay
CA Safe PQ
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
Haroun Bouazzi
QS Likely LIB
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/CPQ
Ruba Ghazal
QS QS leaning
Virginie Dufour
L Safe LIB
Sylvie D’Amours
CA Safe PQ
Michelle Setlakwe
L Safe LIB
Nathalie Roy
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
Monsef Derraji
L Safe LIB
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
Désirée McGraw
L Safe LIB
Gilles Bélanger
CA Likely LIB
Mathieu Lacombe
CA Likely LIB
Chantal Rouleau
CA Safe PQ
André Fortin
L Safe LIB
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
Sonia Bélanger
CA Safe PQ
Yves Montigny
CA Safe PQ
Pascale Déry
CA Safe PQ
Jean-Bernard Émond
CA Safe PQ
André Bachand
CA Likely LIB
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
C Safe PQ
CA Safe PQ
Brigitte Garceau
L Safe LIB
Nancy Guillemette
CA Safe PQ
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
I Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
Louis-Charles Thouin
CA Safe PQ
CA Safe PQ
Geneviève Hébert
CA Leaning LIB
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
QS Likely LIB
Chantal Soucy
CA Safe PQ
Louis Lemieux
CA Likely PQ
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
QS QS likely
Christopher Skeete
CA Safe LIB
Christine Fréchette
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Christine Labrie
QS Leaning LIB
Marilyne Picard
CA Safe LIB
Lionel Carmant
CA Leaning PQ
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ Safe PQ
Jean Boulet
CA Likely PQ
Denis Lamothe
CA Likely LIB
Ian Lafrenière
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Mario Asselin
CA Leaning PQ
Marie-Claude Nichols
L Safe LIB
Suzanne Roy
CA Safe PQ
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
QS Safe LIB
Frantz Benjamin
L Safe LIB
Valérie Schmaltz
CA Safe LIB
Jennifer Maccarone
L Safe LIB