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Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: May 21, 2026

The Road to 63 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 63 seats 1. Matane-Matapédia Safe PQ MAMA 2. Joliette Safe PQ JOLI 3. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ IDLM 4. Berthier Safe PQ BRTH 5. Labelle Safe PQ LABL 6. Bertrand Safe PQ BERT 7. Rimouski Safe PQ RIMO 8. Bonaventure Safe PQ BONA 9. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ STJR 10. Prévost Safe PQ PREV 11. Duplessis Safe PQ DUPL 12. Chicoutimi Safe PQ CHIC 13. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ CHCB 14. Argenteuil Safe PQ ARGE 15. Gaspé Safe PQ GASP 16. René-Lévesque Safe PQ RLEV 17. Roberval Safe PQ ROBE 18. Jonquière Safe PQ JONQ 19. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ PATR 20. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ ABIO 21. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ MVIC 22. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ CAML 23. Dubuc Safe PQ DUBU 24. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ LASJ 25. Saint-Jean Likely PQ STJN 26. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ ARTH 27. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ RONT 28. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ STHY 29. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata Likely PQ RDLT 30. Terrebonne Likely PQ TERR 31. Richelieu Likely PQ RCHL 32. Maskinongé Likely PQ MASK 33. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice Likely PQ LASM 34. Masson Likely PQ MASS 35. Charlesbourg Likely PQ CHLB 36. Louis-Hébert Likely PQ LHEB 37. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ DMON 38. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ DRBF 39. Johnson Likely PQ JOHN 40. Verchères Likely PQ VERC 41. Les Plaines Likely PQ LPLA 42. Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ VALR 43. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ NICB 44. Repentigny Likely PQ REPE 45. Taillon Likely PQ TAIL 46. Rousseau Leaning PQ ROUS 47. Trois-Rivières Leaning PQ TRIV 48. Abitibi-Est Leaning PQ ABIE 49. Mirabel Leaning PQ MIRA 50. Côte-du-Sud Leaning PQ CODS 51. Iberville Leaning PQ IBER 52. Blainville Leaning PQ BLAI 53. Saint-François Leaning PQ STFR 54. Groulx Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ GROU 55. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS TASH 56. Lévis Toss up PQ/CPQ LEVI 57. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ CHBY 58. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ VACH 59. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS JLES 60. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ BEAU 61. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ JTAL 62. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ SHER 63. Montmorency Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ MOMO 64. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ CHCH 65. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ CHPN 66. Montarville Toss up PQ/CAQ MTRV 67. Rosemont Toss up LIB/PQ/QS ROSE 68. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ LASS 69. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning HOMA 70. Portneuf PCQ leaning PORT 71. Sanguinet Leaning CAQ SANG 72. La Prairie Leaning CAQ LAPR 73. Granby Leaning CAQ GRBY 74. Mégantic Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ/CPQ MEGA 75. Richmond Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ RCHM 76. Ungava Leaning LIB UNGA 77. Chauveau PCQ leaning CHAU 78. Maurice-Richard Likely LIB MRIC 79. Borduas Likely CAQ BORD 80. Papineau Toss up LIB/CAQ PAPI 81. La Peltrie PCQ leaning LAPE 82. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning LOTF 83. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely SMSJ 84. Huntingdon Likely LIB HUNT 85. Bellechasse PCQ likely BELL 86. Orford Likely LIB ORFO 87. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB BROM 88. Gatineau Likely LIB GATI 89. Chapleau Likely LIB CHAP 90. Gouin QS safe GOUI 91. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB LVDR 92. Beauce-Nord PCQ likely BEAN 93. Soulanges Safe LIB SOUL 94. Mercier QS leaning MERC 95. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB ANLR 96. Laporte Safe LIB LAPO 97. Mille-Îles Safe LIB MILI 98. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB STRO 99. Hull Safe LIB HULL 100. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely BEAS 101. Châteauguay Safe LIB CHAT 102. Vimont Safe LIB VIMO 103. La Pinière Safe LIB LAPI 104. Vaudreuil Safe LIB VAUD 105. Fabre Safe LIB FABR 106. Viau Safe LIB VIAU 107. Verdun Safe LIB VERD 108. Mont-Royal -Outremont Safe LIB MTRO 109. Laurier-Dorion Likely LIB LAUD 110. Pontiac Safe LIB PONT 111. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Safe LIB SHSA 112. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB BOUS 113. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB JMVI 114. LaFontaine Safe LIB LAFO 115. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB STLR 116. Marquette Safe LIB MARQ 117. Chomedey Safe LIB CHOM 118. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB MARG 119. Acadie Safe LIB ACAD 120. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB WSTL 121. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB NODG 122. Nelligan Safe LIB NELL 123. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB JACA 124. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB ROBA 125. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB DAMC MAMA JOLI IDLM BRTH LABL BERT RIMO BONA STJR PREV DUPL CHIC CHCB ARGE GASP RLEV ROBE JONQ PATR ABIO MVIC CAML DUBU LASJ STJN ARTH RONT STHY RDLT TERR RCHL MASK LASM MASS CHLB LHEB DMON DRBF JOHN VERC LPLA VALR NICB REPE TAIL ROUS TRIV ABIE MIRA CODS IBER BLAI STFR GROU TASH LEVI CHBY VACH JLES BEAU JTAL SHER MOMO CHCH CHPN MTRV ROSE LASS HOMA PORT SANG LAPR GRBY MEGA RCHM UNGA CHAU MRIC BORD PAPI LAPE LOTF SMSJ HUNT BELL ORFO BROM GATI CHAP GOUI LVDR BEAN SOUL MERC ANLR LAPO MILI STRO HULL BEAS CHAT VIMO LAPI VAUD FABR VIAU VERD MTRO LAUD PONT SHSA BOUS JMVI LAFO STLR MARQ CHOM MARG ACAD WSTL NODG NELL JACA ROBA DAMC 338Canada Quebec Projection Latest update: May 21, 2026 PQ 64▲ [49-72]

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning PQ
Suzanne Blais
CA Safe PQ
André A. Morin
L Safe LIB
Karine Boivin Roy
CA Safe LIB
Agnès Grondin
CA Safe PQ
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ likely
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ likely
Claude Reid
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ likely
Caroline Proulx
CA Safe PQ
France-Élaine Duranceau
CA Safe PQ
Mario Laframboise
CA Leaning PQ
Catherine Blouin
CA Safe PQ
Simon Jolin-Barrette
CA Likely CAQ
Madwa-Nika Cadet
L Safe LIB
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
Isabelle Charest
CA Likely LIB
Jean-François Roberge
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mathieu Lévesque
CA Likely LIB
Jonatan Julien
CA Likely PQ
CA Safe PQ
Marie-Belle Gendron
CA Safe LIB
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ leaning
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
Martine Biron
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Mathieu Rivest
CA Leaning PQ
Elisabeth Prass
L Safe LIB
Benoit Charette
CA Likely PQ
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Likely PQ
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
CA Safe PQ
Alice Abou-Khalil
CA Safe LIB
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
CA Safe PQ
Robert Bussière
CA Likely LIB
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
QS QS safe
François Bonnardel
CA Leaning CAQ
Éric Girard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Alexandre Leduc
QS QS leaning
Suzanne Tremblay
CA Safe LIB
Carole Mallette
CA Likely LIB
Audrey Bogemans
CA Leaning PQ
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
Greg Kelley
L Safe LIB
Sol Zanetti
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Pascal Paradis
PQ Toss up LIB/PQ
Filomena Rotiroti
L Safe LIB
André Lamontagne
CA Likely PQ
François St-Louis
CA Safe PQ
Yannick Gagnon
CA Safe PQ
François Legault
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
Linda Caron
L Safe LIB
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning CAQ
Chantal Jeannotte
CA Safe PQ
Éric Girard
CA Safe PQ
Marc Tanguay
L Safe LIB
Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe LIB
Andrès Fontecilla
QS Likely LIB
Céline Haytayan
CA Safe LIB
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Likely PQ
Lucie Lecours
CA Likely PQ
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ leaning
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Likely PQ
Fred Beauchemin
L Safe LIB
Shirley Dorismond
CA Safe PQ
Enrico Ciccone
L Safe LIB
Simon Allaire
CA Likely PQ
Mathieu Lemay
CA Likely PQ
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
Haroun Bouazzi
QS Likely LIB
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Ruba Ghazal
QS QS leaning
Virginie Dufour
L Safe LIB
Sylvie D’Amours
CA Leaning PQ
Michelle Setlakwe
L Safe LIB
Nathalie Roy
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
Monsef Derraji
L Safe LIB
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
Désirée McGraw
L Safe LIB
Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
I Likely LIB
Mathieu Lacombe
CA Toss up LIB/CAQ
Chantal Rouleau
CA Safe PQ
André Fortin
L Safe LIB
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ leaning
Sonia Bélanger
CA Safe PQ
Yves Montigny
CA Safe PQ
Pascale Déry
CA Likely PQ
Jean-Bernard Émond
CA Likely PQ
André Bachand
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
C Safe PQ
CA Likely PQ
Brigitte Garceau
L Safe LIB
Nancy Guillemette
CA Safe PQ
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
I Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
Louis-Charles Thouin
CA Leaning PQ
CA Likely PQ
Geneviève Hébert
CA Leaning PQ
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
QS Safe LIB
Chantal Soucy
CA Likely PQ
Louis Lemieux
CA Likely PQ
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
QS QS likely
Christopher Skeete
CA Safe LIB
Christine Fréchette
CA Leaning CAQ
Christine Labrie
QS Toss up LIB/PQ
Marilyne Picard
CA Safe LIB
Lionel Carmant
CA Likely PQ
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ Likely PQ
Jean Boulet
CA Leaning PQ
Denis Lamothe
CA Leaning LIB
Ian Lafrenière
CA Toss up LIB/PQ
Mario Asselin
CA Likely PQ
Marie-Claude Nichols
L Safe LIB
Suzanne Roy
CA Likely PQ
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
QS Safe LIB
Frantz Benjamin
L Safe LIB
Valérie Schmaltz
CA Safe LIB
Jennifer Maccarone
L Safe LIB