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Quebec

La Pinière


MNA: Linda Caron (LIB)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | La Pinière


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 60% ± 7% 58.4% 47.1% 38.5% PQ 15% ± 5% 0.0% 8.9% 7.8% CPQ 9% ± 4% 0.6% 1.3% 10.2% CAQ 8% ± 3% 12.7% 28.8% 31.2% QS 5% ± 3% 3.8% 10.0% 10.0%




338Canada projection for La Pinière


La Pinière 60% ± 7%▲ LIB 15% ± 5%▼ PQ 9% ± 4% CPQ 8% ± 3%▼ CAQ 5% ± 3%▼ QS 2% ± 2% IND LIB 2022 38.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% La Pinière >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | La Pinière

LIB 60% ± 7% PQ 15% ± 5% CAQ 8% ± 3% QS 5% ± 3% CPQ 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | La Pinière 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 43% PQ 18% CAQ 18% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 43% PQ 20% CAQ 15% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 43% PQ 22% CAQ 15% QS 9% CPQ 9% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 45% PQ 22% CAQ 15% CPQ 9% QS 8% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 45% PQ 22% CAQ 14% CPQ 9% QS 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 44% PQ 21% CAQ 16% CPQ 8% QS 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 43% PQ 22% CAQ 16% CPQ 9% QS 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 43% PQ 19% CAQ 16% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 43% PQ 21% CAQ 15% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 44% PQ 22% CAQ 14% CPQ 9% QS 8% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 44% PQ 23% CAQ 13% CPQ 9% QS 8% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 44% PQ 22% CAQ 14% CPQ 9% QS 8% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 48% PQ 20% CAQ 14% CPQ 10% QS 6% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 49% PQ 19% CAQ 13% CPQ 10% QS 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 49% PQ 19% CAQ 14% CPQ 10% QS 6% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 48% PQ 19% CAQ 14% CPQ 10% QS 6% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 50% PQ 19% CAQ 13% CPQ 10% QS 6% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 57% PQ 17% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% QS 6% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 60% PQ 15% CPQ 9% CAQ 8% QS 5% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | La Pinière

LIB >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader