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Quebec


Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata


MNA: Amélie Dionne (CAQ)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Safe CAQ hold
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata 44% ± 8%▼ 26% ± 6%▼ 15% ± 5% 10% ± 4%▲ 3% ± 2% CAQ 2022 52.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata

PQ 26% ± 6% CAQ 44% ± 8% QS 15% ± 5% QCP 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 16.6% 39.2% 52.1% 44% ± 8% PQ 23.9% 15.2% 17.6% 26% ± 6% QS 6.1% 11.0% 14.6% 15% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 1.1% 11.3% 10% ± 4% LIB 51.7% 33.5% 4.0% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%