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Quebec

Maskinongé


MNA: Simon Allaire (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Likely PQ

Recent electoral history | Maskinongé


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 35% ± 7% 26.0% 12.8% 14.1% CAQ 25% ± 6% 28.5% 42.4% 53.5% CPQ 15% ± 5% 0.1% 1.5% 16.1% LIB 15% ± 5% 38.3% 27.9% 5.1% QS 8% ± 3% 5.6% 12.1% 9.9%




338Canada projection for Maskinongé


Maskinongé 35% ± 7%▼ PQ 25% ± 6%▼ CAQ 15% ± 5% CPQ 15% ± 5%▲ LIB 8% ± 3% QS CAQ 2022 53.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Maskinongé 98%▼ PQ 2%▲ CAQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Maskinongé

LIB 15% ± 5% PQ 35% ± 7% CAQ 25% ± 6% QS 8% ± 3% CPQ 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Maskinongé 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 34% CAQ 33% CPQ 13% QS 12% LIB 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 35% PQ 32% CPQ 14% QS 12% LIB 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 34% CAQ 32% CPQ 13% QS 12% LIB 6% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 CAQ 34% PQ 34% CPQ 13% QS 10% LIB 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 33% PQ 33% CPQ 14% QS 9% LIB 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 34% PQ 34% CPQ 13% QS 9% LIB 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 34% CAQ 33% CPQ 13% QS 10% LIB 7% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 34% PQ 33% CPQ 14% QS 11% LIB 7% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 35% CAQ 33% CPQ 14% QS 10% LIB 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 38% CAQ 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% LIB 7% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 39% CAQ 29% CPQ 13% QS 10% LIB 7% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 37% CAQ 31% CPQ 13% QS 10% LIB 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 36% CAQ 31% CPQ 14% LIB 9% QS 8% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 36% CAQ 30% CPQ 15% LIB 9% QS 8% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 35% CAQ 32% CPQ 14% LIB 9% QS 8% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 35% CAQ 32% CPQ 14% LIB 9% QS 8% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 39% CAQ 28% CPQ 13% LIB 9% QS 8% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 37% CAQ 26% CPQ 15% LIB 13% QS 8% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 35% CAQ 25% CPQ 15% LIB 15% QS 8% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Maskinongé

LIB <1% PQ 98% CAQ 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 58% CAQ 42% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 66% PQ 34% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 64% CAQ 36% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 CAQ 50% PQ 50% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 51% PQ 49% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 55% PQ 45% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 57% CAQ 43% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 51% PQ 49% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 66% CAQ 34% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 93% CAQ 7% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 97% CAQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 86% CAQ 14% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 82% CAQ 18% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 88% CAQ 12% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 73% CAQ 27% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 72% CAQ 28% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 98% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 98% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader