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Quebec


Vaudreuil


MNA: Marie-Claude Nichols (GRN)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Safe LIB hold
Vaudreuil 38% ± 7%▼ 21% ± 6%▼ 17% ± 5%▲ 11% ± 4% 9% ± 3% LIB 2022 34.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Vaudreuil >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Vaudreuil

LIB 38% ± 7% PQ 17% ± 5% CAQ 21% ± 6% QS 9% ± 3% QCP 11% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Vaudreuil 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Vaudreuil

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Vaudreuil



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 58.9% 39.9% 34.2% 38% ± 7% CAQ 16.5% 32.6% 32.8% 21% ± 6% QCP 0.4% 1.7% 11.6% 11% ± 4% QS 4.9% 10.0% 9.2% 9% ± 3% PQ 17.0% 10.1% 7.7% 17% ± 5% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%