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Recent electoral history | Hull


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection LIB 48% ± 7% 55.6% 34.2% 25.6% PQ 20% ± 5% 21.5% 13.5% 10.0% CAQ 13% ± 4% 11.1% 26.8% 35.5% QS 11% ± 4% 10.8% 18.1% 20.2% CPQ 7% ± 3% 0.0% 1.4% 6.8%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Hull projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Hull 40% 55% 48% ± 7% LIB 15% 25% 20% ± 5% PQ 9% 18% 13% ± 4% CAQ 7% 15% 11% ± 4% QS 4% 10% 7% ± 3% CPQ CAQ 2022 35.452% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hull >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Hull

Odds of winning | Hull


>99% <1% 30% ± 6% 70% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Hull YES NO 338Canada June 28, 2026