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Quebec


Hull


MNA: Suzanne Tremblay (CAQ)


Latest projection: November 24, 2023

Leaning LIB gain
Hull 29% ± 7%▲ 22% ± 6%▼ 21% ± 6%▲ 19% ± 6% 6% ± 3% CAQ 2022 34.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Hull 88%▲ 7%▼ 4%▲ 1% Odds of winning | November 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Hull

LIB 29% ± 7% PQ 19% ± 6% CAQ 22% ± 6% QS 21% ± 6% QCP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Hull 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Hull

LIB 88% PQ 1% CAQ 7% QS 4% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Hull



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 10.9% 26.4% 34.6% 22% ± 6% LIB 55.2% 33.7% 25.9% 29% ± 7% QS 11.0% 18.5% 20.7% 21% ± 6% PQ 21.8% 13.6% 9.8% 19% ± 6% QCP 0.0% 1.5% 6.9% 6% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%