Quebec City CMA
14 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Quebec City CMA
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Quebec City CMA
14 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026
Methodology note.
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Methodology note.
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions.
Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.
List of districts | Quebec City CMA
Latest update: March 5, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Stéphanie Lachance
|
PCQ likely | |
Jonatan Julien
|
Leaning PQ | |
Kariane Bourassa
|
Safe PQ | |
Sylvain Lévesque
|
PCQ likely | |
Martine Biron
|
PCQ leaning | |
Sol Zanetti
|
Toss up PQ/QS | |
Pascal Paradis
|
Leaning LIB | |
Éric Caire
|
PCQ leaning | |
Bernard Drainville
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
Geneviève Guilbault
|
Likely PQ | |
Jean-François Simard
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ | |
Vincent Caron
|
PCQ likely | |
Étienne Grandmont
|
Toss up PQ/QS | |
Mario Asselin
|
Leaning PQ |