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Quebec

Quebec City Region, 14 districts


Latest update: May 16, 2025
Quebec City Region 34% ± 6%▲ PQ 26% ± 6%▼ CPQ 19% ± 4%▼ CAQ 10% ± 3%▲ QS 9% ± 3%▲ LIB 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 16, 2025
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Quebec City Region, 14 districts 9▲ [8-10] PQ 5▼ [4-6] CPQ 0 [0-0] CAQ 0 [0-0] QS 338Canada seat projection | May 16, 2025
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Quebec City Region

LIB 9% ± 3% PQ 34% ± 6% CAQ 19% ± 4% QS 10% ± 3% CPQ 26% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Quebec City Region 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ May 16, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 34% CAQ 22% CPQ 20% QS 17% LIB 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 29% CAQ 24% CPQ 23% QS 17% LIB 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 35% CAQ 22% CPQ 18% QS 17% LIB 6% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 35% CAQ 23% CPQ 18% QS 15% LIB 7% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 31% CAQ 26% CPQ 19% QS 13% LIB 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 30% CAQ 26% CPQ 21% QS 13% LIB 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 30% CAQ 25% CPQ 21% QS 14% LIB 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 32% CAQ 25% CPQ 21% QS 13% LIB 7% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 33% CAQ 24% CPQ 21% QS 13% LIB 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 35% CAQ 23% CPQ 21% QS 13% LIB 7% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 35% CAQ 22% CPQ 21% QS 13% LIB 7% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 34% CAQ 23% CPQ 22% QS 13% LIB 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 32% CPQ 26% CAQ 22% QS 10% LIB 9% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 31% CPQ 30% CAQ 20% LIB 9% QS 9% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 30% CPQ 29% CAQ 21% QS 9% LIB 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 30% CPQ 29% CAQ 21% QS 9% LIB 8% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 34% CPQ 26% CAQ 19% QS 10% LIB 9% 2025-05-16 Ghazal QS co-leader

Seat projection | Quebec City Region

PQ 9 [8-10] CAQ 0 [0-0] QS 0 [0-0] CPQ 5 [4-6] Seat projection | Quebec City Region 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 PQ CAQ QS CPQ May 16, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 9 CPQ 2 QS 2 CAQ 1 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 6 CPQ 5 QS 2 CAQ 1 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 11 CPQ 2 QS 1 CAQ 0 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 12 CPQ 2 CAQ 0 QS 0 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 8 CAQ 5 CPQ 1 QS 0 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 6 CAQ 5 CPQ 2 QS 1 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 7 CAQ 3 CPQ 3 QS 1 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 8 CAQ 3 CPQ 3 QS 0 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 8 CAQ 3 CPQ 3 QS 0 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 11 CPQ 3 CAQ 0 QS 0 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 11 CPQ 3 CAQ 0 QS 0 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 10 CPQ 4 CAQ 0 QS 0 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 QS 0 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 QS 0 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 QS 0 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 QS 0 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 9 CPQ 5 CAQ 0 QS 0 2025-05-16 Ghazal QS co-leader

Seat projection | Quebec City Region


Latest update: May 16, 2025
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2022)
3 5 0 1 9 0
0 3 1 1 5 0
0 0 0 0 0 12
0 0 0 0 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Quebec City Region


Latest update: May 16, 2025
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
Bellechasse PCQ likely
Charlesbourg Likely PQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ
Chauveau PCQ likely
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Toss up PQ/CPQ
Jean-Lesage Likely PQ
Jean-Talon Safe PQ
La Peltrie PCQ likely
Lévis Likely PQ
Louis-Hébert Safe PQ
Montmorency Toss up PQ/CPQ
Portneuf PCQ leaning
Taschereau Likely PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Likely PQ