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Quebec City CMA

14 provincial districts
Latest update: March 5, 2026

Quebec City CMA 22% 34% 28% ± 6% PQ 20% 31% 25% ± 6% CPQ 16% 25% 20% ± 5% LIB 10% 18% 14% ± 4% CAQ 7% 13% 10% ± 3% QS 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Quebec City CMA, 14 electoral districts 6 [4-8] PQ 6 [4-8] CPQ 1 ▲ [0-2] LIB 1  [0-2] QS 0  [0-0] CAQ 338Canada seat projection | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Quebec City CMA

LIB 20% ± 5% PQ 28% ± 6% CAQ 14% ± 4% QS 10% ± 3% CPQ 25% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Quebec City CMA 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 5, 2026 2025-03-05 PQ 31% CPQ 30% CAQ 20% LIB 9% QS 9% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 30% CPQ 29% CAQ 21% QS 9% LIB 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 30% CPQ 29% CAQ 21% QS 9% LIB 8% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 34% CPQ 26% CAQ 19% QS 10% LIB 9% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 33% CPQ 26% CAQ 17% LIB 12% QS 10% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 32% CPQ 25% CAQ 16% LIB 15% QS 10% 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 PQ 32% CPQ 26% CAQ 16% LIB 14% QS 9% 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 PQ 35% CPQ 25% CAQ 16% LIB 13% QS 9% 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 PQ 37% CPQ 26% CAQ 13% LIB 13% QS 9% 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 PQ 38% CPQ 24% LIB 14% CAQ 14% QS 9% 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 PQ 35% CPQ 28% CAQ 14% LIB 13% QS 8% 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 PQ 35% CPQ 25% CAQ 16% LIB 13% QS 9% 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 PQ 38% CPQ 26% CAQ 14% LIB 11% QS 8% 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 PQ 35% CPQ 26% CAQ 17% LIB 11% QS 8% 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 PQ 34% CPQ 25% CAQ 16% LIB 12% QS 11% 2026-01-14 2026-02-03 PQ 33% CPQ 24% CAQ 17% LIB 14% QS 11% 2026-02-03 2026-02-27 PQ 30% CPQ 26% LIB 17% CAQ 15% QS 10% 2026-02-27 2026-03-05 PQ 28% CPQ 25% LIB 20% CAQ 14% QS 10% 2026-03-05 Rodriguez PLQ leader Zanetti QS co-leader Rodriguez resigns Legault resigns Milliard PLQ leader

Seat projection | Quebec City CMA

LIB 1 [0-2] PQ 6 [4-8] CAQ 0 [0-0] QS 1 [0-2] CPQ 6 [4-7] Seat projection | Quebec City CMA 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 5, 2026 2025-03-05 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 QS 0 LIB 0 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 QS 0 LIB 0 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 9 CPQ 5 CAQ 0 QS 0 LIB 0 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 9 CPQ 5 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-06-27 2025-08-13 PQ 9 CPQ 5 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-08-13 2025-08-22 PQ 10 CPQ 4 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-08-22 2025-09-10 PQ 11 CPQ 3 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-09-10 2025-09-19 PQ 11 CPQ 3 LIB 0 CAQ 0 QS 0 2025-09-19 2025-10-05 PQ 8 CPQ 6 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-10-05 2025-11-13 PQ 10 CPQ 4 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-11-13 2025-12-03 PQ 11 CPQ 3 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-12-03 2025-12-19 PQ 10 CPQ 4 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2025-12-19 2026-01-14 PQ 10 CPQ 4 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2026-01-14 2026-02-03 PQ 10 CPQ 4 CAQ 0 LIB 0 QS 0 2026-02-03 2026-02-27 PQ 7 CPQ 6 QS 1 LIB 0 CAQ 0 2026-02-27 2026-03-05 PQ 6 CPQ 6 LIB 1 QS 1 CAQ 0 2026-03-05 Rodriguez PLQ leader Zanetti QS co-leader Rodriguez resigns Legault resigns Milliard PLQ leader

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List of districts | Quebec City CMA
Latest update: March 5, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ likely
Jonatan Julien
CA Leaning PQ
CA Safe PQ
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
Sol Zanetti
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Pascal Paradis
PQ Leaning LIB
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Likely PQ
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Mario Asselin
CA Leaning PQ