Quebec City CMA
14 provincial districts
Latest update: May 21, 2026
Seat and vote projections — Quebec City CMA
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Quebec City CMA
14 provincial districts
Latest update: May 21, 2026
Methodology note.
Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Methodology note.
Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.
Quebec Projection | Quebec City CMA
Quebec Seat Projection | Quebec City CMA
List of districts | Quebec City CMA
Latest update: May 21, 2026
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Stéphanie Lachance
|
PCQ likely | |
Jonatan Julien
|
Likely PQ | |
Kariane Bourassa
|
Safe PQ | |
Sylvain Lévesque
|
PCQ leaning | |
Martine Biron
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
Sol Zanetti
|
Toss up PQ/QS | |
Pascal Paradis
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
Éric Caire
|
PCQ leaning | |
Bernard Drainville
|
Toss up PQ/CPQ | |
Geneviève Guilbault
|
Likely PQ | |
Jean-François Simard
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ | |
Vincent Caron
|
PCQ leaning | |
Étienne Grandmont
|
Toss up PQ/QS | |
Mario Asselin
|
Likely PQ |