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Quebec City CMA

14 provincial districts
Latest update: August 12, 2026

Quebec City CMA 22% 34% 28% ± 6% CPQ 21% 31% 26% ± 5% PQ 16% 27% 22% ± 5% CAQ 11% 17% 14% ± 3% LIB 7% 13% 10% ± 3% QS 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 12, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Quebec City CMA, 14 electoral districts 8 [6-9] CPQ 4 [2-5] PQ 2  [1-2] QS 0 ▼ [0-2] CAQ 0  [0-1] LIB 338Canada seat projection | August 12, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Quebec Projection | Quebec City CMA

Quebec Seat Projection | Quebec City CMA



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List of districts | Quebec City CMA
Latest update: August 12, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ safe
Jonatan Julien
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
CA Safe PQ
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
Sol Zanetti
QS QS leaning
Pascal Paradis
PQ Toss up LIB/PQ
Éric Caire
CA PCQ likely
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up CAQ/CPQ
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
Jean-François Simard
CA PCQ likely
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Mario Asselin
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ