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Recent electoral history | Mégantic


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection CAQ 24% ± 6% 21.3% 47.3% 46.5% PQ 24% ± 6% 27.6% 13.7% 12.8% CPQ 22% ± 6% 0.1% 0.3% 22.0% LIB 21% ± 5% 44.6% 19.8% 5.4% QS 9% ± 4% 5.5% 15.2% 13.0%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Mégantic projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Mégantic 18% 30% 24% ± 6% CAQ 18% 29% 24% ± 6% PQ 16% 28% 22% ± 6% CPQ 15% 26% 21% ± 5% LIB 5% 13% 9% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 46.52% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mégantic 41%▲ CAQ 37%▲ PQ 16%▼ CPQ 7%▼ LIB Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Mégantic

Odds of winning | Mégantic


>99% <1% 37% ± 6% 63% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Mégantic YES NO 338Canada June 28, 2026