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Quebec

Recent electoral history | Arthabaska-L’Érable


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection PQ 37% ± 7% 6.9% 9.5% 10.0% CPQ 31% ± 7% 1.4% 2.3% 24.2% CAQ 20% ± 5% 50.9% 61.6% 52.2% LIB 7% ± 3% 37.2% 11.4% 3.8% QS 5% ± 2% 2.9% 12.7% 9.2%
Latest update: September 5, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Arthabaska-L’Érable

PartiesCandidates
PQ Alex Boissonneault*
CPQ Tarek Henoud
CAQ Kevin Brasseur
LIB
QS Stéphanie Poirier
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Arthabaska-L’Érable projection

Latest update: September 5, 2026

Arthabaska-L’Érable 30% 43% 37% ± 7% PQ 25% 38% 31% ± 7% CPQ 15% 25% 20% ± 5% CAQ 4% 9% 7% ± 3% LIB 2% 7% 5% ± 2% QS CAQ 2022 52.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 5, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Arthabaska-L’Érable 85%▼ PQ 15%▲ CPQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | September 5, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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99% 1% 44% ± 6% 56% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Arthabaska-L’Érable YES NO 338Canada September 5, 2026