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Quebec

Recent electoral history | Arthabaska-L’Érable


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection PQ 43% ± 7% 6.9% 9.5% 10.0% CPQ 27% ± 6% 1.4% 2.3% 24.2% CAQ 21% ± 5% 50.9% 61.6% 52.2% LIB 5% ± 2% 37.2% 11.4% 3.8% QS 4% ± 2% 2.9% 12.7% 9.2%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Arthabaska-L’Érable

PartiesCandidates
PQ Alex Boissonneault*
CPQ
CAQ
LIB
QS Stéphanie Poirier
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com

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338Canada Arthabaska-L’Érable projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Arthabaska-L’Érable 36% 50% 43% ± 7% PQ 21% 33% 27% ± 6% CPQ 15% 26% 21% ± 5% CAQ 3% 7% 5% ± 2% LIB 2% 6% 4% ± 2% QS CAQ 2022 52.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Arthabaska-L’Érable >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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