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Quebec

Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue


MNA: Daniel Bernard (CAQ)

Latest projection: April 26, 2024
Toss up PQ/CAQ/QS
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue 31% ± 7% PQ 28% ± 7%▼ QS 28% ± 7%▲ CAQ 6% ± 3% QCP 5% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 45.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue 57%▲ PQ 23%▼ QS 20%▲ CAQ Odds of winning | April 26, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue

LIB 5% ± 3% PQ 31% ± 7% CAQ 28% ± 7% QS 28% ± 7% QCP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP April 26, 2024

Odds of winning | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue

LIB <1% PQ 57% CAQ 20% QS 23% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS April 26, 2024

Recent electoral history | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 17.3% 30.3% 45.2% 28% ± 7% QS 11.6% 32.1% 30.9% 28% ± 7% PQ 32.2% 18.3% 11.2% 31% ± 7% QCP 0.0% 0.9% 7.7% 6% ± 3% LIB 38.0% 16.4% 4.4% 5% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.