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Quebec


Chauveau


MNA: Sylvain Lévesque (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

PCQ leaning gain
Chauveau 33% ± 8%▲ 27% ± 6%▼ 24% ± 6%▲ 10% ± 4% 4% ± 2% CAQ 2022 46.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Chauveau 82%▲ 15%▼ 4%▲ Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chauveau

LIB 4% ± 2% PQ 24% ± 6% CAQ 27% ± 6% QS 10% ± 4% QCP 33% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Chauveau 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Chauveau

LIB <1% PQ 4% CAQ 15% QS <1% QCP 82% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | Chauveau



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 52.5% 47.1% 46.8% 27% ± 6% QCP 1.0% 8.6% 31.8% 33% ± 8% QS 3.7% 10.3% 8.8% 10% ± 4% PQ 12.2% 9.2% 7.6% 24% ± 6% LIB 29.9% 22.5% 3.8% 4% ± 2% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%