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Quebec

Verdun


MNA: Alejandra Zaga-Mendez (QS)

Latest projection: April 26, 2024
Toss up LIB/QS
Verdun 32% ± 8%▲ LIB 29% ± 7%▼ QS 17% ± 5%▲ PQ 16% ± 5%▲ CAQ 4% ± 2% QCP QS 2022 30.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Verdun 70%▲ LIB 30%▼ QS <1% PQ Odds of winning | April 26, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Verdun

LIB 32% ± 8% PQ 17% ± 5% CAQ 16% ± 5% QS 29% ± 7% QCP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Verdun 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP April 26, 2024

Odds of winning | Verdun

LIB 70% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS 30% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS April 26, 2024

Recent electoral history | Verdun



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 9.7% 23.9% 30.8% 29% ± 7% LIB 50.6% 35.5% 29.3% 32% ± 8% CAQ 12.2% 20.4% 23.0% 16% ± 5% PQ 24.4% 12.7% 8.3% 17% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 0.7% 5.4% 4% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.