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Quebec


Verchères


MNA: Suzanne Roy (CAQ)


Latest projection: March 21, 2024

Safe PQ gain
Verchères 53% ± 7%▲ 23% ± 6%▼ 12% ± 4% 5% ± 3%▼ 5% ± 2% CAQ 2022 51.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Verchères >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Verchères

LIB 5% ± 2% PQ 53% ± 7% CAQ 23% ± 6% QS 12% ± 4% QCP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Verchères 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP March 21, 2024

Odds of winning | Verchères

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 21, 2024

Recent electoral history | Verchères



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 30.3% 37.4% 51.3% 23% ± 6% PQ 42.6% 35.6% 20.7% 53% ± 7% QS 7.1% 14.7% 14.4% 12% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 1.0% 7.1% 5% ± 3% LIB 18.9% 8.8% 5.3% 5% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.