logo
logo
Quebec


Beauce-Nord


MNA: Luc Provençal (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

PCQ leaning gain
Beauce-Nord 41% ± 9%▼ 34% ± 8%▼ 16% ± 5%▲ 5% ± 3% 3% ± 2% CAQ 2022 43.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Beauce-Nord 82%▼ 18%▲ <1% Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Beauce-Nord

PQ 16% ± 5% CAQ 34% ± 8% QS 5% ± 3% QCP 41% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Beauce-Nord 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Beauce-Nord

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ 18% QS <1% QCP 82% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | Beauce-Nord



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 50.9% 66.4% 43.4% 34% ± 8% QCP 1.4% 4.7% 42.8% 41% ± 9% PQ 6.9% 5.1% 5.9% 16% ± 5% QS 2.9% 7.1% 4.5% 5% ± 3% LIB 37.2% 15.7% 2.8% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%