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Quebec

Taschereau


MNA: Étienne Grandmont (QS)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Likely PQ

Recent electoral history | Taschereau


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 38% ± 7% 31.7% 17.6% 22.6% QS 28% ± 7% 15.3% 42.5% 39.5% LIB 14% ± 5% 30.4% 17.6% 5.9% CPQ 10% ± 4% 0.6% 0.0% 8.8% CAQ 8% ± 3% 16.3% 18.9% 21.9%




338Canada projection for Taschereau


Taschereau 38% ± 7%▼ PQ 28% ± 7%▼ QS 14% ± 5%▲ LIB 10% ± 4% CPQ 8% ± 3% CAQ QS 2022 39.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Taschereau 96%▲ PQ 4%▼ QS <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Taschereau

LIB 14% ± 5% PQ 38% ± 7% CAQ 8% ± 3% QS 28% ± 7% CPQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Taschereau 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 42% PQ 40% CAQ 7% LIB 5% CPQ 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 45% PQ 35% CAQ 8% CPQ 6% LIB 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 42% QS 41% CAQ 8% LIB 5% CPQ 3% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 44% QS 39% CAQ 8% LIB 6% CPQ 3% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 40% QS 35% CAQ 9% CPQ 7% LIB 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 40% QS 35% CAQ 9% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 40% QS 36% CAQ 8% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 40% QS 35% CAQ 10% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 40% QS 34% CAQ 10% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 41% QS 34% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 41% QS 34% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 40% QS 34% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 41% QS 28% CPQ 11% CAQ 9% LIB 9% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 41% QS 26% CPQ 13% CAQ 10% LIB 9% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 40% QS 27% CPQ 12% CAQ 11% LIB 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 40% QS 27% CPQ 12% CAQ 11% LIB 9% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 42% QS 28% CPQ 10% CAQ 9% LIB 9% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 39% QS 29% LIB 12% CPQ 10% CAQ 8% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 38% QS 28% LIB 14% CPQ 10% CAQ 8% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Taschereau

LIB <1% PQ 96% CAQ <1% QS 4% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 QS 64% PQ 36% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 93% PQ 7% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 56% QS 44% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 79% QS 21% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 80% QS 20% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 79% QS 21% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 75% QS 25% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 79% QS 21% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 81% QS 19% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 88% QS 12% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 90% QS 10% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 83% QS 17% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 99% QS 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 99% QS 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 99% QS 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 95% QS 5% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 96% QS 4% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader