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Quebec

Taschereau


MNA: Étienne Grandmont

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Leaning PQ gain
Taschereau 41% ± 7%▲ PQ 34% ± 7% QS 9% ± 4% CPQ 9% ± 3%▼ CAQ 6% ± 3% LIB QS 2022 39.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Taschereau 88%▲ PQ 12%▼ QS <1% CPQ Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Taschereau

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 41% ± 7% CAQ 9% ± 3% QS 34% ± 7% CPQ 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Taschereau 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 QS 40% CAQ 26% PQ 15% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 QS 39% CAQ 28% PQ 14% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 QS 39% CAQ 28% PQ 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 QS 39% CAQ 28% PQ 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 QS 39% CAQ 28% PQ 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 QS 39% CAQ 28% PQ 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 QS 39% CAQ 27% PQ 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 QS 39% CAQ 27% PQ 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 QS 39% CAQ 27% PQ 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 QS 38% CAQ 27% PQ 14% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 QS 38% CAQ 28% PQ 14% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 QS 38% CAQ 28% PQ 15% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 QS 37% CAQ 28% PQ 15% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 QS 37% CAQ 27% PQ 15% CPQ 11% LIB 8% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 QS 37% CAQ 27% PQ 15% CPQ 11% LIB 8% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 QS 36% CAQ 27% PQ 15% CPQ 12% LIB 8% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 QS 36% CAQ 27% PQ 15% CPQ 12% LIB 8% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 QS 36% CAQ 28% PQ 14% CPQ 12% LIB 8% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 QS 36% CAQ 28% PQ 14% CPQ 12% LIB 8% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 40% CAQ 26% PQ 14% CPQ 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 14% CPQ 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 14% CPQ 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 14% CPQ 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 QS 39% CAQ 27% PQ 14% CPQ 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 38% CAQ 25% PQ 17% CPQ 10% LIB 7% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 17% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 17% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 17% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 17% CPQ 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 QS 39% CAQ 27% PQ 15% CPQ 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 QS 39% CAQ 28% PQ 15% CPQ 11% LIB 6% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 QS 39% CAQ 25% PQ 17% CPQ 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 17% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 17% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 17% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 QS 39% CAQ 26% PQ 18% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 QS 36% PQ 26% CAQ 21% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 QS 40% PQ 23% CAQ 22% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 38% PQ 26% CAQ 22% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 38% PQ 26% CAQ 22% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 40% PQ 27% CAQ 20% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 40% PQ 27% CAQ 20% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 39% PQ 31% CAQ 17% CPQ 6% LIB 5% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 40% PQ 38% CAQ 14% LIB 4% CPQ 2% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 40% PQ 38% CAQ 14% LIB 4% CPQ 2% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 39% PQ 38% CAQ 15% LIB 4% CPQ 2% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 38% PQ 37% CAQ 12% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 PQ 39% QS 36% CAQ 12% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 38% QS 36% CAQ 12% CPQ 7% LIB 6% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 41% QS 36% CAQ 9% CPQ 6% LIB 6% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 41% PQ 41% CAQ 7% LIB 6% CPQ 6% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS 45% PQ 38% CAQ 6% LIB 5% CPQ 5% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS 42% PQ 40% CAQ 7% LIB 5% CPQ 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 45% PQ 35% CAQ 8% CPQ 6% LIB 6% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 42% QS 41% CAQ 8% LIB 5% CPQ 3% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 44% QS 39% CAQ 8% LIB 6% CPQ 3% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 40% QS 35% CAQ 9% CPQ 7% LIB 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 40% QS 35% CAQ 9% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 40% QS 36% CAQ 8% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 40% QS 35% CAQ 10% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 40% QS 34% CAQ 10% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 41% QS 34% CPQ 9% CAQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Taschereau

LIB <1% PQ 88% CAQ <1% QS 12% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 QS 95% CAQ 5% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 QS 95% CAQ 5% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 QS 95% CAQ 5% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 QS 93% CAQ 7% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 QS 93% CAQ 7% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 QS 93% CAQ 7% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 QS 92% CAQ 8% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 QS 92% CAQ 8% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 QS 91% CAQ 9% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 QS 90% CAQ 10% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 QS 97% CAQ 3% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 QS 96% CAQ 4% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 QS 98% CAQ 2% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 QS 94% PQ 6% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 QS >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 97% PQ 3% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 97% PQ 3% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 91% PQ 9% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 63% PQ 37% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 61% PQ 39% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 53% PQ 47% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 53% PQ 47% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 PQ 66% QS 34% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 64% QS 36% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 79% QS 21% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 51% PQ 49% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS 85% PQ 15% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS 64% PQ 36% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 93% PQ 7% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 56% QS 44% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 79% QS 21% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 80% QS 20% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 79% QS 21% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 75% QS 25% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 79% QS 21% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 81% QS 19% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 88% QS 12% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Taschereau



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 15.3% 42.5% 39.5% 34% ± 7% PQ 31.7% 17.6% 22.6% 41% ± 7% CAQ 16.3% 18.9% 21.9% 9% ± 3% CPQ 0.6% 0.0% 8.8% 9% ± 4% LIB 30.4% 17.6% 5.9% 6% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.