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Quebec

Bourassa-Sauvé


MNA: Madwa-Nika Cadet (LIB)

Latest projection: May 19, 2024
Safe LIB hold
Bourassa-Sauvé 41% ± 9%▲ LIB 22% ± 7%▼ PQ 15% ± 5%▼ QS 10% ± 4%▼ CAQ 8% ± 4% QCP 3% ± 3%▲ OTH LIB 2022 40.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Bourassa-Sauvé >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Bourassa-Sauvé

LIB 41% ± 9% PQ 22% ± 7% CAQ 10% ± 4% QS 15% ± 5% QCP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Bourassa-Sauvé 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Bourassa-Sauvé

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Bourassa-Sauvé



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 60.5% 46.2% 40.1% 41% ± 9% CAQ 12.2% 23.5% 25.0% 10% ± 4% QS 5.9% 13.9% 15.5% 15% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 1.5% 8.9% 8% ± 4% PQ 19.1% 10.6% 8.7% 22% ± 7% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.