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Quebec

Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré


MNA: Kariane Bourassa

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Safe PQ gain
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré 46% ± 7%▲ PQ 21% ± 5%▼ CAQ 16% ± 5% CPQ 11% ± 4% QS 4% ± 2% LIB CAQ 2022 48.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré

LIB 4% ± 2% PQ 46% ± 7% CAQ 21% ± 5% QS 11% ± 4% CPQ 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 44% CPQ 22% PQ 11% QS 11% LIB 11% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 44% CPQ 25% QS 11% PQ 9% LIB 9% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% QS 11% LIB 9% PQ 9% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% QS 11% LIB 9% PQ 9% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% QS 11% LIB 9% PQ 9% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% QS 11% LIB 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% QS 11% LIB 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% QS 11% LIB 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% QS 11% LIB 9% PQ 9% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 42% CPQ 26% QS 11% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 44% CPQ 25% QS 10% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 43% CPQ 25% QS 10% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 43% CPQ 25% PQ 11% QS 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 43% CPQ 27% PQ 10% LIB 9% QS 9% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 43% CPQ 27% PQ 10% LIB 9% QS 9% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 42% CPQ 28% PQ 10% LIB 9% QS 9% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 42% CPQ 28% PQ 10% LIB 9% QS 9% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 43% CPQ 28% PQ 10% LIB 9% QS 9% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 43% CPQ 28% PQ 10% LIB 9% QS 8% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 41% CPQ 26% QS 11% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 42% CPQ 26% QS 11% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 42% CPQ 26% QS 11% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 42% CPQ 26% QS 11% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 42% CPQ 26% QS 11% PQ 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 40% CPQ 26% PQ 13% QS 10% LIB 9% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 41% CPQ 26% PQ 13% QS 12% LIB 6% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 41% CPQ 26% PQ 13% QS 12% LIB 6% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 41% CPQ 26% PQ 13% QS 12% LIB 6% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 41% CPQ 26% PQ 13% QS 12% LIB 7% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% PQ 11% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 43% CPQ 26% PQ 11% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 41% CPQ 26% PQ 13% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 42% CPQ 26% PQ 13% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 42% CPQ 25% PQ 13% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 43% CPQ 25% PQ 13% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 42% CPQ 25% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 42% CPQ 25% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 7% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 48% CPQ 18% PQ 16% QS 13% LIB 5% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 48% PQ 19% CPQ 16% QS 12% LIB 5% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 48% PQ 19% CPQ 16% QS 12% LIB 5% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 48% PQ 20% CPQ 14% QS 13% LIB 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 48% PQ 20% QS 14% CPQ 13% LIB 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 34% PQ 31% CPQ 17% QS 13% LIB 5% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 35% CAQ 34% QS 15% CPQ 12% LIB 4% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 35% CAQ 34% QS 15% CPQ 12% LIB 4% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 PQ 35% CAQ 34% QS 14% CPQ 12% LIB 4% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 PQ 32% CAQ 31% CPQ 19% QS 13% LIB 4% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 PQ 34% CAQ 30% CPQ 18% QS 12% LIB 4% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 35% CAQ 30% CPQ 18% QS 12% LIB 4% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 39% CAQ 24% CPQ 18% QS 12% LIB 5% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 43% CAQ 22% CPQ 17% QS 13% LIB 5% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 43% CAQ 20% QS 16% CPQ 15% LIB 4% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 44% CAQ 21% CPQ 15% QS 14% LIB 4% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 38% CAQ 23% CPQ 18% QS 15% LIB 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 45% CAQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 14% LIB 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 46% CAQ 21% CPQ 14% QS 13% LIB 5% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 41% CAQ 24% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 5% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 41% CAQ 24% CPQ 17% QS 11% LIB 5% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 41% CAQ 24% CPQ 17% QS 11% LIB 5% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 44% CAQ 22% CPQ 16% QS 12% LIB 4% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 44% CAQ 22% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 4% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 46% CAQ 21% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 4% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 71% PQ 29% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 53% CAQ 47% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 54% CAQ 46% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 PQ 53% CAQ 47% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 PQ 56% CAQ 44% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 PQ 81% CAQ 19% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 83% CAQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 26.1% 45.5% 48.2% 21% ± 5% CPQ 0.9% 0.0% 18.1% 16% ± 5% PQ 32.9% 17.3% 16.2% 46% ± 7% QS 4.1% 12.8% 12.5% 11% ± 4% LIB 35.2% 22.7% 4.7% 4% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.