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Quebec

Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré


MNA: Kariane Bourassa (CAQ)

Latest projection: March 18, 2025
Safe PQ gain
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré 41% ± 7% PQ 25% ± 6% CPQ 19% ± 5% CAQ 8% ± 3% QS 6% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 48.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 18, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | March 18, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 41% ± 7% CAQ 19% ± 5% QS 8% ± 3% CPQ 25% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 18, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 44% CAQ 21% CPQ 15% QS 14% LIB 4% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 38% CAQ 23% CPQ 18% QS 15% LIB 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 45% CAQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 14% LIB 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 46% CAQ 21% CPQ 14% QS 13% LIB 5% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 41% CAQ 24% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 5% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 41% CAQ 24% CPQ 17% QS 11% LIB 5% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 41% CAQ 24% CPQ 17% QS 11% LIB 5% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 44% CAQ 22% CPQ 16% QS 12% LIB 4% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 44% CAQ 22% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 4% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 46% CAQ 21% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 4% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 47% CAQ 20% CPQ 16% QS 11% LIB 4% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 46% CAQ 20% CPQ 17% QS 11% LIB 4% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 43% CPQ 21% CAQ 19% QS 8% LIB 6% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 41% CPQ 26% CAQ 18% QS 7% LIB 6% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 41% CPQ 25% CAQ 19% QS 8% LIB 6% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 41% CPQ 25% CAQ 19% QS 8% LIB 6% 2025-03-18 ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ CPQ March 18, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% CPQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ >99% CPQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 26.1% 45.5% 48.2% 19% ± 5% CPQ 0.9% 0.0% 18.1% 25% ± 6% PQ 32.9% 17.3% 16.2% 41% ± 7% QS 4.1% 12.8% 12.5% 8% ± 3% LIB 35.2% 22.7% 4.7% 6% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%