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Quebec

Saint-François


MNA: Geneviève Hébert (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 7, 2024
Toss up PQ/CAQ
Saint-François 25% ± 6% CAQ 25% ± 6%▼ PQ 21% ± 6% QS 18% ± 5% LIB 9% ± 4%▼ QCP CAQ 2022 42.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-François 52%▲ CAQ 40%▼ PQ 8%▲ QS <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Saint-François

LIB 18% ± 5% PQ 25% ± 6% CAQ 25% ± 6% QS 21% ± 6% QCP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Saint-François 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP June 7, 2024

Odds of winning | Saint-François

LIB <1% PQ 40% CAQ 52% QS 8% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 7, 2024

Recent electoral history | Saint-François



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 17.1% 34.7% 42.4% 25% ± 6% QS 8.1% 22.7% 28.2% 21% ± 6% QCP 0.5% 0.0% 11.0% 9% ± 4% PQ 32.9% 16.2% 9.1% 25% ± 6% LIB 38.5% 23.3% 7.9% 18% ± 5% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.