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Quebec

Recent electoral history | Saint-François


2014* 2018* 2022* 2026* Projection PQ 28% ± 5% 32.4% 15.9% 8.8% 26.0% LIB 26% ± 5% 39.5% 24.1% 8.4% 23.9% CPQ 19% ± 5% 0.5% 0.0% 11.0% 17.7% QS 15% ± 4% 8.2% 22.9% 28.4% 14.5% CAQ 11% ± 4% 16.4% 33.9% 42.0% 16.7%
Latest update: October 20, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Saint-François

PartiesCandidates
PQ Sylvie Tanguay
LIB Jacqueline Belleau
CPQ Esteban Mendez-Hord
QS Mia Fréchette
CAQ Geneviève Hébert*
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Saint-François projection

Latest update: October 20, 2026

Saint-François 22% 33% 28% ± 5% ▲ PQ 20% 31% 26% ± 5% ▲ LIB 15% 24% 19% ± 5% ▲ CPQ 11% 19% 15% ± 4% QS 8% 15% 11% ± 4% ▼ CAQ PQ 2022 26.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 20, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-François 72%▼ PQ 28%▲ LIB <1% CPQ Odds of winning | October 20, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Saint-François

Odds of winning | Saint-François


>99% <1% 37% ± 6% 63% ± 6% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Saint-François YES NO 338Canada October 20, 2026