logo
Quebec

Matane-Matapédia


MNA: Pascal Bérubé (PQ)

Latest projection: April 26, 2024
Safe PQ hold
Matane-Matapédia 77% ± 6%▲ PQ 9% ± 4% CAQ 6% ± 3% QCP 4% ± 2%▼ QS 3% ± 2% LIB PQ 2022 67.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Matane-Matapédia >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QCP Odds of winning | April 26, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Matane-Matapédia

PQ 77% ± 6% CAQ 9% ± 4% QS 4% ± 2% QCP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Matane-Matapédia 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS QCP April 26, 2024

Odds of winning | Matane-Matapédia

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS April 26, 2024

Recent electoral history | Matane-Matapédia



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 61.2% 69.4% 67.4% 77% ± 6% CAQ 10.2% 11.4% 17.4% 9% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 0.5% 7.8% 6% ± 3% QS 5.1% 5.7% 4.9% 4% ± 2% LIB 22.8% 11.3% 2.1% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.