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Quebec


Matane-Matapédia


MNA: Pascal Bérubé (PQ)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Safe PQ hold
Matane-Matapédia 69% ± 7%▼ 15% ± 5%▼ 7% ± 3%▲ 4% ± 3% 3% ± 2%▲ PQ 2022 67.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Matane-Matapédia >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Matane-Matapédia

PQ 69% ± 7% CAQ 15% ± 5% QS 4% ± 3% QCP 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Matane-Matapédia 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Matane-Matapédia

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Matane-Matapédia



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 61.2% 69.4% 67.4% 69% ± 7% CAQ 10.2% 11.4% 17.4% 15% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 0.5% 7.8% 7% ± 3% QS 5.1% 5.7% 4.9% 4% ± 3% LIB 22.8% 11.3% 2.1% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%