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Quebec


Brome-Missisquoi


MNA: Isabelle Charest (CAQ)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Safe CAQ hold
Brome-Missisquoi 41% ± 7%▼ 18% ± 5%▼ 16% ± 5% 12% ± 4%▲ 10% ± 4%▲ CAQ 2022 45.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Brome-Missisquoi >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Brome-Missisquoi

LIB 12% ± 4% PQ 18% ± 5% CAQ 41% ± 7% QS 16% ± 5% QCP 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brome-Missisquoi 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Brome-Missisquoi

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Brome-Missisquoi



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 27.9% 44.4% 45.9% 41% ± 7% QS 6.8% 17.3% 15.9% 16% ± 5% LIB 44.5% 24.1% 11.9% 12% ± 4% PQ 20.4% 10.7% 11.9% 18% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 10% ± 4% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%