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Quebec

Brome-Missisquoi


MNA: Isabelle Charest

Latest projection: December 8, 2024
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Brome-Missisquoi 25% ± 5%▲ CAQ 25% ± 6% LIB 24% ± 5%▼ PQ 13% ± 4% QS 10% ± 4% CPQ 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 45.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 8, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brome-Missisquoi 37%▲ CAQ 36%▼ LIB 27%▼ PQ Odds of winning | December 8, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Brome-Missisquoi

LIB 25% ± 6% PQ 24% ± 5% CAQ 25% ± 5% QS 13% ± 4% CPQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brome-Missisquoi 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ December 8, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 50% LIB 18% QS 15% CPQ 10% PQ 6% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 50% LIB 17% QS 16% CPQ 10% PQ 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 48% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 5% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 48% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 5% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 48% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 5% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 48% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 5% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 48% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 5% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 48% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 5% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 48% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 5% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 47% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 6% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 47% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 6% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 47% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 6% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 47% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 6% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 47% LIB 17% CPQ 14% QS 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 47% LIB 17% CPQ 14% QS 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 47% LIB 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 47% LIB 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 47% LIB 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 47% LIB 17% CPQ 15% QS 13% PQ 6% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 45% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 6% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 46% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 6% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 46% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 6% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 46% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 6% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 46% LIB 17% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 6% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 44% LIB 16% CPQ 14% QS 14% PQ 8% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 45% QS 16% LIB 15% CPQ 14% PQ 8% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 45% QS 16% LIB 15% CPQ 14% PQ 8% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 45% QS 16% LIB 15% CPQ 14% PQ 8% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 45% QS 15% LIB 15% CPQ 14% PQ 8% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 47% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 7% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 47% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 7% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 45% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 9% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 45% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 9% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 46% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 9% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 46% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 9% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 45% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 14% PQ 9% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 45% LIB 15% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 9% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 46% QS 16% PQ 12% LIB 12% CPQ 11% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 46% QS 16% PQ 14% LIB 12% CPQ 10% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 46% QS 16% PQ 14% LIB 12% CPQ 10% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 45% QS 18% PQ 15% LIB 12% CPQ 8% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 45% QS 19% PQ 15% LIB 12% CPQ 8% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 41% PQ 21% QS 17% LIB 12% CPQ 7% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 42% PQ 22% QS 17% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 42% PQ 22% QS 17% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 44% PQ 19% QS 16% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 41% PQ 18% QS 16% LIB 12% CPQ 10% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 41% PQ 18% QS 16% LIB 12% CPQ 10% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 32% PQ 26% QS 16% LIB 14% CPQ 9% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 29% PQ 27% QS 17% LIB 15% CPQ 9% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CAQ 29% PQ 29% QS 18% LIB 14% CPQ 9% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 29% CAQ 25% QS 18% LIB 16% CPQ 9% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 30% CAQ 27% QS 17% LIB 15% CPQ 9% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 28% CAQ 28% QS 18% LIB 16% CPQ 9% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 30% CAQ 26% QS 18% LIB 16% CPQ 9% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 28% CAQ 27% LIB 20% QS 15% CPQ 9% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 27% CAQ 26% LIB 21% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 27% PQ 26% LIB 21% QS 14% CPQ 9% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 27% PQ 25% LIB 21% QS 15% CPQ 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 27% PQ 25% LIB 20% QS 15% CPQ 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CAQ 26% PQ 23% LIB 23% QS 14% CPQ 11% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 25% LIB 25% CAQ 23% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 26% LIB 25% CAQ 22% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 CAQ 25% LIB 25% PQ 24% QS 13% CPQ 10% 2024-12-08

Odds of winning | Brome-Missisquoi

LIB 36% PQ 27% CAQ 37% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS December 8, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 88% PQ 12% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 66% PQ 34% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CAQ 51% PQ 49% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 82% CAQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 75% CAQ 25% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 51% CAQ 49% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 80% CAQ 20% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 59% CAQ 40% LIB 1% QS <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 59% CAQ 39% LIB 2% QS <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 61% PQ 37% LIB 2% QS <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 64% PQ 33% LIB 2% QS <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 72% PQ 26% LIB 2% QS <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CAQ 67% LIB 17% PQ 15% QS <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 43% LIB 40% CAQ 17% QS <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 56% LIB 38% CAQ 7% QS <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 CAQ 37% LIB 36% PQ 27% QS <1% 2024-12-08

Recent electoral history | Brome-Missisquoi



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 27.9% 44.4% 45.9% 25% ± 5% QS 6.8% 17.3% 15.9% 13% ± 4% LIB 44.5% 24.1% 11.9% 25% ± 6% PQ 20.4% 10.7% 11.9% 24% ± 5% CPQ 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 10% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.