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Quebec


Gatineau


MNA: Robert Bussière (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Leaning CAQ hold
Gatineau 29% ± 7%▼ 25% ± 6%▲ 22% ± 6%▼ 14% ± 5%▲ 9% ± 4% CAQ 2022 46.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Gatineau 76%▼ 21%▲ 3%▼ Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Gatineau

LIB 22% ± 6% PQ 25% ± 6% CAQ 29% ± 7% QS 14% ± 5% QCP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Gatineau 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Gatineau

LIB 3% PQ 21% CAQ 76% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Gatineau



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 14.0% 41.8% 46.7% 29% ± 7% LIB 61.6% 30.6% 19.6% 22% ± 6% QS 6.1% 12.9% 12.1% 14% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 2.0% 10.8% 9% ± 4% PQ 17.5% 9.0% 9.7% 25% ± 6% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%