logo
Quebec

Recent electoral history | Gatineau


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection LIB 37% ± 7% 61.7% 29.8% 19.4% PQ 23% ± 6% 17.5% 8.8% 9.5% CAQ 20% ± 6% 14.1% 42.6% 47.3% CPQ 11% ± 4% 0.0% 2.1% 11.0% QS 9% ± 4% 5.9% 12.9% 11.7%
Latest update: August 12, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Gatineau

PartiesCandidates
LIB David Logue
PQ Raphaël Déry
CAQ William Robertson
CPQ Bertin Aboussou
QS
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

Quebec flag

338Canada Gatineau projection

Latest update: August 12, 2026

Gatineau 30% 43% 37% ± 7% LIB 18% 29% 23% ± 6% PQ 15% 26% 20% ± 6% CAQ 7% 15% 11% ± 4% CPQ 5% 12% 9% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 47.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 12, 2026
✓ Copied!
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Gatineau >99%▲ LIB <1%▼ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | August 12, 2026
✓ Copied!
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


338Canada Quebec Projection | Gatineau

Odds of winning | Gatineau


>99% <1% 33% ± 6% 67% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Gatineau YES NO 338Canada August 12, 2026