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Recent electoral history | Gatineau


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection LIB 36% ± 7% 61.7% 29.8% 19.4% PQ 24% ± 6% 17.5% 8.8% 9.5% CAQ 21% ± 6% 14.1% 42.6% 47.3% CPQ 11% ± 4% 0.0% 2.1% 11.0% QS 8% ± 3% 5.9% 12.9% 11.7%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Gatineau projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Gatineau 29% 43% 36% ± 7% LIB 18% 30% 24% ± 6% PQ 15% 26% 21% ± 6% CAQ 7% 15% 11% ± 4% CPQ 4% 11% 8% ± 3% QS CAQ 2022 47.345% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Gatineau >99%▲ LIB <1%▼ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Gatineau

Odds of winning | Gatineau


>99% <1% 33% ± 6% 67% ± 6% Projection of support for sovereignty | Gatineau YES NO 338Canada June 28, 2026