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Recent electoral history | Gatineau


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection LIB 34% ± 7% 61.7% 29.8% 19.4% PQ 23% ± 6% 17.5% 8.8% 9.5% CPQ 19% ± 6% 0.0% 2.1% 11.0% CAQ 15% ± 5% 14.1% 42.6% 47.3% QS 9% ± 4% 5.9% 12.9% 11.7%
Latest update: October 3, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Gatineau

PartiesCandidates
LIB David Logue
PQ Raphaël Déry
CPQ Bertin Aboussou
CAQ William Robertson
QS Emmanuelle Tremblay
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Gatineau projection

Latest update: October 3, 2026

Gatineau 27% 41% 34% ± 7% ▲ LIB 17% 28% 23% ± 6% PQ 13% 25% 19% ± 6% ▲ CPQ 10% 20% 15% ± 5% ▼ CAQ 5% 12% 9% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 47.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 3, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Gatineau 99%▲ LIB 1%▼ PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | October 3, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Gatineau

Odds of winning | Gatineau


>99% <1% 33% ± 6% 67% ± 6% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Gatineau YES NO 338Canada October 3, 2026