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Quebec

Granby


MNA: François Bonnardel (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
Toss up PQ/CAQ
Granby 35% ± 7%▼ CAQ 35% ± 7%▲ PQ 14% ± 4%▲ QS 8% ± 4% QCP 6% ± 3%▼ LIB CAQ 2022 58.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Granby 56%▼ CAQ 44%▲ PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Granby

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 35% ± 7% CAQ 35% ± 7% QS 14% ± 4% QCP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Granby 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP June 17, 2024

Odds of winning | Granby

LIB <1% PQ 44% CAQ 56% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024

Recent electoral history | Granby



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 53.0% 62.3% 58.2% 35% ± 7% QS 4.5% 14.1% 14.3% 14% ± 4% PQ 21.9% 9.6% 11.8% 35% ± 7% QCP 0.0% 1.0% 10.1% 8% ± 4% LIB 19.2% 10.7% 4.8% 6% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.