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Quebec

Granby


MNA: François Bonnardel

Latest projection: December 8, 2024
Leaning PQ gain
Granby 37% ± 7%▼ PQ 34% ± 7%▲ CAQ 13% ± 4% QS 8% ± 3% CPQ 6% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 58.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 8, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Granby 72%▼ PQ 28%▲ CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | December 8, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Granby

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 37% ± 7% CAQ 34% ± 7% QS 13% ± 4% CPQ 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Granby 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ December 8, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 61% CPQ 15% QS 12% PQ 6% LIB 5% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 61% CPQ 15% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 58% CPQ 18% QS 12% LIB 4% PQ 4% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 58% CPQ 18% QS 12% LIB 4% PQ 4% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 58% CPQ 18% QS 12% LIB 4% PQ 4% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 58% CPQ 18% QS 12% LIB 5% PQ 4% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 58% CPQ 19% QS 12% LIB 5% PQ 4% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 58% CPQ 19% QS 12% LIB 5% PQ 4% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 58% CPQ 19% QS 12% LIB 5% PQ 4% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 57% CPQ 19% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 5% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 58% CPQ 18% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 5% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 58% CPQ 18% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 5% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 58% CPQ 18% QS 11% PQ 6% LIB 5% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 56% CPQ 21% QS 10% PQ 5% LIB 5% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 57% CPQ 21% QS 10% PQ 5% LIB 5% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 56% CPQ 22% QS 10% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 56% CPQ 22% QS 10% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 56% CPQ 22% QS 10% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 57% CPQ 22% QS 10% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 55% CPQ 21% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 5% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 55% CPQ 20% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 55% CPQ 20% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 56% CPQ 20% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 56% CPQ 21% QS 12% PQ 5% LIB 4% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 53% CPQ 21% QS 12% PQ 8% LIB 4% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 53% CPQ 21% QS 13% PQ 8% LIB 4% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 53% CPQ 21% QS 13% PQ 7% LIB 4% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 53% CPQ 20% QS 13% PQ 7% LIB 4% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 53% CPQ 21% QS 12% PQ 7% LIB 4% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 55% CPQ 21% QS 12% PQ 7% LIB 4% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 55% CPQ 21% QS 12% PQ 7% LIB 4% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 53% CPQ 21% QS 12% PQ 8% LIB 4% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 54% CPQ 20% QS 12% PQ 8% LIB 4% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 54% CPQ 20% QS 12% PQ 8% LIB 4% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 54% CPQ 20% QS 12% PQ 8% LIB 4% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 54% CPQ 20% QS 12% PQ 8% LIB 4% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 54% CPQ 19% QS 12% PQ 9% LIB 4% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 58% QS 14% PQ 12% CPQ 10% LIB 5% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 58% QS 14% PQ 14% CPQ 9% LIB 5% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 58% QS 14% PQ 14% CPQ 9% LIB 5% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 57% QS 16% PQ 15% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 57% QS 16% PQ 15% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 52% PQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 52% PQ 22% QS 15% CPQ 6% LIB 4% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 53% PQ 22% QS 15% CPQ 6% LIB 4% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 55% PQ 19% QS 15% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 51% PQ 18% QS 15% CPQ 9% LIB 4% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 51% PQ 18% QS 15% CPQ 9% LIB 4% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 41% PQ 28% QS 15% CPQ 9% LIB 5% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 38% PQ 29% QS 17% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 34% CAQ 34% QS 17% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 35% CAQ 34% QS 17% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 CAQ 36% PQ 35% QS 16% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 38% PQ 32% QS 16% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 17% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 CAQ 37% PQ 35% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 35% PQ 35% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 14% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 35% CAQ 35% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 38% CAQ 32% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 39% CAQ 31% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 37% CAQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-12-08

Odds of winning | Granby

LIB <1% PQ 72% CAQ 28% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS December 8, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 99% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 96% PQ 4% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 52% CAQ 48% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 57% CAQ 43% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 CAQ 56% PQ 44% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 88% PQ 12% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 CAQ 64% PQ 36% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 CAQ 63% PQ 37% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 65% PQ 35% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 69% PQ 31% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 56% PQ 44% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 66% PQ 34% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 52% CAQ 48% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 87% CAQ 13% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 94% CAQ 6% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 72% CAQ 28% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08

Recent electoral history | Granby



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 53.0% 62.3% 58.2% 34% ± 7% QS 4.5% 14.1% 14.3% 13% ± 4% PQ 21.9% 9.6% 11.8% 37% ± 7% CPQ 0.0% 1.0% 10.1% 8% ± 3% LIB 19.2% 10.7% 4.8% 6% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.