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Quebec

Granby


MNA: François Bonnardel (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Leaning PQ

Recent electoral history | Granby


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 32% ± 7% 21.9% 9.6% 11.8% CAQ 29% ± 6% 53.0% 62.3% 58.2% LIB 15% ± 5% 19.2% 10.7% 4.8% QS 11% ± 4% 4.5% 14.1% 14.3% CPQ 10% ± 4% 0.0% 1.0% 10.1%




338Canada projection for Granby


Granby 32% ± 7%▼ PQ 29% ± 6%▼ CAQ 15% ± 5%▲ LIB 11% ± 4%▼ QS 10% ± 4% CPQ CAQ 2022 58.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Granby 71%▼ PQ 29%▲ CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Granby

LIB 15% ± 5% PQ 32% ± 7% CAQ 29% ± 6% QS 11% ± 4% CPQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Granby 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 CAQ 36% PQ 35% QS 16% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 38% PQ 32% QS 16% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 17% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 CAQ 37% PQ 35% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 35% PQ 35% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 14% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 35% CAQ 35% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 38% CAQ 32% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 39% CAQ 31% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 37% CAQ 34% QS 13% CPQ 8% LIB 6% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 36% CAQ 34% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 36% CAQ 33% QS 11% CPQ 10% LIB 9% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 35% CAQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 9% LIB 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 35% CAQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 9% LIB 9% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 35% CAQ 33% QS 12% LIB 9% CPQ 9% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 34% CAQ 30% LIB 13% QS 12% CPQ 10% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 32% CAQ 29% LIB 15% QS 11% CPQ 10% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Granby

LIB <1% PQ 71% CAQ 29% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 CAQ 56% PQ 44% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 88% PQ 12% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 CAQ 64% PQ 36% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 CAQ 63% PQ 37% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CAQ 65% PQ 35% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CAQ 69% PQ 31% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CAQ 56% PQ 44% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CAQ 66% PQ 34% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 52% CAQ 48% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 87% CAQ 13% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 94% CAQ 6% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 72% CAQ 28% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 67% CAQ 33% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 73% CAQ 27% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 50% CAQ 50% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 50% CAQ 50% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 65% CAQ 35% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 74% CAQ 26% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 71% CAQ 29% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader