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Quebec


Notre-Dame-de-Grâce


MNA: Désirée McGraw (LIB)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Safe LIB hold
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce 52% ± 9%▲ 16% ± 6%▼ 9% ± 6%▼ OTH 9% ± 4%▲ 8% ± 4% 6% ± 3%▼ LIB 2022 50.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Notre-Dame-de-Grâce >99% <1% <1% OTHOdds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce

LIB 52% ± 9% PQ 6% ± 3% CAQ 8% ± 4% QS 16% ± 6% QCP 9% ± 4% OTH 9% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP OTH

Odds of winning | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce



2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 78.4% 63.0% 50.5% 52% ± 9% QS 6.7% 11.8% 15.5% 16% ± 6% QCP 0.0% 1.5% 8.2% 9% ± 4% CAQ 5.3% 8.0% 7.3% 8% ± 4% PQ 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 6% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9% ± 6% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%