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Quebec

Rimouski


MNA: Maïté Blanchette Vézina

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Safe PQ gain
Rimouski 51% ± 7%▲ PQ 21% ± 5%▼ CAQ 19% ± 6% QS 4% ± 2% CPQ 3% ± 2% LIB 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 41.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rimouski >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rimouski

PQ 51% ± 7% CAQ 21% ± 5% QS 19% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Rimouski 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 36% PQ 30% QS 19% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 37% PQ 29% QS 19% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 36% PQ 27% QS 19% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 36% PQ 27% QS 19% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 36% PQ 27% QS 19% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 36% PQ 27% QS 18% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 36% PQ 27% QS 19% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 36% PQ 27% QS 19% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 36% PQ 27% QS 19% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 35% PQ 28% QS 18% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 36% PQ 28% QS 18% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 36% PQ 28% QS 18% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 35% PQ 29% QS 18% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 36% PQ 28% QS 16% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 36% PQ 28% QS 16% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 36% PQ 28% QS 16% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 39% PQ 26% QS 16% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 39% PQ 26% QS 16% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 40% PQ 25% QS 15% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 37% PQ 26% QS 17% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 38% PQ 26% QS 17% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 38% PQ 26% QS 17% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 38% PQ 25% QS 17% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 38% PQ 25% QS 17% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 36% PQ 29% QS 16% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 36% PQ 30% QS 16% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 36% PQ 30% QS 17% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 37% PQ 30% QS 16% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 37% PQ 29% QS 16% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 39% PQ 29% QS 16% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 39% PQ 29% QS 16% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 36% PQ 33% QS 16% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 39% PQ 32% QS 15% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 39% PQ 32% QS 15% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 39% PQ 32% QS 15% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 39% PQ 32% QS 15% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 39% PQ 32% QS 15% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 42% PQ 29% QS 21% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 40% PQ 32% QS 20% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 40% PQ 32% QS 20% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 38% PQ 33% QS 23% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 38% PQ 33% QS 23% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 PQ 38% CAQ 36% QS 22% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 39% CAQ 36% QS 21% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 39% CAQ 36% QS 21% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 39% PQ 34% QS 21% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 21% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 36% PQ 34% QS 21% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 41% CAQ 30% QS 21% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 43% CAQ 27% QS 22% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 45% CAQ 26% QS 22% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 46% QS 23% CAQ 23% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 46% CAQ 24% QS 22% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 44% CAQ 25% QS 22% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 46% CAQ 23% QS 22% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 47% CAQ 24% QS 21% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 47% CAQ 24% QS 19% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 47% CAQ 24% QS 19% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 47% CAQ 23% QS 20% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 46% CAQ 23% QS 21% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 48% CAQ 23% QS 19% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 51% CAQ 21% QS 19% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Rimouski

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 82% PQ 18% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 89% PQ 11% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 93% PQ 7% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 93% PQ 7% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 93% PQ 7% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 93% PQ 7% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 92% PQ 8% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 92% PQ 8% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 92% PQ 8% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 87% PQ 13% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 87% PQ 13% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 87% PQ 13% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 85% PQ 15% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 88% PQ 12% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 88% PQ 12% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 89% PQ 11% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 99% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 96% PQ 4% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 97% PQ 3% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 98% PQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 85% PQ 15% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 80% PQ 20% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 86% PQ 14% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 86% PQ 14% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 89% PQ 11% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 94% PQ 6% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 94% PQ 6% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 68% PQ 32% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 82% PQ 18% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 83% PQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 88% PQ 12% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 88% PQ 12% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 78% PQ 22% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 78% PQ 22% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 PQ 63% CAQ 37% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 PQ 69% CAQ 31% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 PQ 69% CAQ 31% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 77% PQ 23% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 63% PQ 37% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 63% PQ 37% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 PQ 98% CAQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Rimouski



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 10.8% 24.9% 41.8% 21% ± 5% PQ 40.6% 43.9% 28.6% 51% ± 7% QS 16.4% 17.4% 21.4% 19% ± 6% CPQ 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 4% ± 2% LIB 30.0% 12.3% 3.0% 3% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.