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Quebec


Montarville


MNA: Nathalie Roy (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 22, 2022

Safe CAQ hold
Montarville 45% ± 9% CAQ 21% ± 7% PQ 16% ± 5% QS 12% ± 4% LIB 5% ± 3% QCP CAQ 2022 45.9% Popular vote projection | December 22, 2022
50% 100% Montarville >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | December 22, 2022


Popular vote projection | Montarville

LIB 12% ± 4% PQ 21% ± 7% CAQ 45% ± 9% QS 16% ± 5% QCP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Montarville 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Montarville

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Montarville



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 35.0% 41.1% 45.9% 45% ± 9% PQ 26.3% 16.1% 18.7% 21% ± 7% QS 6.6% 15.9% 16.2% 16% ± 5% LIB 31.3% 24.4% 12.3% 12% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 5% ± 3%