logo
Quebec

Rosemont


MNA: Vincent Marissal (QS)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
QS leaning hold
Rosemont 38% ± 8%▲ QS 34% ± 7% PQ 13% ± 4% LIB 9% ± 3%▼ CAQ 4% ± 2% QCP QS 2022 37.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rosemont 75%▲ QS 25%▼ PQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rosemont

LIB 13% ± 4% PQ 34% ± 7% CAQ 9% ± 3% QS 38% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Rosemont 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024

Odds of winning | Rosemont

LIB <1% PQ 25% CAQ <1% QS 75% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024

Recent electoral history | Rosemont



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 18.7% 35.2% 37.6% 38% ± 8% CAQ 14.2% 15.6% 23.1% 9% ± 3% PQ 34.3% 28.4% 21.3% 34% ± 7% LIB 30.0% 16.8% 11.8% 13% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 0.6% 4.5% 4% ± 2% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.