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Quebec


Rosemont


MNA: Vincent Marissal (QS)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

QS leaning hold
Rosemont 39% ± 8%▲ 32% ± 7%▲ 13% ± 4%▼ 11% ± 4%▼ 4% ± 2% QS 2022 37.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Rosemont 88%▼ 12%▲ <1% Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rosemont

LIB 11% ± 4% PQ 32% ± 7% CAQ 13% ± 4% QS 39% ± 8% QCP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Rosemont 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Rosemont

LIB <1% PQ 12% CAQ <1% QS 88% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Rosemont



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 18.7% 35.2% 37.6% 39% ± 8% CAQ 14.2% 15.6% 23.1% 13% ± 4% PQ 34.3% 28.4% 21.3% 32% ± 7% LIB 30.0% 16.8% 11.8% 11% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 0.6% 4.5% 4% ± 2% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%