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Quebec

Rosemont


MNA: Vincent Marissal (QS)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
QS leaning hold
Rosemont 38% ± 8%▲ QS 34% ± 7% PQ 13% ± 4% LIB 9% ± 3%▼ CAQ 4% ± 2% CPQ QS 2022 37.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rosemont 75%▲ QS 25%▼ PQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rosemont

LIB 13% ± 4% PQ 34% ± 7% CAQ 9% ± 3% QS 38% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Rosemont 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 QS 33% CAQ 28% PQ 18% LIB 13% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 QS 32% CAQ 28% PQ 20% LIB 12% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 QS 32% CAQ 28% PQ 18% LIB 12% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 QS 32% CAQ 28% PQ 18% LIB 12% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 QS 32% CAQ 28% PQ 18% LIB 12% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 QS 32% CAQ 28% PQ 18% LIB 12% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 QS 32% CAQ 27% PQ 18% LIB 12% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 QS 32% CAQ 27% PQ 18% LIB 12% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 QS 32% CAQ 27% PQ 20% LIB 12% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 QS 31% CAQ 27% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 QS 31% CAQ 27% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 QS 31% CAQ 27% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 QS 31% CAQ 27% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 QS 29% CAQ 27% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 QS 29% CAQ 27% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 QS 30% CAQ 27% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 QS 31% CAQ 27% PQ 21% LIB 12% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 QS 31% CAQ 27% PQ 21% LIB 12% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 QS 31% CAQ 27% PQ 21% LIB 12% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 34% CAQ 27% PQ 21% LIB 10% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 34% CAQ 27% PQ 21% LIB 10% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 QS 33% CAQ 27% PQ 21% LIB 10% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 QS 33% CAQ 28% PQ 21% LIB 11% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 QS 33% CAQ 28% PQ 21% LIB 11% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 34% PQ 25% CAQ 25% LIB 10% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 34% CAQ 25% PQ 25% LIB 10% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 35% PQ 26% CAQ 23% LIB 10% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 QS 35% PQ 26% CAQ 23% LIB 10% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 QS 35% PQ 25% CAQ 24% LIB 10% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 QS 35% CAQ 24% PQ 24% LIB 10% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 QS 34% PQ 26% CAQ 24% LIB 10% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 QS 35% PQ 28% CAQ 21% LIB 10% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 QS 36% PQ 29% CAQ 20% LIB 10% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 QS 36% PQ 29% CAQ 20% LIB 10% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 QS 36% PQ 29% CAQ 20% LIB 10% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 QS 36% PQ 29% CAQ 20% LIB 10% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 QS 35% PQ 30% CAQ 20% LIB 10% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 QS 38% CAQ 23% PQ 21% LIB 12% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 37% CAQ 23% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 37% CAQ 23% PQ 22% LIB 12% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS 39% PQ 23% CAQ 22% LIB 11% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS 40% PQ 23% CAQ 22% LIB 11% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS 39% PQ 25% CAQ 22% LIB 11% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 38% PQ 27% CAQ 22% LIB 10% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 38% PQ 27% CAQ 22% LIB 10% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 36% PQ 27% CAQ 22% LIB 9% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 36% PQ 25% CAQ 21% LIB 11% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 36% PQ 25% CAQ 21% LIB 11% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS 34% PQ 25% CAQ 21% LIB 12% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS 34% PQ 27% CAQ 21% LIB 12% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 39% PQ 32% CAQ 13% LIB 11% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS 44% PQ 31% CAQ 9% LIB 9% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS 42% PQ 33% CAQ 11% LIB 9% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 42% PQ 33% CAQ 11% LIB 9% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 42% PQ 34% CAQ 10% LIB 9% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 39% PQ 35% LIB 11% CAQ 10% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 37% PQ 34% LIB 13% CAQ 10% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 37% PQ 34% LIB 13% CAQ 10% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 38% PQ 34% LIB 13% CAQ 9% 2024-06-17

Odds of winning | Rosemont

LIB <1% PQ 25% CAQ <1% QS 75% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 QS 78% CAQ 22% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 QS 74% CAQ 26% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 QS 76% CAQ 24% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 QS 76% CAQ 24% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 QS 75% CAQ 25% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 QS 74% CAQ 25% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 QS 78% CAQ 22% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 QS 77% CAQ 22% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 QS 78% CAQ 21% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 QS 76% CAQ 22% PQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 QS 77% CAQ 21% PQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 QS 77% CAQ 21% PQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 QS 75% CAQ 22% PQ 3% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 QS 66% CAQ 31% PQ 3% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 QS 66% CAQ 31% PQ 3% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 QS 69% CAQ 29% PQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 QS 76% CAQ 22% PQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 QS 76% CAQ 22% PQ 1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 QS 73% CAQ 25% PQ 1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 QS 88% CAQ 11% PQ 0% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 QS 86% CAQ 14% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 QS 85% CAQ 15% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 QS 84% CAQ 16% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 QS 82% CAQ 18% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 QS 89% PQ 6% CAQ 5% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 QS 89% CAQ 6% PQ 5% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 QS 92% PQ 6% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 QS 92% PQ 6% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 QS 94% PQ 5% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 QS 95% CAQ 3% PQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 QS 91% PQ 7% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 QS 84% PQ 15% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 QS 85% PQ 15% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 QS 86% PQ 14% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 QS 86% PQ 14% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 QS 86% PQ 14% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 QS 75% PQ 25% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 QS >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ 1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 QS 99% CAQ 1% PQ 1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 QS >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 QS 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 QS 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 QS 96% PQ 4% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 QS 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 QS 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 QS 96% PQ 4% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 QS 89% PQ 11% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 QS 88% PQ 12% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 QS 98% PQ 2% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 QS 92% PQ 8% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 QS 93% PQ 7% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 QS 92% PQ 8% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 QS 77% PQ 23% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 QS 68% PQ 32% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 QS 71% PQ 29% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 QS 75% PQ 25% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17

Recent electoral history | Rosemont



2014 2018 2022 Proj. QS 18.7% 35.2% 37.6% 38% ± 8% CAQ 14.2% 15.6% 23.1% 9% ± 3% PQ 34.3% 28.4% 21.3% 34% ± 7% LIB 30.0% 16.8% 11.8% 13% ± 4% CPQ 0.0% 0.6% 4.5% 4% ± 2% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.