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Quebec


L’Assomption


MNA: François Legault (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 22, 2022

Safe CAQ hold
L’Assomption 58% ± 9% CAQ 16% ± 6% PQ 14% ± 5% QS 7% ± 4% QCP 6% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 58.6% Popular vote projection | December 22, 2022
50% 100% L’Assomption >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% QS Odds of winning | December 22, 2022


Popular vote projection | L’Assomption

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 16% ± 6% CAQ 58% ± 9% QS 14% ± 5% QCP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | L’Assomption 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | L’Assomption

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | L’Assomption



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 50.5% 57.0% 58.6% 58% ± 9% QS 6.0% 17.0% 14.3% 14% ± 5% PQ 31.2% 14.5% 13.7% 16% ± 6% QCP 0.4% 0.5% 7.6% 7% ± 4% LIB 11.2% 8.0% 5.7% 6% ± 3%