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Quebec

Chambly


MNA: Jean-François Roberge (CAQ)

Latest projection: March 5, 2025
Likely PQ gain
Chambly 40% ± 7%▲ PQ 26% ± 6% CAQ 15% ± 5%▲ LIB 9% ± 3%▼ QS 8% ± 3% CPQ CAQ 2022 48.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 5, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chambly >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 5, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chambly

LIB 15% ± 5% PQ 40% ± 7% CAQ 26% ± 6% QS 9% ± 3% CPQ 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Chambly 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ March 5, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 37% CAQ 30% QS 14% LIB 9% CPQ 7% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 41% CAQ 26% QS 14% LIB 9% CPQ 7% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 43% CAQ 24% QS 14% LIB 9% CPQ 7% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 44% CAQ 25% QS 12% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 43% CAQ 24% LIB 12% QS 12% CPQ 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 42% CAQ 26% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 38% CAQ 29% QS 13% LIB 11% CPQ 8% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 40% CAQ 27% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 8% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 43% CAQ 25% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 44% CAQ 24% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 42% CAQ 25% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 39% CAQ 26% LIB 14% QS 10% CPQ 8% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 40% CAQ 26% LIB 15% QS 9% CPQ 8% 2025-03-05 Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Chambly

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ March 5, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 91% CAQ 9% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 97% CAQ 3% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Chambly



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 34.2% 50.1% 48.5% 26% ± 6% PQ 33.1% 17.6% 17.9% 40% ± 7% QS 7.4% 16.3% 16.4% 9% ± 3% CPQ 0.4% 0.9% 8.3% 8% ± 3% LIB 22.2% 12.1% 7.9% 15% ± 5% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%