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Quebec


Chambly


MNA: Jean-François Roberge (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

Leaning PQ gain
Chambly 35% ± 7%▲ 32% ± 7%▼ 16% ± 5%▲ 9% ± 3% 7% ± 3%▼ CAQ 2022 48.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Chambly 73%▲ 27%▼ <1% Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chambly

LIB 9% ± 3% PQ 35% ± 7% CAQ 32% ± 7% QS 16% ± 5% QCP 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Chambly 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Chambly

LIB <1% PQ 73% CAQ 27% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Chambly



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 34.2% 50.1% 48.5% 32% ± 7% PQ 33.1% 17.6% 17.9% 35% ± 7% QS 7.4% 16.3% 16.4% 16% ± 5% QCP 0.4% 0.9% 8.3% 7% ± 3% LIB 22.2% 12.1% 7.9% 9% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%