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Recent electoral history | Berthier


2014* 2018* 2022* 2026* Projection PQ 48% ± 7% 39.3% 28.7% 20.9% 43.5% CPQ 23% ± 6% 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 21.7% LIB 10% ± 4% 21.1% 8.2% 2.5% 8.8% QS 9% ± 4% 7.3% 15.6% 13.9% 9.0% CAQ 8% ± 4% 30.1% 44.5% 51.1% 15.2%
Latest update: November 11, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Berthier projection

Latest update: November 11, 2026

Berthier 41% 55% 48% ± 7% ▲ PQ 17% 29% 23% ± 6% CPQ 7% 14% 10% ± 4% ▲ LIB 6% 13% 9% ± 4% QS 4% 11% 8% ± 4% ▼ CAQ PQ 2022 43.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 11, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Berthier >99% PQ <1% CPQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 11, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Berthier

Odds of winning | Berthier


69% 31% 48% ± 6% 52% ± 6% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Berthier YES NO 338Canada November 11, 2026