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Quebec


Chutes-de-la-Chaudière


MNA: Martine Biron (CAQ)


Latest projection: March 21, 2024

Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière 28% ± 6%▲ 27% ± 6%▼ 24% ± 7%▼ 13% ± 4% 6% ± 3% CAQ 2022 47.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Chutes-de-la-Chaudière 50%▲ 37%▼ 14%▼ Odds of winning | March 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 28% ± 6% CAQ 27% ± 6% QS 13% ± 4% QCP 24% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP March 21, 2024

Odds of winning | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière

LIB <1% PQ 50% CAQ 37% QS <1% QCP 14% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP March 21, 2024

Recent electoral history | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 47.7% 59.5% 47.5% 27% ± 6% QCP 1.3% 4.3% 27.2% 24% ± 7% PQ 12.9% 9.4% 11.1% 28% ± 6% QS 4.4% 11.4% 9.3% 13% ± 4% LIB 32.5% 13.9% 4.9% 6% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.