Québec solidaire
Last update: November 15, 2024
Leader | Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois / Émilise Lessard-Therrien |
National popular vote in 2022 | 15.4% |
Current vote projection | 13.4% ± 2.2% |
Current number of MNA's | 12 |
Current seat projection | 8 [5-12] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | November 15, 2024
Seat projection | November 15, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire
Last update: November 15, 2024
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Gouin | QS safe hold | >99% | |
2. | Laurier-Dorion | QS likely hold | >99% | |
3. | Mercier | QS likely hold | >99% | |
4. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | QS likely hold | 97% | |
5. | Sherbrooke | QS likely hold | 97% | |
6. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | QS likely hold | 97% | |
7. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | QS leaning hold | 82% | |
8. | Rosemont | Toss up PQ/QS | 57% | |
9. | Maurice-Richard | Toss up PQ/QS | 35% | |
10. | Jean-Lesage | Leaning PQ gain | 24% | |
11. | Verdun | Leaning LIB gain | 21% | |
12. | Viau | Leaning LIB hold | 16% | |
13. | Taschereau | Leaning PQ gain | 12% | |
14. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | Leaning PQ gain | 7% | |
15. | Ungava | Toss up LIB/PQ | 4% | |
16. | Saint-François | Leaning PQ gain | 2% |