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Quebec

Québec solidaire





Last update: August 30, 2023

LeaderManon Massé / Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection15.7% ± 2.5%
Current number of MNA's12
Current seat projection13 [9-15]

1. Gouin 2. Mercier 3. Laurier-Dorion 4. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve 5. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques 6. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne 7. Rosemont 8. Sherbrooke 9. Verdun 10. Maurice-Richard 11. Jean-Lesage 12. Viau 13. Taschereau 14. Ungava 15. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue 16. Saint-François 17. Laporte 18. Hull 19. Jean-Talon 20. Mont-Royal -Outremont 21. Laval-des-Rapides 22. Marie-Victorin 23. Montmorency 24. Mille-Îles 25. Rimouski 26. Charlesbourg 27. Taillon 28. Acadie 29. Bourassa-Sauvé 30. La Peltrie 31. Fabre 32. Anjou–Louis-Riel 33. Louis-Hébert 34. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré 35. Vanier-Les Rivières 36. Vimont 37. Sainte-Rose 38. Châteauguay 39. Abitibi-Ouest 40. Bertrand 41. Portneuf 42. Richmond 43. Orford 44. Vaudreuil 45. Chauveau 46. Lévis 47. Montarville 48. Prévost 49. La Pinière 50. Chambly 51. Vachon 52. Saint-Jean 53. Chomedey 54. Groulx 55. Brome-Missisquoi 56. Lotbinière-Frontenac 57. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière 58. Saint-Jérôme 59. Pontiac 60. Côte-du-Sud 61. Deux-Montagnes 62. Abitibi-Est 63. Bonaventure Majority: 63 seats 64. Soulanges 65. Marguerite-Bourgeoys 66. Pointe-aux-Trembles 67. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce 68. Verchères 69. Marquette 70. Berthier 71. Trois-Rivières 72. Duplessis 73. Argenteuil 74. Bellechasse 75. Borduas 76. Joliette 77. Blainville 78. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata 79. Mirabel 80. Mégantic 81. Sanguinet 82. Terrebonne 83. Westmount–Saint-Louis 84. Gatineau 85. Labelle 86. Rousseau 87. Les Plaines 88. Huntingdon 89. Masson 90. Repentigny 91. Johnson 92. Iberville 93. Nicolet-Bécancour 94. La Prairie 95. Saint-Hyacinthe 96. Beauharnois 97. Saint-Laurent 98. Chapleau 99. Papineau 100. Camille-Laurin 101. LaFontaine 102. Beauce-Nord 103. Jeanne-Mance–Viger 104. Drummond–Bois-Francs 105. Lac-Saint-Jean 106. Laviolette-Saint-Maurice 107. Beauce-Sud 108. D’Arcy-McGee 109. Gaspé 110. L’Assomption 111. Granby 112. Richelieu 113. Maskinongé 114. Dubuc 115. Arthabaska 116. Chicoutimi 117. René-Lévesque 118. Nelligan 119. Roberval 120. Jonquière 121. Champlain 122. Îles-de-la-Madeleine 123. Robert-Baldwin 124. Jacques-Cartier 125. Matane-Matapédia QS The path to 63 seats 338Canada Quebec projection August 30, 2023

× × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × ✓ ✓ QS 13 [9-15] August 30, 2023 ✓ Projected net gain       × Projected net loss       Pale square = Toss up 338Canada ©2023 Montréal Montérégie Laval Laurentides Lanaudière Mauricie Outaouais Estrie Abitibi-T. Centre-du-Québec Capitale-Nationale Chaudière-App. Sag.-Lac. Côte-Nord Bas-St-Laurent-Gaspésie Nord-du-Québec

Vote projection | August 30, 2023

10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 13.2% ▼ 2022 15.4% 15.7% ± 2.5% ▼ Max. 18.3% ▼ Probabilities % QS

Seat projection | August 30, 2023

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 9 ▼ 2022 11 seats 13 ▼ Max. 15 ▼ Probabilities % QS

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Gouin QS safe hold >99%
2. Mercier QS safe hold >99%
3. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe hold >99%
4. Laurier-Dorion QS safe hold >99%
5. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS safe hold >99%
6. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne QS safe hold >99%
7. Rosemont QS likely hold 96%
8. Verdun QS likely hold 94%
9. Sherbrooke QS likely hold 94%
10. Maurice-Richard QS likely hold 91%
11. Jean-Lesage QS leaning hold 78%
12. Viau QS leaning gain 70%
13. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS 53%
14. Ungava Leaning CAQ hold 12%
15. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ hold 6%
16. Saint-François Likely CAQ hold 2%
17. Hull Likely CAQ hold 1%
18. Mont-Royal -Outremont Likely LIB hold 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Gouin QS safe hold
2. Mercier QS safe hold
3. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe hold
4. Laurier-Dorion QS safe hold
5. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS safe hold
6. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne QS safe hold
7. Rosemont QS likely hold
8. Verdun QS likely hold
9. Sherbrooke QS likely hold
10. Maurice-Richard QS likely hold
11. Jean-Lesage QS leaning hold
12. Viau QS leaning gain
13. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS
14. Ungava Leaning CAQ hold
15. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ hold
16. Saint-François Likely CAQ hold
17. Hull Likely CAQ hold
18. Mont-Royal -Outremont Likely LIB hold