Québec solidaire
Last update: March 21, 2024
Leader | Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois / Émilise Lessard-Therrien |
National popular vote in 2022 | 15.4% |
Current vote projection | 16.7% ± 2.6% |
Current number of MNA's | 12 |
Current seat projection | 14 [10-18] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | March 21, 2024
Seat projection | March 21, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire
Last update: March 21, 2024
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Gouin | QS safe hold | >99% | |
2. | Mercier | QS safe hold | >99% | |
3. | Laurier-Dorion | QS safe hold | >99% | |
4. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | QS safe hold | >99% | |
5. | Sherbrooke | QS safe hold | >99% | |
6. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | QS safe hold | >99% | |
7. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | QS likely hold | 99% | |
8. | Verdun | QS likely hold | 99% | |
9. | Viau | QS likely gain | 96% | |
10. | Rosemont | QS likely hold | 92% | |
11. | Maurice-Richard | QS leaning hold | 84% | |
12. | Saint-François | QS leaning gain | 71% | |
13. | Jean-Lesage | Toss up PQ/QS | 70% | |
14. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | Toss up PQ/QS | 63% | |
15. | Taschereau | Toss up PQ/QS | 44% | |
16. | Ungava | Toss up PQ/QS | 29% | |
17. | Hull | Leaning LIB gain | 7% | |
18. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | Likely LIB hold | 4% | |
19. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | Toss up LIB/PQ | 1% | |
20. | Richmond | Toss up PQ/CAQ | 1% |