Québec solidaire
Last update: August 29, 2024
Leader | Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois / Émilise Lessard-Therrien |
National popular vote in 2022 | 15.4% |
Current vote projection | 14.5% ± 2.4% |
Current number of MNA's | 12 |
Current seat projection | 9 [6-15] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | August 29, 2024
Seat projection | August 29, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire
Last update: August 29, 2024
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Gouin | QS safe hold | >99% | |
2. | Mercier | QS safe hold | >99% | |
3. | Laurier-Dorion | QS safe hold | >99% | |
4. | Sherbrooke | QS safe hold | >99% | |
5. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | QS safe hold | >99% | |
6. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | QS likely hold | 99% | |
7. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | QS likely hold | 97% | |
8. | Rosemont | QS leaning hold | 85% | |
9. | Maurice-Richard | QS leaning hold | 75% | |
10. | Verdun | Toss up LIB/QS | 41% | |
11. | Jean-Lesage | Toss up PQ/QS | 40% | |
12. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QS | 35% | |
13. | Viau | Toss up LIB/QS | 34% | |
14. | Saint-François | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QS | 25% | |
15. | Taschereau | Leaning PQ gain | 21% | |
16. | Ungava | Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ/QS | 13% | |
17. | Hull | Likely LIB gain | 2% | |
18. | Mont-Royal -Outremont | Likely LIB hold | 2% |