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Québec solidaire

Latest update: October 26, 2026
LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202612.4%
Current vote projection12.4% ± 2.0%
Current number of MNA's9
Current seat projection9 [6-12]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | October 26, 2026 15 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2026 1.0 seat/% [6-12] 12% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | October 26, 2026

8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 10.4% ▼ 12.4% ± 2.0% ▼ Max. 14.4% ▼ 2022 15.4% Probabilities % QS October 26, 2026

Seat projection | October 26, 2026

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 6 ▼ 9 ▼ 2022 11 seats Max. 12 ▼ Probabilities % QS October 26, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Québec solidaire


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Gouin QS safe 1 GOUI 2. Mercier QS safe 2 MERC 3. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe 3 HOMA 4. Laurier-Dorion QS safe 4 LAUD 5. Taschereau QS likely 5 TASH 6. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 6 SMSJ 7. Jean-Lesage QS likely 7 JLES 8. Rosemont QS likely 8 ROSE 9. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ/QS 9 SHER 10. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 10 SHSA 11. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/QS 11 MAUR 12. Verdun Leaning LIB 12 VERD 13. Viau Likely LIB 13 VIAU 14. Marie-Victorin Likely PQ 14 MVIC 15. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 15 MROU 16. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 16 CAML 17. Acadie Safe LIB 17 ACAD 18. Hull Safe LIB 18 HULL 19. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 19 NODG 20. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 20 BOUS 21. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 21 STLR 22. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB 22 LVDR 23. Rimouski Safe PQ 23 RIMO 24. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 24 WSTL 25. Taillon Leaning PQ 25 TAIL 26. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 26 LAPO 27. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 27 ANLR 28. Saint-François Toss up LIB/PQ 28 STFR 29. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ 29 ROUY 30. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ 30 JTAL 31. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 31 PATR 32. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 32 MARG 33. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 33 JMVI 34. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ 34 MTRV 35. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 35 STJR 36. Verchères Safe PQ 36 VERC 37. Bertrand Safe PQ 37 BERT 38. Sainte-Rose Likely LIB 38 STRO 39. Trois-Rivières Likely PQ 39 TRIV 40. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 40 MILI 41. Chambly Safe PQ 41 CHBY 42. Groulx Likely PQ 42 GROU 43. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ 43 VACH 44. La Pinière Safe LIB 44 LAPI 45. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ 45 DMON 46. Borduas Safe PQ 46 BORD 47. Richmond Leaning PQ 47 RCHM 48. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 48 STJN 49. Marquette Safe LIB 49 MARQ 50. Chomedey Safe LIB 50 CHOM 51. Repentigny Safe PQ 51 REPE 52. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 52 CHIC 53. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 53 DAMC 54. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 54 VIMO 55. Fabre Safe LIB 55 FABR 56. Pontiac Safe LIB 56 PONT 57. Orford Likely LIB 57 ORFO 58. LaFontaine Safe LIB 58 LAFO 59. L’Assomption Safe PQ 59 LASS 60. Terrebonne Safe PQ 60 TERR 61. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 61 ABIE 62. Charlesbourg PCQ likely 62 CHAR 63. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré PCQ likely 63 CXCB 64. Granby Safe PQ 64 GRBY 65. Berthier Safe PQ 65 BRTH 66. Sanguinet Safe PQ 66 SANG 67. Brome-Missisquoi Leaning LIB 67 BROM 68. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ 68 STHY 69. La Prairie Toss up LIB/PQ 69 LAPR 70. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 70 ABIO 71. Châteauguay Likely LIB 71 CHAT 72. Joliette Safe PQ 72 JOLI 73. Daniel-Johnson Likely PQ 73 DAJO 74. Montmorency PCQ safe 74 MOMO 75. Iberville Safe PQ 75 IBER 76. Bonaventure Safe PQ 76 BONA 77. Les Plaines Safe PQ 77 LPLA 78. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 78 BALD 79. Masson Safe PQ 79 MASS 80. Chapleau Safe LIB 80 CHAP 81. Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ likely 81 VALR 82. Chauveau PCQ safe 82 CHAU 83. Prévost Safe PQ 83 PREV 84. Bellefeuille Safe PQ 84 BELF 85. Labelle Safe PQ 85 LABL 86. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CPQ 86 LHEB 87. Lévis PCQ safe 87 LEVI 88. Blainville Likely PQ 88 BLAI 89. Mirabel Safe PQ 89 MIRA 90. Gatineau Safe LIB 90 GATI 91. Jonquière Likely PQ 91 JONQ 92. René-Lévesque Safe PQ 92 RENE 93. Gaspé Safe PQ 93 GASP 94. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 94 VAUD 95. Mégantic PCQ likely 95 MEGA 96. Rousseau Likely PQ 96 ROUS 97. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ 97 PAPI 98. La Peltrie PCQ safe 98 LAPE 99. Drummond–Bois-Francs Toss up PQ/CPQ 99 DRUM 100. Argenteuil Likely PQ 100 ARGE 101. Richelieu Safe PQ 101 RCHL 102. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Likely PQ 102 MLGL 103. Maskinongé Leaning PQ 103 MASK 104. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 104 LVSM 105. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 105 LASJ 106. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely PQ 106 RDLT 107. Champlain Toss up PQ/CPQ 107 CHPN 108. Nelligan Safe LIB 108 NELL 109. Portneuf PCQ safe 109 PORT 110. Dubuc Likely PQ 110 DUBU 111. Beauharnois Safe PQ 111 BEAU 112. Soulanges Likely LIB 112 SOUL 113. Côte-du-Sud PCQ safe 113 CÔDS 114. Huntingdon Leaning PQ 114 HUNT 115. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 115 JACA 116. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ safe 116 CHCH 117. Ungava Likely PQ 117 UNGA 118. Roberval Likely PQ 118 ROBV 119. Arthabaska-L’Érable PCQ likely 119 ARTH 120. Duplessis Safe PQ 120 DUPL 121. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 121 MAMA 122. Nicolet-Bécancour PCQ likely 122 NICO 123. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 123 IDLM 124. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ safe 124 LOTF 125. Bellechasse PCQ safe 125 BELL 126. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 126 BEAN 127. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 127 BEAS 338Canada Quebec projection Updated October 26, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Gouin
Alexandre Boulerice
 QS QS safe
2.
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS safe
3.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS QS safe
4.
Laurier-Dorion
Andrés Fontecilla
 QS QS safe
5.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS QS likely
6.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Roxane Milot
 QS QS likely
7.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS QS likely
8.
Rosemont
Gisèle Pouhe Njall
 QS QS likely
9.
Sherbrooke
Stéphanie Vachon
 QS Toss up LIB/PQ/QS
10.
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Benoit Clermont
 L Toss up LIB/QS
11.
Maurice-Richard
Nada Boumeftah
 L Toss up LIB/QS
12.
Verdun
Antoine Dionne Charest
 L Leaning LIB
13.
Viau
Frantz Benjamin
 L Likely LIB
14.
Marie-Victorin
Nicolas Marceau
 PQ Likely PQ