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Quebec

Québec solidaire





Last update: June 27, 2025

LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection10.1% ± 1.7%
Current number of MNA's12
Current seat projection6 [3-8]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 1.1 seat/% 6 [3-8] 10% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | June 27, 2025

6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 8.4% 10.1% ± 1.7% Max. 11.8% Probabilities % QS

Seat projection | June 27, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 3 6 Max. 8 Probabilities % QS

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire


Last update: June 27, 2025
Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Gouin QS safe >99%
2. Mercier QS likely >99%
3. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 99%
4. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning 89%
5. Laurier-Dorion QS leaning 81%
6. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 60%
7. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/QS 41%
8. Taschereau Likely PQ 4%
9. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ 2%
10. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ 2%
11. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/PQ 1%