Québec solidaire

Last update: June 27, 2025
Leader | Ruba Ghazal |
National popular vote in 2022 | 15.4% |
Current vote projection | 10.1% ± 1.7% |
Current number of MNA's | 12 |
Current seat projection | 6 [3-8] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | June 27, 2025
Seat projection | June 27, 2025
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire
Last update: June 27, 2025
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Gouin | ![]() |
QS safe | >99% |
2. | Mercier | ![]() |
QS likely | >99% |
3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | ![]() |
QS likely | 99% |
4. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | ![]() |
QS leaning | 89% |
5. | Laurier-Dorion | ![]() |
QS leaning | 81% |
6. | Rosemont | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/QS | 60% |
7. | Sherbrooke | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/QS | 41% |
8. | Taschereau | ![]() |
Likely PQ | 4% |
9. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
Likely PQ | 2% |
10. | Jean-Lesage | ![]() |
Likely PQ | 2% |
11. | Maurice-Richard | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/PQ | 1% |