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Last update: January 20, 2022
| Leader | Manon Massé / Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois |
| National popular vote in 2018 | 16.1% |
| Current vote projection | 15.4% ± 3.3% |
| Current number of MNA's | 10 |
| Current seat projection | 9 [6-14] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Québec solidaire
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Mercier |  |
QS safe | >99% |
| 2. | Gouin | |
QS safe | >99% |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | |
QS safe | >99% |
| 4. | Laurier-Dorion | |
QS safe | >99% |
| 5. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | |
QS safe | >99% |
| 6. | Taschereau | |
QS likely | 97% |
| 7. | Rosemont | |
QS likely | 96% |
| 8. | Sherbrooke | |
QS likely | 94% |
| 9. | Jean-Lesage | |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 57% |
| 10. | Maurice-Richard |  |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 39% |
| 11. | Bourget |  |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 30% |
| 12. | Verdun |  |
Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS | 18% |
| 13. | Marie-Victorin |  |
Toss up PQ/CAQ/QS | 16% |
| 14. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | |
CAQ leaning | 14% |
| 15. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | |
LIB likely | 2% |
| 16. | Viau | |
LIB likely | 1% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Mercier | QS safe |
| 2. | Gouin | QS safe |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | QS safe |
| 4. | Laurier-Dorion | QS safe |
| 5. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | QS safe |
| 6. | Taschereau | QS likely |
| 7. | Rosemont | QS likely |
| 8. | Sherbrooke | QS likely |
| 9. | Jean-Lesage | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 10. | Maurice-Richard | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 11. | Bourget | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 12. | Verdun | Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS |
| 13. | Marie-Victorin | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QS |
| 14. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | CAQ leaning |
| 15. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | LIB likely |
| 16. | Viau | LIB likely |