Québec solidaire
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Last update: February 6, 2025
Leader | Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois / Émilise Lessard-Therrien |
National popular vote in 2022 | 15.4% |
Current vote projection | 11.4% ± 1.9% |
Current number of MNA's | 12 |
Current seat projection | 6 [4-9] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | February 6, 2025
Seat projection | February 6, 2025
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire
Last update: February 6, 2025
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Gouin | ![]() |
QS safe hold | >99% |
2. | Mercier | ![]() |
QS likely hold | 99% |
3. | Laurier-Dorion | ![]() |
QS likely hold | 99% |
4. | Sherbrooke | ![]() |
QS likely hold | 95% |
5. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | ![]() |
QS likely hold | 95% |
6. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | ![]() |
QS leaning hold | 75% |
7. | Rosemont | ![]() |
Toss up PQ/QS | 32% |
8. | Maurice-Richard | ![]() |
Leaning PQ gain | 18% |
9. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | ![]() |
Leaning LIB gain | 18% |
10. | Jean-Lesage | ![]() |
Likely PQ gain | 4% |
11. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
Leaning PQ gain | 3% |
12. | Ungava | ![]() |
Toss up LIB/PQ | 1% |
13. | Taschereau | ![]() |
Likely PQ gain | 1% |