Québec solidaire
Last update: August 22, 2025
| Leader | Ruba Ghazal |
| National popular vote in 2022 | 15.4% |
| Current vote projection | 8.7% ± 1.5% |
| Current number of MNA's | 12 |
| Current seat projection | 5 [3-7] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | August 22, 2025
Seat projection | August 22, 2025
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire
Last update: August 22, 2025
| Dstricts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Gouin |  |
QS safe | >99% |
| 2. | Mercier | |
QS likely | >99% |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | |
QS likely | 98% |
| 4. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | |
QS leaning | 79% |
| 5. | Laurier-Dorion | |
Toss up LIB/QS | 59% |
| 6. | Rosemont | |
Toss up PQ/QS | 43% |
| 7. | Sherbrooke | |
Toss up LIB/PQ/QS | 11% |
| 8. | Taschereau | |
Likely PQ | 1% |
| 9. | Maurice-Richard | |
Toss up LIB/PQ | 1% |