Québec solidaire
Last update: June 27, 2025
| Leader | Ruba Ghazal |
| National popular vote in 2022 | 15.4% |
| Current vote projection | 10.1% ± 1.7% |
| Current number of MNA's | 12 |
| Current seat projection | 6 [3-8] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | June 27, 2025
Seat projection | June 27, 2025
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire
Last update: June 27, 2025
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Gouin |  |
QS safe | >99% |
| 2. | Mercier | |
QS likely | >99% |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | |
QS likely | 99% |
| 4. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | |
QS leaning | 89% |
| 5. | Laurier-Dorion | |
QS leaning | 81% |
| 6. | Rosemont | |
Toss up PQ/QS | 60% |
| 7. | Sherbrooke | |
Toss up LIB/QS | 41% |
| 8. | Taschereau | |
Likely PQ | 4% |
| 9. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue |  |
Likely PQ | 2% |
| 10. | Jean-Lesage | |
Likely PQ | 2% |
| 11. | Maurice-Richard | |
Toss up LIB/PQ | 1% |