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Québec solidaire

Latest update: September 22, 2026
LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection11.2% ± 2.0%
Current number of MNA's11
Current seat projection9 [3-12]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | September 22, 2026 15 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2026 2.0 seat/% [3-12] 11% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | September 22, 2026

7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 9.2% ▼ 11.2% ± 2.0% ▼ Max. 13.2% ▼ 2022 15.4% Probabilities % QS September 22, 2026

Seat projection | September 22, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 3 ▼ 9 ▼ 2022 11 seats Max. 12 ▼ Probabilities % QS September 22, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Québec solidaire


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Gouin QS safe 1 GOUI 2. Mercier QS safe 2 MERC 3. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 3 SMSJ 4. Taschereau QS leaning 4 TASH 5. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS 5 HOMA 6. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS 6 JLES 7. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 7 ROSE 8. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS 8 LAUD 9. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 9 SHSA 10. Sherbrooke Toss up PQ/QS 10 SHER 11. Verdun Leaning LIB 11 VERD 12. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Leaning PQ 12 ROUY 13. Saint-François Likely PQ 13 STFR 14. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ 14 MAUR 15. Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 15 UNGA 16. Viau Safe LIB 16 VIAU 17. Richmond Toss up PQ/CAQ 17 RCHM 18. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 18 MVIC 19. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 19 MROU 20. Rimouski Safe PQ 20 RIMO 21. Hull Safe LIB 21 HULL 22. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 22 CAML 23. Jean-Talon Likely PQ 23 JTAL 24. Orford Leaning LIB 24 ORFO 25. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 25 PATR 26. Anjou–Louis-Riel Likely LIB 26 ANLR 27. Montarville Toss up PQ/CAQ 27 MTRV 28. Granby Toss up PQ/CAQ 28 GRBY 29. Acadie Safe LIB 29 ACAD 30. Abitibi-Ouest Likely PQ 30 ABIO 31. Borduas Leaning CAQ 31 BORD 32. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 32 LAPO 33. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ 33 CHBY 34. Brome-Missisquoi Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 34 BROM 35. Chapleau Toss up LIB/CAQ 35 CHAP 36. Saint-Jérôme Likely PQ 36 STJR 37. Daniel-Johnson Toss up PQ/CAQ 37 DAJO 38. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely PQ 38 RDLT 39. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 39 NODG 40. Taillon Safe PQ 40 TAIL 41. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ 41 IBER 42. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 42 BOUS 43. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 43 PAPI 44. Verchères Likely PQ 44 VERC 45. Vachon Likely PQ 45 VACH 46. Bellefeuille Likely PQ 46 BELF 47. Trois-Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ 47 TRIV 48. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ 48 LASS 49. La Prairie Toss up PQ/CAQ 49 LAPR 50. Prévost Safe PQ 50 PREV 51. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ 51 STHY 52. Huntingdon Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 52 HUNT 53. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 53 STJN 54. Berthier Safe PQ 54 BRTH 55. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Toss up PQ/CAQ 55 MLGL 56. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 56 ABIE 57. Montmorency PCQ likely 57 MOMO 58. Charlesbourg PCQ leaning 58 CHAR 59. Bertrand Safe PQ 59 BERT 60. Gatineau Likely LIB 60 GATI 61. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 61 MEGA 62. Drummond–Bois-Francs Leaning PQ 62 DRUM 63. Sanguinet Likely PQ 63 SANG 64. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ 64 BEAU 65. Groulx Toss up PQ/CAQ 65 GROU 66. Châteauguay Likely LIB 66 CHAT 67. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Likely PQ 67 CXCB 68. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CAQ 68 LHEB 69. Labelle Safe PQ 69 LABL 70. Repentigny Toss up PQ/CAQ 70 REPE 71. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 71 WSTL 72. Laval-des-Rapides Likely LIB 72 LVDR 73. Rousseau Leaning PQ 73 ROUS 74. Blainville Leaning PQ 74 BLAI 75. Marquette Safe LIB 75 MARQ 76. Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ leaning 76 VALR 77. Jonquière Safe PQ 77 JONQ 78. Les Plaines Leaning PQ 78 LPLA 79. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ 79 DMON 80. Masson Leaning PQ 80 MASS 81. Mirabel Toss up PQ/CAQ 81 MIRA 82. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 82 JMVI 83. Champlain Leaning PQ 83 CHPN 84. La Pinière Safe LIB 84 LAPI 85. Maskinongé Leaning PQ 85 MASK 86. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 86 MILI 87. Terrebonne Leaning PQ 87 TERR 88. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 88 CHIC 89. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 89 STLR 90. Lévis PCQ leaning 90 LEVI 91. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 91 LVSM 92. Joliette Safe PQ 92 JOLI 93. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CPQ 93 CÔDS 94. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 94 MARG 95. Sainte-Rose Leaning LIB 95 STRO 96. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ likely 96 CHCH 97. Richelieu Likely PQ 97 RCHL 98. Chauveau PCQ safe 98 CHAU 99. Dubuc Safe PQ 99 DUBU 100. Bonaventure Safe PQ 100 BONA 101. Portneuf PCQ safe 101 PORT 102. LaFontaine Safe LIB 102 LAFO 103. Soulanges Likely LIB 103 SOUL 104. Vimont-Auteuil Likely LIB 104 VIMO 105. Pontiac Safe LIB 105 PONT 106. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 106 DAMC 107. Fabre Likely LIB 107 FABR 108. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ likely 108 LOTF 109. La Peltrie PCQ safe 109 LAPE 110. René-Lévesque Leaning PQ 110 RENE 111. Argenteuil Likely PQ 111 ARGE 112. Gaspé Safe PQ 112 GASP 113. Duplessis Likely PQ 113 DUPL 114. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 114 VAUD 115. Roberval Safe PQ 115 ROBV 116. Arthabaska-L’Érable Leaning PQ 116 ARTH 117. Nicolet-Bécancour Toss up PQ/CPQ 117 NICO 118. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 118 BEAN 119. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 119 MAMA 120. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 120 BEAS 121. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 121 LASJ 122. Chomedey Safe LIB 122 CHOM 123. Bellechasse PCQ safe 123 BELL 124. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 124 IDLM 125. Nelligan Safe LIB 125 NELL 126. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 126 BALD 127. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 127 JACA 338Canada Quebec projection Updated September 22, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Gouin
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
 QS QS safe
2.
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS safe
3.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
4.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS QS leaning
5.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
6.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
7.
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
 I Toss up PQ/QS
8.
Laurier-Dorion
Andrès Fontecilla
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
9.
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
10.
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
11.
Verdun
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
 QS Leaning LIB
12.
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Leaning PQ
13.
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Likely PQ
14.
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Leaning PQ
15.
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
16.
Viau
Frantz Benjamin
 L Safe LIB
17.
Richmond
André Bachand
 CA Toss up PQ/CAQ