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Quebec

Québec solidaire





Last update: February 6, 2025

LeaderGabriel Nadeau-Dubois / Émilise Lessard-Therrien
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection11.4% ± 1.9%
Current number of MNA's12
Current seat projection6 [4-9]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025 15 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 1.1 seat/% 6 [4-9] 11% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | February 6, 2025

7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 9.4% 11.4% ± 1.9% Max. 13.3% 2022 15.4% Probabilities % QS

Seat projection | February 6, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 4 6 Max. 9 2022 11 seats Probabilities % QS

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire


Last update: February 6, 2025
Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Gouin QS safe hold >99%
2. Mercier QS likely hold 99%
3. Laurier-Dorion QS likely hold 99%
4. Sherbrooke QS likely hold 95%
5. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely hold 95%
6. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning hold 75%
7. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 32%
8. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ gain 18%
9. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Leaning LIB gain 18%
10. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ gain 4%
11. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Leaning PQ gain 3%
12. Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ 1%
13. Taschereau Likely PQ gain 1%