Québec solidaire
Last update: May 28, 2022
| Leader | Manon Massé / Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois |
| National popular vote in 2018 | 16.1% |
| Current vote projection | 14.1% ± 2.7% |
| Current number of MNA's | 10 |
| Current seat projection | 7 [5-11] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Québec solidaire
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Mercier |  |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 2. | Gouin | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 4. | Laurier-Dorion | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 5. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 6. | Taschereau | |
QS likely hold | 95% |
| 7. | Rosemont | |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 57% |
| 8. | Sherbrooke | |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 42% |
| 9. | Jean-Lesage | |
Leaning CAQ gain | 25% |
| 10. | Maurice-Richard |  |
Leaning CAQ gain | 14% |
| 11. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne |  |
Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS | 11% |
| 12. | Viau | |
Leaning LIB hold | 9% |
| 13. | Verdun | |
Leaning CAQ gain | 8% |
| 14. | Bourget |  |
Likely CAQ hold | 6% |
| 15. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | |
Likely CAQ gain | 2% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Mercier | QS safe hold |
| 2. | Gouin | QS safe hold |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | QS safe hold |
| 4. | Laurier-Dorion | QS safe hold |
| 5. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | QS safe hold |
| 6. | Taschereau | QS likely hold |
| 7. | Rosemont | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 8. | Sherbrooke | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 9. | Jean-Lesage | Leaning CAQ gain |
| 10. | Maurice-Richard | Leaning CAQ gain |
| 11. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS |
| 12. | Viau | Leaning LIB hold |
| 13. | Verdun | Leaning CAQ gain |
| 14. | Bourget | Likely CAQ hold |
| 15. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | Likely CAQ gain |