Québec solidaire
Last update: September 26, 2022
| Leader | Manon Massé / Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois |
| National popular vote in 2018 | 16.1% |
| Current vote projection | 14.6% ± 2.9% |
| Current number of MNA's | 10 |
| Current seat projection | 7 [5-14] |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Québec solidaire
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Gouin |  |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 2. | Mercier | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 4. | Laurier-Dorion | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 5. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | |
QS safe hold | >99% |
| 6. | Taschereau | |
QS likely hold | 96% |
| 7. | Rosemont | |
QS likely hold | 91% |
| 8. | Jean-Lesage | |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 45% |
| 9. | Maurice-Richard |  |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 40% |
| 10. | Sherbrooke | |
Toss up CAQ/QS | 30% |
| 11. | Verdun |  |
Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS | 29% |
| 12. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | |
Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS | 22% |
| 13. | Viau | |
Leaning LIB hold | 18% |
| 14. | Saint-François |  |
Leaning CAQ hold | 17% |
| 15. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | |
Leaning CAQ gain | 12% |
| 16. | Hull | |
Leaning LIB hold | 3% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Gouin | QS safe hold |
| 2. | Mercier | QS safe hold |
| 3. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | QS safe hold |
| 4. | Laurier-Dorion | QS safe hold |
| 5. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | QS safe hold |
| 6. | Taschereau | QS likely hold |
| 7. | Rosemont | QS likely hold |
| 8. | Jean-Lesage | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 9. | Maurice-Richard | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 10. | Sherbrooke | Toss up CAQ/QS |
| 11. | Verdun | Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS |
| 12. | Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne | Toss up LIB/CAQ/QS |
| 13. | Viau | Leaning LIB hold |
| 14. | Saint-François | Leaning CAQ hold |
| 15. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | Leaning CAQ gain |
| 16. | Hull | Leaning LIB hold |