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Quebec

Québec solidaire





Last update: September 10, 2025

LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection8.4% ± 1.4%
Current number of MNA's12
Current seat projection4 [2-6]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | September 10, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 1.2 seat/% 4 [2-6] 8% ± 1% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | September 10, 2025

5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 6.9% ▼ 8.4% ± 1.4% ▼ Max. 9.8% ▼ Probabilities % QS

Seat projection | September 10, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 2 ▼ 4 ▼ Max. 6 ▼ Probabilities % QS

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire


Last update: September 10, 2025
Dstricts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Gouin QS likely 99%
2. Mercier QS likely 96%
3. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS leaning 85%
4. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS 51%
5. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS 44%
6. Rosemont Leaning PQ 15%
7. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ 1%
8. Taschereau Likely PQ 1%