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Quebec

Québec solidaire





Last update: May 16, 2025

LeaderGabriel Nadeau-Dubois / Émilise Lessard-Therrien
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection10.6% ± 1.8%
Current number of MNA's12
Current seat projection6 [4-8]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | May 16, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 0.7 seat/% 6 [4-8] 11% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | May 16, 2025

7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 8.8% ▼ 10.6% ± 1.8% ▼ Max. 12.4% ▼ Probabilities % QS

Seat projection | May 16, 2025

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 4 ▼ 6 ▼ Max. 8 ▼ Probabilities % QS

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire


Last update: May 16, 2025
Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Gouin QS safe >99%
2. Mercier QS likely >99%
3. Laurier-Dorion QS likely 99%
4. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 98%
5. Sherbrooke QS leaning 85%
6. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS leaning 82%
7. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 33%
8. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ 8%
9. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ 1%
10. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ 1%