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Quebec

Québec solidaire





Last update: October 5, 2025

LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection7.4% ± 1.4%
Current number of MNA's12
Current seat projection3 [1-6]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | October 5, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 1.2 seat/% 3 [1-6] 7% ± 1% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


Vote projection | October 5, 2025

4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 6.0% 7.4% ± 1.4% Max. 8.8% Probabilities % QS

Seat projection | October 5, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 1 3 Max. 6 Probabilities % QS

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire


Last update: October 5, 2025
Dstricts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Gouin QS likely 99%
2. Mercier QS likely 94%
3. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS leaning 77%
4. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Leaning PQ 28%
5. Laurier-Dorion Leaning LIB 26%
6. Rosemont Likely PQ 7%
7. Taschereau Likely PQ 2%
8. Jean-Lesage Likely PQ 1%