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Quebec

Québec solidaire





Last update: December 22, 2022

LeaderManon Massé / Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection15.1% ± 3.1%
Current number of MNA's11
Current seat projection11 [7-14]

Vote projection | December 22, 2022

8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 21% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 12.0% 15.1% ± 3.1% 2022 15.4% Max. 18.2% Probabilities % QS

Seat projection | December 22, 2022

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 7 2022 11 seats 11 Max. 14 Probabilities % QS

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Québec solidaire



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Gouin QS safe hold >99%
2. Mercier QS safe hold >99%
3. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe hold >99%
4. Laurier-Dorion QS safe hold >99%
5. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS safe hold >99%
6. Rosemont QS likely hold 99%
7. Taschereau QS likely hold 97%
8. Maurice-Richard QS leaning hold 87%
9. Jean-Lesage QS leaning hold 80%
10. Sherbrooke QS leaning hold 78%
11. Verdun Toss up LIB/QS 56%
12. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Leaning LIB hold 24%
13. Viau Leaning LIB hold 14%
14. Ungava Likely CAQ hold 7%
15. Jean-Talon Likely CAQ hold 5%
16. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ hold 2%
17. Marie-Victorin Leaning CAQ hold 1%
18. Saint-François Likely CAQ hold 1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Gouin QS safe hold
2. Mercier QS safe hold
3. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe hold
4. Laurier-Dorion QS safe hold
5. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS safe hold
6. Rosemont QS likely hold
7. Taschereau QS likely hold
8. Maurice-Richard QS leaning hold
9. Jean-Lesage QS leaning hold
10. Sherbrooke QS leaning hold
11. Verdun Toss up LIB/QS
12. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Leaning LIB hold
13. Viau Leaning LIB hold
14. Ungava Likely CAQ hold
15. Jean-Talon Likely CAQ hold
16. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely CAQ hold
17. Marie-Victorin Leaning CAQ hold
18. Saint-François Likely CAQ hold