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Quebec

Anjou–Louis-Riel


MNA: Karine Boivin Roy (CAQ)

Latest projection: May 19, 2024
Leaning LIB gain
Anjou–Louis-Riel 31% ± 8%▲ LIB 26% ± 7%▼ PQ 18% ± 6%▼ CAQ 15% ± 5%▼ QS 6% ± 3% QCP 3% ± 2%▲ OTH CAQ 2022 35.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Anjou–Louis-Riel 79%▲ LIB 21%▼ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Anjou–Louis-Riel

LIB 31% ± 8% PQ 26% ± 7% CAQ 18% ± 6% QS 15% ± 5% QCP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Anjou–Louis-Riel 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Anjou–Louis-Riel

LIB 79% PQ 21% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Anjou–Louis-Riel



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 16.8% 28.9% 35.6% 18% ± 6% LIB 50.8% 39.1% 30.5% 31% ± 8% QS 7.7% 14.5% 14.8% 15% ± 5% PQ 23.2% 14.7% 11.0% 26% ± 7% QCP 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 6% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.