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Quebec


Anjou–Louis-Riel


MNA: Karine Boivin Roy (CAQ)


Latest projection: March 21, 2024

Toss up LIB/PQ
Anjou–Louis-Riel 27% ± 7%▲ 27% ± 7%▲ 20% ± 6%▼ 19% ± 6%▲ 6% ± 3%▼ CAQ 2022 35.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Anjou–Louis-Riel 49%▲ 49%▲ 1%▼ 1% Odds of winning | March 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Anjou–Louis-Riel

LIB 27% ± 7% PQ 27% ± 7% CAQ 20% ± 6% QS 19% ± 6% QCP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Anjou–Louis-Riel 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP March 21, 2024

Odds of winning | Anjou–Louis-Riel

LIB 49% PQ 49% CAQ 1% QS 1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS March 21, 2024

Recent electoral history | Anjou–Louis-Riel



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 16.8% 28.9% 35.6% 20% ± 6% LIB 50.8% 39.1% 30.5% 27% ± 7% QS 7.7% 14.5% 14.8% 19% ± 6% PQ 23.2% 14.7% 11.0% 27% ± 7% QCP 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 6% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.