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Recent electoral history | Dubuc


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection PQ 48% ± 8% 32.1% 21.2% 17.5% CAQ 26% ± 7% 18.9% 40.2% 57.6% CPQ 11% ± 4% 0.0% 2.5% 11.0% QS 7% ± 3% 5.4% 12.1% 10.6% LIB 7% ± 3% 41.0% 22.4% 2.5%
Latest update: August 12, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Dubuc

PartiesCandidates
PQ Émile Simard
CAQ
CPQ Catherine Morissette
QS
LIB
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Dubuc projection

Latest update: August 12, 2026

Dubuc 40% 56% 48% ± 8% PQ 20% 33% 26% ± 7% CAQ 7% 16% 11% ± 4% CPQ 4% 10% 7% ± 3% QS 4% 10% 7% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 57.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 12, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dubuc >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | August 12, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Dubuc

Odds of winning | Dubuc


65% 35% 49% ± 7% 51% ± 7% Projection of support for sovereignty | Dubuc YES NO 338Canada August 12, 2026