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Quebec

Recent electoral history | Dubuc


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection PQ 49% ± 8% 32.1% 21.2% 17.5% CAQ 29% ± 7% 18.9% 40.2% 57.6% CPQ 11% ± 4% 0.0% 2.5% 11.0% QS 6% ± 3% 5.4% 12.1% 10.6% LIB 4% ± 2% 41.0% 22.4% 2.5%
Latest update: June 28, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

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338Canada Dubuc projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Dubuc 41% 57% 49% ± 8% PQ 22% 36% 29% ± 7% CAQ 7% 16% 11% ± 4% CPQ 3% 9% 6% ± 3% QS 2% 6% 4% ± 2% LIB CAQ 2022 57.646% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dubuc >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Quebec Projection | Dubuc

Odds of winning | Dubuc


58% 42% 49% ± 7% 51% ± 7% Projection of support for sovereignty | Dubuc YES NO 338Canada June 28, 2026