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Recent electoral history | Dubuc


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection PQ 44% ± 8% 32.1% 21.2% 17.5% CAQ 21% ± 6% 18.9% 40.2% 57.6% CPQ 19% ± 6% 0.0% 2.5% 11.0% LIB 8% ± 4% 41.0% 22.4% 2.5% QS 7% ± 3% 5.4% 12.1% 10.6%
Latest update: October 3, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Dubuc

PartiesCandidates
PQ Émile Simard
CAQ Marc Grandbois
CPQ Catherine Morissette
LIB Virginie Bouchard
QS Ève Laguë
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Dubuc projection

Latest update: October 3, 2026

Dubuc 36% 52% 44% ± 8% ▼ PQ 14% 27% 21% ± 6% ▼ CAQ 13% 25% 19% ± 6% ▲ CPQ 5% 12% 8% ± 4% ▲ LIB 4% 10% 7% ± 3% QS CAQ 2022 57.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 3, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dubuc >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | October 3, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Dubuc

Odds of winning | Dubuc


80% 20% 47% ± 7% 53% ± 7% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Dubuc YES NO 338Canada October 3, 2026