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Recent electoral history | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection CAQ 31% ± 7% 35.6% 52.5% 51.8% PQ 31% ± 7% 32.3% 13.2% 14.6% CPQ 17% ± 5% 0.7% 1.7% 15.6% LIB 12% ± 4% 22.8% 11.1% 3.6% QS 9% ± 4% 6.6% 18.2% 13.8%
Latest update: August 12, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie

PartiesCandidates
CAQ
PQ
CPQ Laura Tremblay
LIB
QS
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie projection

Latest update: August 12, 2026

Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie 24% 38% 31% ± 7% CAQ 24% 37% 31% ± 7% PQ 12% 22% 17% ± 5% CPQ 8% 16% 12% ± 4% LIB 6% 13% 9% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 51.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 12, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie 50%▲ CAQ 50%▼ PQ <1% CPQ Odds of winning | August 12, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie

Odds of winning | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie


>99% <1% 40% ± 7% 60% ± 7% Projection of support for sovereignty | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie YES NO 338Canada August 12, 2026