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Recent electoral history | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie


2014* 2018* 2022* Projection PQ 29% ± 7% 32.3% 13.2% 14.6% CAQ 26% ± 6% 35.6% 52.5% 51.8% CPQ 26% ± 6% 0.7% 1.7% 15.6% LIB 10% ± 4% 22.8% 11.1% 3.6% QS 9% ± 4% 6.6% 18.2% 13.8%
Latest update: September 27, 2026
Note: The * symbol indicates that the results have been transposed onto the new electoral map (2026). The transpositions were carried out by the excellent Kyle Hutton.

Candidates 2026 | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie

PartiesCandidates
PQ Natalie Bisaillon
CAQ Patrick Saindon
CPQ Laura Tremblay
LIB Alexandra Houle
QS Sébastien Bage
The list of candidates will be updated regularly until the nomination deadline. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Élections Québec. The nomination period ends on September 17, 2026.

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338Canada Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie projection

Latest update: September 27, 2026

Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie 22% 35% 29% ± 7% PQ 20% 32% 26% ± 6% CAQ 19% 32% 26% ± 6% CPQ 6% 14% 10% ± 4% LIB 5% 13% 9% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 51.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 27, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie 57% PQ 22%▼ CAQ 20% CPQ Odds of winning | September 27, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

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338Canada Quebec Projection | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie

Odds of winning | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie


>99% <1% 40% ± 7% 60% ± 7% ▼ ▲ Projection of support for sovereignty | Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie YES NO 338Canada September 27, 2026