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Quebec

Lévis


MNA: Bernard Drainville (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 7, 2024
Leaning CAQ hold
Lévis 34% ± 7% CAQ 29% ± 6%▼ PQ 19% ± 6%▲ QCP 10% ± 4% QS 6% ± 3% LIB CAQ 2022 48.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lévis 81%▲ CAQ 18%▼ PQ <1% QCP Odds of winning | June 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Lévis

LIB 6% ± 3% PQ 29% ± 6% CAQ 34% ± 7% QS 10% ± 4% QCP 19% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Lévis 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP June 7, 2024

Odds of winning | Lévis

LIB <1% PQ 18% CAQ 81% QS <1% QCP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP June 7, 2024

Recent electoral history | Lévis



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 40.5% 57.3% 48.8% 34% ± 7% QCP 0.8% 2.7% 20.8% 19% ± 6% PQ 16.6% 10.3% 12.9% 29% ± 6% QS 6.2% 11.7% 11.5% 10% ± 4% LIB 34.9% 14.5% 5.1% 6% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.