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Quebec

Laval-des-Rapides


MNA: Céline Haytayan

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
Likely LIB gain
Laval-des-Rapides 33% ± 7%▲ LIB 26% ± 6%▲ PQ 19% ± 5%▼ CAQ 11% ± 4% QS 9% ± 4%▼ CPQ 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 31.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Laval-des-Rapides 91%▼ LIB 8%▲ PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Laval-des-Rapides

LIB 33% ± 7% PQ 26% ± 6% CAQ 19% ± 5% QS 11% ± 4% CPQ 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Laval-des-Rapides 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 16% CPQ 10% PQ 9% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 36% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 10% PQ 8% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 35% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 35% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 35% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 35% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 7% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 15% CPQ 11% PQ 8% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 35% LIB 27% QS 14% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 33% LIB 27% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 16% CPQ 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 34% LIB 26% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 8% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 34% LIB 27% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 8% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 33% LIB 26% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 11% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 34% LIB 23% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 11% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 34% LIB 23% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 11% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 34% LIB 23% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 11% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 34% LIB 23% QS 16% CPQ 13% PQ 11% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 36% LIB 24% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 10% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 36% LIB 25% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 10% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 34% LIB 25% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 12% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 35% LIB 24% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 12% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 35% LIB 24% QS 15% CPQ 13% PQ 12% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 35% LIB 25% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 12% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 35% LIB 24% QS 15% CPQ 12% PQ 12% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 34% LIB 24% QS 15% PQ 13% CPQ 12% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 32% LIB 29% QS 17% PQ 13% CPQ 9% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 32% LIB 28% QS 16% PQ 15% CPQ 8% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 32% LIB 28% QS 16% PQ 15% CPQ 8% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 31% LIB 28% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 6% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 31% LIB 28% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 6% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 31% LIB 29% QS 18% PQ 16% CPQ 6% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 32% LIB 28% PQ 17% QS 17% CPQ 6% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 32% LIB 29% PQ 17% QS 17% CPQ 6% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 29% LIB 26% PQ 19% QS 16% CPQ 7% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 LIB 29% CAQ 28% PQ 17% QS 15% CPQ 9% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 LIB 29% CAQ 28% PQ 17% QS 15% CPQ 9% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 29% CAQ 27% PQ 18% QS 15% CPQ 9% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 30% PQ 23% CAQ 21% QS 15% CPQ 8% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 29% PQ 24% CAQ 22% QS 16% CPQ 8% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 31% PQ 26% CAQ 18% QS 15% CPQ 8% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 31% PQ 26% CAQ 20% QS 14% CPQ 8% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 31% PQ 28% CAQ 18% QS 14% CPQ 8% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 31% PQ 29% CAQ 17% QS 14% CPQ 7% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 34% PQ 28% CAQ 18% QS 12% CPQ 7% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 34% PQ 27% CAQ 17% QS 11% CPQ 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 34% PQ 26% CAQ 19% QS 11% CPQ 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 33% PQ 27% CAQ 19% QS 11% CPQ 7% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 32% PQ 22% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 32% PQ 24% CAQ 20% QS 11% CPQ 10% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 33% PQ 26% CAQ 19% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | Laval-des-Rapides

LIB 91% PQ 8% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 91% LIB 9% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 95% LIB 5% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 94% LIB 6% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 94% LIB 6% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 93% LIB 7% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 92% LIB 8% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 91% LIB 9% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 91% LIB 9% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 92% LIB 8% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 92% LIB 8% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 88% LIB 12% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 91% LIB 9% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 90% LIB 10% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 99% LIB 1% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 98% LIB 2% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 95% LIB 5% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 97% LIB 3% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 97% LIB 3% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 97% LIB 3% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 96% LIB 4% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 96% LIB 4% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 82% LIB 18% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 70% LIB 30% QS <1% PQ <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 72% LIB 28% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 75% LIB 25% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 59% LIB 41% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 73% LIB 27% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 73% LIB 27% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 73% LIB 26% PQ <1% QS <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 LIB 58% CAQ 42% QS <1% PQ <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 LIB 58% CAQ 42% PQ <1% QS <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 LIB 66% CAQ 34% PQ <1% QS <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 LIB 90% PQ 8% CAQ 2% QS <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 LIB 82% PQ 14% CAQ 4% QS <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 LIB 82% PQ 18% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 LIB 86% PQ 14% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 71% PQ 29% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 64% PQ 36% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 85% PQ 15% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 90% PQ 10% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 93% PQ 7% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 88% PQ 12% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 97% PQ 2% CAQ 1% QS <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 96% PQ 4% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 91% PQ 8% CAQ <1% QS <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | Laval-des-Rapides



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 17.2% 30.7% 31.9% 19% ± 5% LIB 44.2% 31.6% 28.7% 33% ± 7% QS 5.6% 16.8% 16.7% 11% ± 4% PQ 31.2% 15.4% 12.9% 26% ± 6% CPQ 0.0% 1.1% 8.6% 9% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.