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Quebec

Laval-des-Rapides


MNA: Céline Haytayan (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe LIB

Recent electoral history | Laval-des-Rapides


2014 2018 2022 Proj. LIB 44% ± 7% 44.2% 31.6% 28.7% PQ 22% ± 6% 31.2% 15.4% 12.9% CAQ 13% ± 4% 17.2% 30.7% 31.9% CPQ 10% ± 4% 0.0% 1.1% 8.6% QS 8% ± 3% 5.6% 16.8% 16.7%




338Canada projection for Laval-des-Rapides


Laval-des-Rapides 44% ± 7% LIB 22% ± 6%▲ PQ 13% ± 4%▼ CAQ 10% ± 4% CPQ 8% ± 3%▼ QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 31.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Laval-des-Rapides >99% LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Laval-des-Rapides

LIB 44% ± 7% PQ 22% ± 6% CAQ 13% ± 4% QS 8% ± 3% CPQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Laval-des-Rapides 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 31% PQ 26% CAQ 20% QS 14% CPQ 8% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 31% PQ 28% CAQ 18% QS 14% CPQ 8% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 31% PQ 29% CAQ 17% QS 14% CPQ 7% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 34% PQ 28% CAQ 18% QS 12% CPQ 7% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 34% PQ 27% CAQ 17% QS 11% CPQ 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 34% PQ 26% CAQ 19% QS 11% CPQ 7% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 33% PQ 27% CAQ 19% QS 11% CPQ 7% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 32% PQ 22% CAQ 22% QS 12% CPQ 9% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 32% PQ 24% CAQ 20% QS 11% CPQ 10% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 33% PQ 26% CAQ 19% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 33% PQ 26% CAQ 18% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 33% PQ 26% CAQ 19% QS 11% CPQ 9% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 36% PQ 23% CAQ 19% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB 37% PQ 23% CAQ 19% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB 37% PQ 23% CAQ 20% CPQ 9% QS 9% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 36% PQ 23% CAQ 20% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB 38% PQ 22% CAQ 19% CPQ 9% QS 9% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB 44% PQ 21% CAQ 14% CPQ 10% QS 9% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB 44% PQ 22% CAQ 13% CPQ 10% QS 8% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Laval-des-Rapides

LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 LIB 86% PQ 14% CAQ <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 LIB 71% PQ 29% CAQ <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 LIB 64% PQ 36% CAQ <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 LIB 85% PQ 15% CAQ <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 LIB 90% PQ 10% CAQ <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 LIB 93% PQ 7% CAQ <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 LIB 88% PQ 12% CAQ <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 LIB 97% PQ 2% CAQ 1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 LIB 96% PQ 4% CAQ <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 LIB 91% PQ 8% CAQ <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 LIB 88% PQ 12% CAQ <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 LIB 92% PQ 8% CAQ <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 LIB 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 LIB 99% PQ 1% CAQ <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 LIB >99% CAQ <1% PQ <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 LIB >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader