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Quebec

Iberville


MNA: Audrey Bogemans (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Toss up PQ/CAQ

Recent electoral history | Iberville


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 30% ± 7% 31.5% 17.7% 15.2% CAQ 29% ± 6% 34.2% 47.4% 53.1% LIB 16% ± 5% 26.4% 12.3% 5.6% CPQ 13% ± 4% 0.0% 1.8% 11.3% QS 11% ± 4% 7.0% 17.4% 13.7%




338Canada projection for Iberville


Iberville 30% ± 7%▼ PQ 29% ± 6% CAQ 16% ± 5%▲ LIB 13% ± 4%▲ CPQ 11% ± 4% QS CAQ 2022 53.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Iberville 62%▼ PQ 38%▲ CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Iberville

LIB 16% ± 5% PQ 30% ± 7% CAQ 29% ± 6% QS 11% ± 4% CPQ 13% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Iberville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 40% CAQ 27% QS 15% CPQ 9% LIB 6% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 38% CAQ 29% QS 16% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 40% CAQ 27% QS 16% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 14% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 40% CAQ 27% QS 13% CPQ 10% LIB 8% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 41% CAQ 27% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 40% CAQ 27% QS 14% CPQ 10% LIB 7% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 42% CAQ 26% QS 13% CPQ 10% LIB 7% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 43% CAQ 26% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 7% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 44% CAQ 25% QS 12% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 42% CAQ 27% QS 13% CPQ 9% LIB 8% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 36% CAQ 31% QS 11% CPQ 10% LIB 10% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 34% CAQ 31% CPQ 12% LIB 10% QS 10% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 33% CAQ 33% CPQ 11% QS 11% LIB 10% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 33% CAQ 33% CPQ 11% QS 11% LIB 9% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 34% CAQ 32% QS 11% CPQ 11% LIB 10% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 31% CAQ 29% LIB 14% CPQ 12% QS 11% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 30% CAQ 29% LIB 16% CPQ 13% QS 11% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Iberville

LIB <1% PQ 62% CAQ 38% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 96% CAQ 4% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 85% CAQ 15% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 74% CAQ 26% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 53% CAQ 47% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 53% CAQ 47% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 66% CAQ 34% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 66% CAQ 34% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 62% CAQ 38% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader