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Quebec

Iberville


MNA: Audrey Bogemans (CAQ)

Latest projection: May 19, 2024
Safe PQ gain
Iberville 40% ± 7%▼ PQ 27% ± 6% CAQ 13% ± 4%▼ QS 10% ± 4%▲ QCP 8% ± 3%▲ LIB 2% ± 2%▲ OTH CAQ 2022 53.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Iberville >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Iberville

LIB 8% ± 3% PQ 40% ± 7% CAQ 27% ± 6% QS 13% ± 4% QCP 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Iberville 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Iberville

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Iberville



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 34.2% 47.4% 53.1% 27% ± 6% PQ 31.5% 17.7% 15.2% 40% ± 7% QS 7.0% 17.4% 13.7% 13% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 1.8% 11.3% 10% ± 4% LIB 26.4% 12.3% 5.6% 8% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.