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Quebec


Terrebonne


MNA: Pierre Fitzgibbon (CAQ)


Latest projection: September 28, 2023

Safe CAQ hold
Terrebonne 41% ± 7%▼ 26% ± 6%▼ 12% ± 4% 10% ± 4%▲ 8% ± 3%▲ CAQ 2022 49.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 28, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Terrebonne >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 28, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Terrebonne

LIB 10% ± 4% PQ 26% ± 6% CAQ 41% ± 7% QS 12% ± 4% QCP 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Terrebonne 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Terrebonne

LIB <1% PQ <1% CAQ >99% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Terrebonne



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 34.4% 43.0% 49.4% 41% ± 7% PQ 36.2% 29.6% 18.9% 26% ± 6% QS 6.4% 12.8% 12.7% 12% ± 4% LIB 22.0% 12.1% 10.2% 10% ± 4% QCP 0.0% 0.7% 7.9% 8% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%