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Quebec

Terrebonne


MNA: Pierre Fitzgibbon (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 17, 2024
Safe PQ gain
Terrebonne 42% ± 7% PQ 27% ± 6%▼ CAQ 14% ± 4% LIB 8% ± 3% QS 7% ± 3%▲ CPQ CAQ 2022 49.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Terrebonne >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Terrebonne

LIB 14% ± 4% PQ 42% ± 7% CAQ 27% ± 6% QS 8% ± 3% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Terrebonne 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 52% PQ 16% CPQ 14% QS 11% LIB 6% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 52% PQ 15% CPQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 50% CPQ 18% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 50% CPQ 18% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 50% CPQ 18% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 50% CPQ 18% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 50% CPQ 18% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 50% CPQ 18% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 50% CPQ 18% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 49% CPQ 18% PQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 49% CPQ 17% PQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 49% CPQ 17% PQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 49% CPQ 17% PQ 15% QS 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 49% CPQ 19% PQ 15% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 49% CPQ 19% PQ 15% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 49% CPQ 20% PQ 15% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 49% CPQ 20% PQ 14% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 49% CPQ 20% PQ 14% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 49% CPQ 20% PQ 14% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 47% CPQ 19% PQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 48% CPQ 19% PQ 15% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 48% CPQ 19% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 48% CPQ 19% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 48% CPQ 19% PQ 14% QS 11% LIB 5% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 46% CPQ 19% PQ 18% QS 10% LIB 5% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 44% PQ 20% CPQ 18% QS 11% LIB 4% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 44% PQ 20% CPQ 18% QS 11% LIB 4% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 44% PQ 20% CPQ 18% QS 11% LIB 4% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 44% PQ 19% CPQ 19% QS 11% LIB 4% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 46% CPQ 19% PQ 18% QS 11% LIB 4% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 46% CPQ 19% PQ 18% QS 10% LIB 4% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 43% PQ 22% CPQ 18% QS 11% LIB 4% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 44% PQ 22% CPQ 18% QS 10% LIB 4% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 44% PQ 22% CPQ 18% QS 10% LIB 4% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 44% PQ 22% CPQ 18% QS 10% LIB 4% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 44% PQ 22% CPQ 18% QS 10% LIB 4% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 43% PQ 23% CPQ 17% QS 10% LIB 4% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 49% PQ 19% QS 13% LIB 10% CPQ 8% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 48% PQ 21% QS 12% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 48% PQ 21% QS 12% LIB 10% CPQ 7% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 47% PQ 23% QS 13% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 47% PQ 23% QS 13% LIB 10% CPQ 6% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 47% PQ 23% QS 14% LIB 10% CPQ 5% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 48% PQ 24% QS 12% LIB 9% CPQ 5% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 48% PQ 24% QS 12% LIB 9% CPQ 5% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 44% PQ 27% QS 12% LIB 9% CPQ 5% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 41% PQ 26% QS 12% LIB 10% CPQ 8% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 41% PQ 26% QS 12% LIB 10% CPQ 8% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 39% PQ 28% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 8% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 36% CAQ 31% QS 12% LIB 12% CPQ 7% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 38% CAQ 30% QS 12% LIB 11% CPQ 7% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 42% CAQ 25% LIB 12% QS 12% CPQ 7% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 41% CAQ 28% LIB 12% QS 11% CPQ 7% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ 44% CAQ 25% LIB 12% QS 11% CPQ 7% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 47% CAQ 23% LIB 12% QS 11% CPQ 6% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 47% CAQ 25% LIB 13% QS 9% CPQ 6% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 45% CAQ 24% LIB 14% QS 8% CPQ 7% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 42% CAQ 28% LIB 14% QS 8% CPQ 6% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 42% CAQ 27% LIB 14% QS 8% CPQ 7% 2024-06-17

Odds of winning | Terrebonne

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS June 17, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 99% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 PQ 83% CAQ 17% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 94% CAQ 6% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 99% CAQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ >99% QS <1% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ >99% CAQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17

Recent electoral history | Terrebonne



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 34.4% 43.0% 49.4% 27% ± 6% PQ 36.2% 29.6% 18.9% 42% ± 7% QS 6.4% 12.8% 12.7% 8% ± 3% LIB 22.0% 12.1% 10.2% 14% ± 4% CPQ 0.0% 0.7% 7.9% 7% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.