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Quebec


Chicoutimi


MNA: Andrée Laforest (CAQ)


Latest projection: November 24, 2023

Toss up PQ/CAQ
Chicoutimi 37% ± 8%▼ 36% ± 8%▲ 15% ± 5%▲ 7% ± 3% 3% ± 2% CAQ 2022 62.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Chicoutimi 57%▼ 43%▲ <1% Odds of winning | November 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chicoutimi

PQ 36% ± 8% CAQ 37% ± 8% QS 15% ± 5% QCP 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Chicoutimi 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Chicoutimi

LIB <1% PQ 43% CAQ 57% QS <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS

Recent electoral history | Chicoutimi



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 17.5% 39.3% 62.3% 37% ± 8% PQ 34.5% 25.0% 14.2% 36% ± 8% QS 6.5% 12.9% 12.0% 15% ± 5% QCP 0.0% 1.4% 8.4% 7% ± 3% LIB 29.6% 19.7% 3.0% 3% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%