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Quebec

Chicoutimi


MNA: Andrée Laforest (CAQ)

Latest projection: June 27, 2025
Safe PQ

Recent electoral history | Chicoutimi


2014 2018 2022 Proj. PQ 47% ± 8% 34.5% 25.0% 14.2% CAQ 25% ± 6% 17.5% 39.3% 62.3% LIB 9% ± 4% 29.6% 19.7% 3.0% CPQ 8% ± 3% 0.0% 1.4% 8.4% QS 8% ± 3% 6.5% 12.9% 12.0%




338Canada projection for Chicoutimi


Chicoutimi 47% ± 8%▼ PQ 25% ± 6% CAQ 9% ± 4%▲ LIB 8% ± 3% CPQ 8% ± 3% QS 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 62.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chicoutimi >99% PQ <1% CAQ <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Chicoutimi

LIB 9% ± 4% PQ 47% ± 8% CAQ 25% ± 6% QS 8% ± 3% CPQ 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Chicoutimi 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 CAQ 37% PQ 37% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 39% PQ 35% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 38% CAQ 37% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 40% CAQ 37% QS 12% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 39% CAQ 36% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 39% CAQ 37% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 40% CAQ 36% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 39% CAQ 36% QS 12% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 41% CAQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 44% CAQ 33% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 45% CAQ 31% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 42% CAQ 34% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 46% CAQ 30% QS 8% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ 47% CAQ 30% CPQ 8% QS 8% LIB 5% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 46% CAQ 31% QS 8% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 46% CAQ 31% QS 8% CPQ 8% LIB 5% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ 50% CAQ 27% QS 8% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ 48% CAQ 25% QS 8% CPQ 8% LIB 7% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ 47% CAQ 25% LIB 9% CPQ 8% QS 8% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader

Odds of winning | Chicoutimi

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 LIB PQ CAQ June 27, 2025 2024-02-18 PQ 50% CAQ 50% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 74% PQ 26% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 57% CAQ 43% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 70% CAQ 30% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 68% CAQ 32% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 65% CAQ 35% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 76% CAQ 24% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 68% CAQ 32% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 83% CAQ 17% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 98% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 93% CAQ 7% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 2025-03-05 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-03-05 2025-03-15 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2025-03-15 2025-03-18 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2025-03-18 2025-05-16 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-05-16 2025-06-19 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-19 2025-06-27 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-27 Ghazal QS co-leader Rodriguez PLQ leader