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Quebec

Chicoutimi


MNA: Andrée Laforest (CAQ)

Latest projection: February 6, 2025
Likely PQ gain
Chicoutimi 46% ± 7%▲ PQ 30% ± 7%▼ CAQ 8% ± 4%▼ QS 7% ± 3% CPQ 5% ± 3%▲ LIB 2% ± 2% IND CAQ 2022 62.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chicoutimi >99%▲ PQ <1%▼ CAQ <1% QS Odds of winning | February 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chicoutimi

LIB 5% ± 3% PQ 46% ± 7% CAQ 30% ± 7% QS 8% ± 4% CPQ 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Chicoutimi 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ 62% PQ 14% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 61% PQ 16% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 61% PQ 16% QS 12% CPQ 8% LIB 3% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 60% PQ 18% QS 13% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 60% PQ 17% QS 14% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 50% PQ 28% QS 13% CPQ 6% LIB 3% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 51% PQ 29% QS 13% CPQ 5% LIB 2% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 51% PQ 29% QS 13% CPQ 5% LIB 2% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 54% PQ 25% QS 13% CPQ 5% LIB 2% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ 50% PQ 24% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 2% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ 50% PQ 24% QS 14% CPQ 8% LIB 2% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 40% PQ 34% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 37% PQ 36% QS 15% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 38% CAQ 36% QS 15% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 38% CAQ 35% QS 15% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 CAQ 37% PQ 37% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 39% PQ 35% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 38% CAQ 37% QS 14% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 40% CAQ 37% QS 12% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 39% CAQ 36% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 39% CAQ 37% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 40% CAQ 36% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 39% CAQ 36% QS 12% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 41% CAQ 35% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 44% CAQ 33% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 3% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 45% CAQ 31% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 42% CAQ 34% QS 11% CPQ 7% LIB 4% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ 46% CAQ 30% QS 8% CPQ 7% LIB 5% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Odds of winning | Chicoutimi

LIB <1% PQ >99% CAQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ February 6, 2025 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CAQ >99% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 82% PQ 18% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CAQ 57% PQ 43% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 PQ 63% CAQ 37% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 PQ 70% CAQ 30% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 50% CAQ 50% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CAQ 74% PQ 26% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 57% CAQ 43% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 70% CAQ 30% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 PQ 68% CAQ 32% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 PQ 65% CAQ 35% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 PQ 76% CAQ 24% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 PQ 68% CAQ 32% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 PQ 83% CAQ 17% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 PQ 98% CAQ 2% LIB <1% 2024-11-15 2024-12-04 PQ 99% CAQ 1% LIB <1% 2024-12-04 2024-12-08 PQ 93% CAQ 7% LIB <1% 2024-12-08 2025-02-06 PQ >99% CAQ <1% LIB <1% 2025-02-06 ▼ Anglade resigns ▼ Ghazal QS co-leader

Recent electoral history | Chicoutimi



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 17.5% 39.3% 62.3% 30% ± 7% PQ 34.5% 25.0% 14.2% 46% ± 7% QS 6.5% 12.9% 12.0% 8% ± 4% CPQ 0.0% 1.4% 8.4% 7% ± 3% LIB 29.6% 19.7% 3.0% 5% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%