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Quebec


Bellechasse


MNA: Stéphanie Lachance (CAQ)


Latest projection: December 7 2023

PCQ leaning gain
Bellechasse 35% ± 9% 26% ± 7%▼ 25% ± 7%▲ 7% ± 3% 5% ± 3% CAQ 2022 45.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 7 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Bellechasse 90%▲ 6%▼ 4%▲ Odds of winning | December 7 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Bellechasse

LIB 5% ± 3% PQ 25% ± 7% CAQ 26% ± 7% QS 7% ± 3% QCP 35% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Bellechasse 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | Bellechasse

LIB <1% PQ 4% CAQ 6% QS <1% QCP 90% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | Bellechasse



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 33.2% 53.8% 45.7% 26% ± 7% QCP 1.2% 3.3% 35.3% 35% ± 9% PQ 13.3% 7.3% 8.8% 25% ± 7% QS 2.7% 7.5% 6.0% 7% ± 3% LIB 49.3% 27.2% 4.1% 5% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%