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Quebec

La Peltrie


MNA: Éric Caire

Latest projection: November 15, 2024
PCQ leaning gain
La Peltrie 30% ± 7%▼ CPQ 27% ± 6%▲ PQ 22% ± 5%▼ CAQ 11% ± 4% LIB 9% ± 3% QS CAQ 2022 44.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% La Peltrie 76%▼ CPQ 23%▲ PQ 1%▼ CAQ Odds of winning | November 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | La Peltrie

LIB 11% ± 4% PQ 27% ± 6% CAQ 22% ± 5% QS 9% ± 3% CPQ 30% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | La Peltrie 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 46% CPQ 30% QS 9% LIB 8% PQ 6% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 47% CPQ 31% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 5% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 46% CPQ 32% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 4% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 46% CPQ 32% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 4% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 46% CPQ 32% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 4% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 45% CPQ 32% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 4% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 45% CPQ 33% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 4% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 45% CPQ 33% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 4% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 45% CPQ 33% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 4% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 45% CPQ 32% QS 8% LIB 7% PQ 5% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 47% CPQ 30% QS 8% LIB 7% PQ 5% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 46% CPQ 30% QS 8% LIB 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 46% CPQ 30% QS 8% LIB 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 46% CPQ 32% LIB 7% QS 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 46% CPQ 32% LIB 7% QS 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 45% CPQ 33% LIB 7% QS 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 47% CPQ 32% LIB 7% QS 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 47% CPQ 32% LIB 7% QS 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 48% CPQ 32% LIB 7% QS 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 46% CPQ 31% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 47% CPQ 31% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 47% CPQ 31% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 47% CPQ 30% QS 9% LIB 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 47% CPQ 31% QS 8% LIB 7% PQ 6% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 45% CPQ 30% PQ 8% QS 8% LIB 7% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 46% CPQ 30% QS 9% PQ 8% LIB 5% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 46% CPQ 30% QS 9% PQ 8% LIB 5% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 46% CPQ 30% QS 9% PQ 8% LIB 5% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 46% CPQ 31% QS 9% PQ 8% LIB 5% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ 48% CPQ 29% QS 9% PQ 7% LIB 5% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 48% CPQ 30% QS 9% PQ 7% LIB 5% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 47% CPQ 29% PQ 9% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ 47% CPQ 29% PQ 9% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ 47% CPQ 29% PQ 9% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ 48% CPQ 28% PQ 9% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ 48% CPQ 28% PQ 9% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ 48% CPQ 28% PQ 10% QS 9% LIB 5% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ 44% CPQ 30% PQ 10% QS 9% LIB 6% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 45% CPQ 27% PQ 12% QS 9% LIB 6% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 45% CPQ 27% PQ 12% QS 9% LIB 6% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ 46% CPQ 23% PQ 13% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ 46% CPQ 23% PQ 13% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 32% CPQ 31% PQ 20% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 30% CPQ 26% PQ 25% QS 11% LIB 6% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 30% CPQ 26% PQ 25% QS 11% LIB 6% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 30% CPQ 27% PQ 25% QS 10% LIB 5% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CPQ 30% CAQ 30% PQ 23% QS 10% LIB 6% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CPQ 30% CAQ 30% PQ 23% QS 9% LIB 6% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 30% CPQ 30% PQ 23% QS 9% LIB 6% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CPQ 29% PQ 26% CAQ 25% QS 9% LIB 7% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CPQ 30% PQ 27% CAQ 24% QS 10% LIB 7% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 CPQ 28% PQ 28% CAQ 22% QS 13% LIB 7% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 28% CPQ 28% CAQ 23% QS 12% LIB 7% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CPQ 32% CAQ 24% PQ 23% QS 12% LIB 7% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 29% CPQ 27% CAQ 23% QS 12% LIB 7% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 29% CPQ 26% CAQ 23% LIB 11% QS 10% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CPQ 26% CAQ 25% PQ 24% LIB 14% QS 9% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CPQ 28% CAQ 26% PQ 22% LIB 14% QS 9% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CPQ 28% CAQ 25% PQ 23% LIB 13% QS 9% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CPQ 29% PQ 25% CAQ 24% LIB 12% QS 10% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CPQ 31% PQ 25% CAQ 23% LIB 11% QS 9% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 CPQ 30% PQ 27% CAQ 22% LIB 11% QS 9% 2024-11-15

Odds of winning | La Peltrie

LIB <1% PQ 23% CAQ 1% QS <1% CPQ 76% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS CPQ November 15, 2024 2022-08-25 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-25 2022-08-28 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-28 2022-08-29 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-29 2022-08-30 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-30 2022-08-31 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-08-31 2022-09-01 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-01 2022-09-02 CAQ 95% CPQ 5% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-02 2022-09-03 CAQ 95% CPQ 5% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-03 2022-09-04 CAQ 95% CPQ 5% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-04 2022-09-05 CAQ 95% CPQ 5% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-05 2022-09-06 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-06 2022-09-07 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-07 2022-09-08 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-08 2022-09-09 CAQ 96% CPQ 4% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-09 2022-09-10 CAQ 97% CPQ 3% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-10 2022-09-11 CAQ 95% CPQ 5% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-11 2022-09-12 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-12 2022-09-13 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-13 2022-09-14 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-14 2022-09-15 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-15 2022-09-16 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-16 2022-09-17 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-17 2022-09-18 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-18 2022-09-19 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-19 2022-09-20 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-20 2022-09-21 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-21 2022-09-22 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-22 2022-09-23 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-23 2022-09-24 CAQ 98% CPQ 2% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-24 2022-09-25 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-25 2022-09-26 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-26 2022-09-27 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-27 2022-09-28 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-28 2022-09-29 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-29 2022-09-30 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-09-30 2022-10-01 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-01 2022-10-02 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-02 2022-10-05 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-10-05 2022-11-11 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-11-11 2022-12-22 CAQ 99% CPQ 1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-22 2023-03-03 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-03 2023-03-14 CAQ >99% CPQ <1% QS <1% PQ <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-14 2023-05-04 CAQ 62% CPQ 38% PQ <1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-05-04 2023-06-15 CAQ 72% CPQ 19% PQ 10% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-06-15 2023-08-21 CAQ 74% CPQ 17% PQ 10% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-21 2023-08-30 CAQ 64% CPQ 28% PQ 8% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-08-30 2023-09-28 CPQ 52% CAQ 47% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-28 2023-10-03 CPQ 51% CAQ 47% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-10-03 2023-11-03 CAQ 53% CPQ 46% PQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-03 2023-11-24 CPQ 65% PQ 21% CAQ 14% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-11-24 2023-12-07 CPQ 73% PQ 23% CAQ 4% QS <1% LIB <1% 2023-12-07 2024-01-31 CPQ 53% PQ 45% CAQ 2% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-01-31 2024-02-18 PQ 51% CPQ 46% CAQ 4% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-02-18 2024-03-04 CPQ 90% CAQ 6% PQ 4% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-04 2024-03-21 PQ 66% CPQ 31% CAQ 4% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-21 2024-04-26 PQ 67% CPQ 30% CAQ 3% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-04-26 2024-05-19 CPQ 47% CAQ 33% PQ 20% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-05-19 2024-06-07 CPQ 64% CAQ 31% PQ 5% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-07 2024-06-17 CPQ 70% CAQ 23% PQ 7% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-06-17 2024-08-30 CPQ 75% PQ 16% CAQ 9% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-08-30 2024-10-04 CPQ 86% PQ 10% CAQ 4% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-11-15 CPQ 76% PQ 23% CAQ 1% QS <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-15

Recent electoral history | La Peltrie



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 50.3% 57.7% 44.4% 22% ± 5% CPQ 1.3% 4.8% 29.9% 30% ± 7% PQ 10.1% 7.5% 9.9% 27% ± 6% QS 3.4% 9.7% 8.9% 9% ± 3% LIB 33.8% 16.6% 5.7% 11% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Results from 2014 have been transposed onto new electoral map.