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Quebec


La Peltrie


MNA: Éric Caire (CAQ)


Latest projection: November 24, 2023

Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP
La Peltrie 29% ± 8%▼ 26% ± 6%▲ 25% ± 6%▼ 9% ± 3% 7% ± 3%▲ CAQ 2022 44.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% La Peltrie 65%▲ 21%▲ 14%▼ Odds of winning | November 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | La Peltrie

LIB 7% ± 3% PQ 26% ± 6% CAQ 25% ± 6% QS 9% ± 3% QCP 29% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | La Peltrie 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Odds of winning | La Peltrie

LIB <1% PQ 21% CAQ 14% QS <1% QCP 65% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2022 LIB PQ CAQ QS QCP

Recent electoral history | La Peltrie



2014 2018 2022 Proj. CAQ 50.3% 57.7% 44.4% 25% ± 6% QCP 1.3% 4.8% 29.9% 29% ± 8% PQ 10.1% 7.5% 9.9% 26% ± 6% QS 3.4% 9.7% 8.9% 9% ± 3% LIB 33.8% 16.6% 5.7% 7% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%